Sobel’s 3M Open Round 2 Matchup Bets: Will Finau Go Low Again?

Credit:

Ray Carlin, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tony Finau

  • Jason Sobel analyzes five second-round matchups for the 2019 3M Open: Bud Cauley vs. Danny Lee, Tony Finau vs. Nate Lashley, and Mackenzie Hughes vs. Pat Perez

As I write this, I’m heading up to the Twin Cities for an extended weekend at the inaugural 3M Open.

I love the proverbial new-car smell of a new event. The community gets excited; there’s a palpable buzz in the air.

Here’s a little of what I expect to see Friday afternoon in the form of my three favorite late-second round matchup bets.

Bud Cauley (-115) over Danny Lee

12:20 p.m. ET

There’s a reason why Cauley continues to warrant weekly mentions in our Action Network podcast. Now more than a year removed from a car accident that caused season-ending injuries, he’s the type of player who should soon start challenging for titles on a fairly consistent basis. In this one against Lee, after they each opened with even-par 71, I like Cauley to post something in the 66 range.

Tony Finau -0.5 (-105) over Nate Lashley

12:30 p.m. ET

One week ago, Lashley was the last player in the Detroit Mortgage Classic field, the guy you’d only consider after the afterthoughts. Following a win and subsequent whirlwind media blitz, he finds himself teeing it up with the big boys — and matched up against one of ‘em. He competed well with a first-round 69, but just like Chez Reavie, who was fresh off a W last week and went 65-78 to miss the cut, Lashley’s fuel tank has to hit empty at some point. Give me Finau here, who looked solid Thursday after three straight MCs.

Mackenzie Hughes (-115) over Pat Perez

12:50 p.m. ET

Prior to the opening round, I wrote about Hughes’ penchant for going low on Thursday — and though he was still five strokes from FRL honors yesterday, he still posed a solid 67, ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green. I like him to keep it going against Perez, who is playing his first event in a month and hadn’t been playing all that great before then.

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