2019 RSM Classic Betting Odds, Picks: Russell Henley Could Make Some Noise at Sea Island


Brian Spurlock, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Russell Henley

Nov 19, 2019, 10:18 AM EST

We’ve reached the final PGA Tour stop of 2019, the RSM Classic.

A decent number of pros live in St. Simons Island so it’s easy to find players with local narratives to go off. Rather than local ties though, I’m focusing more on players with strong putting numbers on Bermuda Grass and in-form iron play.

The Course

Sea Island Golf Course has a pair of course it uses. The first two rounds are split between the Par 70 Island Course and the Par 72 Plantation course. Both measure slightly over 7,000 yards.

If you can find First-Round Leader odds, target the Plantation course. Bets will be graded based on how far below par the golfer finishes, not total strokes, so the two extra par 5s will give you an edge here. Many books won’t list FRL odds when the opening round is played on multiple courses, but if you dig around, you’ll probably find someone who offers it.

This tournament usually plays pretty easy, with a score in the high-teens or low-20’s needed to come out on top. If the wind picks up, it can get challenging, but for the most part, this is a wedge and putting contest.

The Favorites

Webb Simpson tops the field this week at +800. His results have been pretty erratic here given how weak the field is, but he does own three top 10s including a runner-up and third-place finish.

Billy Horschel and Matt Kuchar are the only other players below +2000 this week. Kuchar never really seems to play well here with just one finish inside the top 10. This is Horschel’s second trip to Sea Island since 2013. The last time he played here, back in 2016, he lost in a playoff that eventually went to Mackenzie Hughes.

The defending champ Charles Howell III is at +2000 and the trio of Alex Noren, Kevin Kisner and Harris English close out this range at +2800. Noren is a bit of surprise in this field. I’d look harder at him, but his form just hasn’t been there. He hasn’t had a top-10 finish in a full-field event anywhere in the world since July 2018 when he won in France.

Kisner is probably the biggest threat in this range. He’s won here before and has four top 10s in his last five starts. The number would be worth a look if he’d shown any form at all this fall. But even that may not matter when he enters familiar surroundings.

The Mid-Tier