U.S. Open Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Round 4 at Pebble Beach
Rob Schumacher, USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rory McIlroy.
- See our staff's favorite bets for the fourth round of the U.S Open.
We’re through 54 holes at Pebble Beach and leader Gary Woodland looks as good as he has since the start of the tournament at 11-under.
Just over his shoulder sits Justin Rose (10-under), who shares the best odds to win according to the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Here’s what out golf experts like in what should be an action packed final round at the 2019 U.S. Open.
The Bet: Brooks Koepka/Rory McIlroy H2H parlay
Yeah, so I like the two biggest favorites in the last few groups on Sunday afternoon. My apologies for not going full contrarian.
The world’s two best players — for right this minute, at least — won’t back down while in contention during this final round, though ultimately each might be starting a bit too far back to win.
I like Koepka to beat Chez Reavie and McIlroy to beat Louis Oosthuizen, but of course, you won’t get a great number on either. Instead, parlay ‘em and root on the big boys down the stretch. They’ll be up for the moment.
The Bet: Adri Arnaus over Andrew Putnam +145
The Euro Tour rookie is a bit of an unknown to the United States, but he’s playing really solid this week, gaining over a stroke with the approach. He’s usually an elite driver in Europe, but the rest of the tee-to-green game has caught up this week.
Putnam, on the other hand, is losing nearly 2 strokes per round and is only here because of the putter. Nothing else has even been field average for him this week.
The Bet: Rafa Cabrera-Bello (+130) over Brandt Snedeker
Both golfers have been disappointing this tournament, ranking 64th in total strokes gained, per Fantasy National.
However, Rafa has been striking it better than Snedeker, albeit ranking 76th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green isn’t anything to write home about, Sneds has been far worse, ranking 139th and 121st, respectively.
The Bet: Brooks Koepka (+450)
Going with the best value on the board for the outright winner. Give me that number on Koepka, who is sitting just four shots behind Woodland.
Throw in the fact Woodland has never won a major title and I love his chances. Prediction? Koepka in a playoff over Rose.
The Bet: Adam Scott (-120) over Xander Schauffele
While they sit even in score entering Sunday’s final round, Scott has been the superior golfer over the first three rounds in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, Approach and Around-the Green. Xander has stayed around mostly because of a hot putter, which has been a struggle for Scott.
Maybe that continues; Xander is certainly a superior putter. But on a Sunday at Pebble, I don’t mind a small investment at -120 on the guy who has been hitting every other club better this week.