Sobel’s Zurich Classic Tournament Matchup Bets: Can the Jason Day-Adam Scott Team Be Beat?

The Zurich Classic is fun to bet, but it's also among the most difficult tournaments of the year to handicap.

In a nutshell: Two-man teams playing two different formats for two rounds each means there's a much higher level of volatility than other events, which in turn leads to a greater capacity for randomness.

In other words: Fade the chalk.

Sobel’s 2019 Zurich Classic Betting Preview: Fade the Chalk at TPC LouisianaRead now

While it can be problematic in trying to find outright winners, the nature of the beast calls for a more level playing field, offering greater value to underdogs in matchup bets.

No surprise, but I'm starting my card with a tandem at plus-money this week.

Kevin Kisner-Scott Brown over Bubba Watson-J.B. Holmes (+105)

The team of Kisner-Brown is my favorite of the week, considering they've probably played more golf together than any other team in field. Runners-up two years ago, I expect them to make another serious run at this title.

Even though I like the long-hitting pairing of Bubba and J.B., the plus-money is too good to ignore here.

Tommy Fleetwood-Sergio Garcia over Jason Day-Adam Scott (+110)

I get it, somebody has to be the favorite this week — both in outright betting and, obviously, in this matchup — but Day and Scott are being given too much love from the books this week. This team feels a bit too forced, as if the PGA Tour is just going to use the big names to help promote this year's Presidents Cup in … wait for it … Australia.

I'm not sure Fleetwood and Garcia will own terrific chemistry, but I think their ball-striking will be enough to take this matchup.

Abraham Ancer-Jhonattan Vegas over Lucas Glover-Chez Reavie (-110)

I was surprised to see this matchup as a pick 'em; I thought the less-heralded team of Ancer and Vegas might be the 'dog here. Even so, I like this matchup against a pair of guys in Glover and Reavie who have been running extremely hot at different times this season, but have started to slow down lately.