Sobel’s Zurich Classic Tournament Matchup Bets: Can the Jason Day-Adam Scott Team Be Beat?
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Jason Day, Adam Scott
- Jason Sobel offers his three favorite matchup bets for the Zurich Classic, which starts on Thursday.
The Zurich Classic is fun to bet, but it’s also among the most difficult tournaments of the year to handicap.
In a nutshell: Two-man teams playing two different formats for two rounds each means there’s a much higher level of volatility than other events, which in turn leads to a greater capacity for randomness.
In other words: Fade the chalk.
While it can be problematic in trying to find outright winners, the nature of the beast calls for a more level playing field, offering greater value to underdogs in matchup bets.
No surprise, but I’m starting my card with a tandem at plus-money this week.
Kevin Kisner-Scott Brown over Bubba Watson-J.B. Holmes (+105)
The team of Kisner-Brown is my favorite of the week, considering they’ve probably played more golf together than any other team in field. Runners-up two years ago, I expect them to make another serious run at this title.
Even though I like the long-hitting pairing of Bubba and J.B., the plus-money is too good to ignore here.
Tommy Fleetwood-Sergio Garcia over Jason Day-Adam Scott (+110)
I get it, somebody has to be the favorite this week — both in outright betting and, obviously, in this matchup — but Day and Scott are being given too much love from the books this week. This team feels a bit too forced, as if the PGA Tour is just going to use the big names to help promote this year’s Presidents Cup in … wait for it … Australia.
I’m not sure Fleetwood and Garcia will own terrific chemistry, but I think their ball-striking will be enough to take this matchup.
Abraham Ancer-Jhonattan Vegas over Lucas Glover-Chez Reavie (-110)
I was surprised to see this matchup as a pick ’em; I thought the less-heralded team of Ancer and Vegas might be the ‘dog here. Even so, I like this matchup against a pair of guys in Glover and Reavie who have been running extremely hot at different times this season, but have started to slow down lately.