2020 Houston Open Longshot Bets: Our Experts’ Sleeper Picks at Memorial Park
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Austin Cook
- The 2020 Houston Open is the last PGA TOUR event before the Masters. Will the top players in the field at Memorial Park be motivated?
- Our GolfBet analysts share their sleeper picks for the Houston Open.
The 2020 Houston Open will be a peculiar tournament to handicap for a couple of reasons and that means it could be a fun event for longshot bettors.
Most notably, the looming trip to Augusta presents bettors with the unenviable task of trying to figure out which players — especially those who fancy their chances at donning the Green Jacket — are just taking the trip to Houston to get their game in order for next weekend.
This motivational quandary could create some chaos near the top of the oddsboard as three of this week’s favorites — Dustin Johnson, Adam Scott and Brooks Koepka — have all missed a considerable amount of time over the past few months and will be hoping to shake off some rust at Memorial Park.
Adding more fuel to the variance fire is the fact that Memorial Park hasn’t hosted a TOUR event since 1963 and I’m pretty sure they didn’t have shot-link data back then. With no course history to go off of and Augusta just over the horizon, the Houston Open could be bizarre.
We’ve already seen four triple-digit longshots win in the 2020/21 PGA TOUR season. We another upset the odds this week?
Here are our favorite sleepers at the 2020 Houston Open:
Austin Cook (+15000)
At last month’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, there was a three-way playoff between eventual champion Martin Laird, one of the tourney faves in Matthew Wolff and Cook, who will likely be the forgotten man of this group moving forward. He hasn’t played since then, but I’m willing to take a chance that Cook’s game has remained in solid shape.
If nothing else, he should be a solid play for top-10/20 props and a low-cost DFS option, having missed just one cut in his last nine starts.
Sam Burns (+10000)
My entire card is basically sleepers this week, so it’s tough to pick just one, but I’ll highlight Sam Burns here since he is really long and usually gains strokes with the driver, which should help him on a course with five par 5s. The LSU alum is also a great Bermuda putter. That’s been my target for the week, bombers who putt Bermuda well.
Burns’ results have been up and down and we’ve seen him at about half this price in similar fields, so this looks like a decent spot to buy low on him at a course that should fit his style.
Cam Davis (+7500)
As I noted in my pick of Scottie Scheffler, I am giving the edge to the bombers and the birdie-makers this week and Cameron Davis certainly fits that profile.
Davis has had a really solid run of golf to start the new season, topping out with a sixth-place finish last month at the Shriners. He has shown the ability a number of times to compete with the top players, especially in low scoring events. The Australian finished 14th in Birdie or Better Percentage last season, and 34th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Percentage.
He comes into the week playing some of the best golf of his career, and Memorial Park is course that should fit his game well.
James Hahn (+8000)
Hahn is coming to Houston riding some excellent form. He most recently finished fifth at Shriners while gaining 6.7 strokes on approach and 9.9 tee to green. His two starts previous to that he finished sixth at Corales and ninth at Safeway. To say Hahn is trending towards a win would be an understatement.
Hahn isn’t a great putter but the best putting performance of his career came last year at the Houston Open which was at a different course but I do expect the greens to be similar.
With two PGA TOUR wins under his belt, I don’t question the 39-year-old’s ability to get it done if he gets into contention.