2020 Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Betting Picks: Our Favorite Props and Matchup Bets For the Tournament
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Charles Howell III
- The Mayakoba Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico is the last full-field PGA TOUR event of 2020.
- There are a couple of big names in the field, including Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka, but Team GolfBet is looking further down the board for their favorite props and matchup bets at the Mayakoba
- Check out our experts' full betting breakdowns for each pick below.
When it comes to betting props and matchups in golf there are a number of different strategies. Some bettors prefer to back the game’s most consistent players, the high-floor, low-ceiling types. Other punters like to bet on the more volatile players and hope for big payday if their player gets hot.
Team GolfBet is on both sides of the fence for the 2020 Mayakoba Classic. Here are our favorite prop bets and matchup plays for this week’s PGA TOUR event:
Ollie Schneiderjans Top-10 Finish (+1400)
In his last 10 PGA/KFT starts, Ollie has been the embodiment of all-or-nothing: MC-3rd-MC-MC-8th-MC-12th-10th-MC-7th. That won’t win him any awards for consistency, but as we all know by now, consistency is overrated in this game.
Not that we’d turn down the career of Charles Howell III, but you know he’d trade a few of those millions for one of John Daly’s major championship trophies.
Anyway… Schniederjans has finished top-10 in four of those last 10 starts, which far exceeds the implied odds from his number here. Sure, there’s a chance his penchant for all-or-nothing results in nothing again, but his top-10 equity is far greater than those at a similar price.
Charles Howell III Top-20 Finish (+200)
I’ll go with old reliable here at a decent number. Charles Howell III has finished inside the top-20 in eight of his past 10 starts at Mayakoba. It’s a course that just suits his consistent nature.
Normally, I’d like a little better current form for these bets, as Howell hasn’t finished inside the top-20 since July, but CH3 has made six of eight cuts during that span and his short game is dialed in.
His ball-striking could be turning a corner, too, as Howell gained strokes with his approach for the first time since July at the RSM two weeks ago.
Adam Long Top-20 Finish (+260)
Adam Long has been trending in the right direction over the past few events and now he gets to return to a course where he finished runner-up in 2019.
Long has made the cut in each of his last four tournaments, including an 11th-place finish in Houston and, most recently, a 30th at the RSM Classic.
I don’t think Long needs to go crazy to payoff a 20th-place finish at a course he shot four rounds in the 60s en route to a 19 under-par finish last year. Considering his form and history I think you can take a chance on Long in some additional markets up to maybe Top 5, but this one feels pretty safe and still provides solid return.
Pat Perez Top-10 Finish (+1000)
I am giving the Prince of Paspalum another shot this week. Perez has missed four cuts in a row, but the last time we saw him play well was at Corales, where he was in his comfort zone: coastal paspalum. A previous winner at El Camaleon, I feel good about Perez finding his form at a place he has some positive vibes.
Recently, we have seen a few golfers in bad form get a win on a course they have good history on. Robert Streb missed eight of his past 10 cuts prior to winning at the RSM Classic at Sea Island, a course where he had previously won (2014). Brian Gay missed nine of his past 10 cuts prior to winning the Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Club, a course where he previously finished third (2019). Pat Perez can continue this trend with a strong performance at El Camaleon.
Scott Piercy (-106) over Kevin Streelman
Piercy has played this event four times in the last six years and has yet to finish worse than 26th, including a pair of top-10s. During that run, Piercy went 2-0-1 against Streelman. He’s also finished ahead of Streelman in each of the last three events that both players played in.
I’ll back Piercy as a small dog when he’s in better form and heading to a course where he’s had more success.
Doug Ghim (-112) over Lucas Glover
Ghim is playing some of the best golf of his career thus far with a 23rd, 14th, and 18th in his past three starts. In his past 24 rounds, Ghim ranks 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach indicating his strong iron play.
Glover has one top-20 in his past eleven starts and I don’t love the course fit for him this week, so I am riding the hot hand with Ghim in this matchup.