Golf Longshot Bets & Sleeper Picks for the 2020 Workday Charity Open
Sam Greenwood, Getty Images. Pictured: Joel Dahmen
- Our golf betting crew breaks down their favorite longshot bets for this week's PGA Tour event -- the 2020 Workday Charity Open.
- Among their sleeper picks are Scottie Scheffler as well as three other players priced between 70-1 and 200-1 odds to win at Muirfield Village.
Quite often there are usually a couple of golfers who generate a significant amount of buzz in the days leading up to a tournament.
Everybody seemed to be in on Webb Simpson and Collin Morikawa at Colonial. The world was back on Webb at Harbour Town. Viktor Hovland had a lot of people backing him at TPC River Highlands. And, even though most people scoffed at the idea of betting a +650 favorite, the entire golf world was talking about Bryson DeChambeau before the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This article isn’t about those guys.
Here are our favorite sleeper picks for the 2020 Workday Charity Open:
Scottie Scheffler +9000 ($10 bet wins $900)
Will the real Scottie Scheffler please stand up?
Last week in Detroit, he posted back-to-back rounds of 79-65 to miss the cut, but at least get us excited about him moving forward. Maybe it shouldn’t matter much, but he also won the Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship at the nearby Ohio State Scarlet Course last summer.
Perhaps a bit undervalued after a slow restart following the COVID-19 break, I like the idea of jumping on Scheffler for a title contention this week.
Henrik Norlander +20000
Norlander is coming off a great ball-striking performance at Detroit Golf Club.
He gained over 10 strokes combined off the tee and with the approach to lead the Rocket Mortgage field by a wide margin. Unfortunately, the Swede’s putter was ice cold.
The good news for this week is that Muirfield Village has been kind to poor putters in the past. Hideki Matsuyama has a win here and Byeong-hun An lost in a playoff against Bryson DeChambeau at the 2018 Memorial.
If the tee-to-green game carries over for Norlander, he could contend in this strong field.
Joel Dahmen +10000
My two favorite longer shots this week are Scottie Scheffler and Cam Champ, but since they’ve both been discussed here, I’ll give another I think is intriguing.
Dahmen didn’t play particularly well here at Muirfield in his first visit last year, but it’s really hard to ignore his form in 2020. He was awesome prior to the COVID-19 layoff, and in his three events since golf returned, he’s kept up the hot play. In that stretch, he’s hit nearly 75% of his greens, and he’s really racked up birdies consistent with some of the best in the field.
It’s obviously hard to hit a 100/1 longshot, but I do think he’s underpriced at DraftKings and should be more in the 65-70/1 range. I’d look to buy him in top-20 (or 30/40) markets, and I think he’s a strong DFS play who could go overlooked.
Kevin Streelman +7000
There are plenty of stats that are pointing me to Streelman.
Bryan Mears highlighted the importance of ball-striking, scrambling and par-4 scoring in his story about the most important metrics at Muirfield Village and our guy has those stats covered, and then some.
Not only does Streelman currently rank within the top-30 in ball-striking, long-term scrambling and par-4 scoring, but’s he’s been accurate off the tee the past few events and he has solid course history here, including four top-20 finishes since 2015.