2021 RSM Classic Odds & Best Bets: 7 Picks at Sea Island

2021 RSM Classic Odds & Best Bets: 7 Picks at Sea Island article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Denny McCarthy (left) and Justin Rose.

And then there was one tournament left in the PGA TOUR's fall swing.

There will be two more in December, but the RSM Classic is the most noteworthy event remaining in 2021. A strong field, headlined by Ryder Cup winners Scottie Scheffler and Harris English, as well as Webb Simpson and Louis Oosthuizen, are set to compete in Sea Island, Ga.

FedEx Cup points that are earned now could be hugely valuable next August come playoff time, and Jason Kokrak joined the ranks of fall winners last week in Houston.

Here are our best bets for the RSM, including outright winners, props and more.

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2021 RSM Classic Odds

Click here to see the full odds board as of Monday via DraftKings
Scottie Scheffler+1000
Webb Simpson+1200
Cameron Smith+1400
Louis Oosthuizen+1600
Russell Henley+2200
Corey Conners+2200
Harris English+2500
Talor Gooch+3500
Adam Scott+3500
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Alexander Noren+3500
Chris Kirk+4500
Justin Rose+5000
Kevin Kisner+5000
Mackenzie Hughes+5000
Charles Howell III+6000
Keegan Bradley+6000
Brendon Todd+6000
Mito Pereira+6000
Joel Dahmen+6500
Seamus Power+6500
Max Homa+6500
Jhonattan Vegas+6500
Danny Lee+6500
Matt Kuchar+6500
Robert Streb+7000
Taylor Moore+8000
Branden Grace+8000
Brian Harman+8000
Kevin Streelman+8000
Patrick Rodgers+8000
Jason Day+8000
Matt Wallace+8000
Greyson Sigg+8000
Troy Merritt+8000
Scott Piercy+9000
Adam Long+9000
Aaron Rai+9000
Alex Smalley+9000
Luke List+9000
Matthias Schwab+10000
Lanto Griffin+10000
Sebastian Munoz+10000
Hayden Buckley+10000
Emiliano Grillo+10000
Adam Hadwin+10000
Henrik Norlander+11000
Brian Stuard+13000
Brendan Steele+13000
Matt Jones+13000
Lucas Glover+13000
Keith Mitchell+13000
J.J. Spaun+13000
Cameron Davis+13000
Dylan Frittelli+13000
Patton Kizzire+13000
Zach Johnson+13000
Denny McCarthy+13000
Tom Hoge+13000
Doug Ghim+13000
Tyler Duncan+13000
Harry Higgs+13000
Chez Reavie+13000
Adam Schenk+13000
Stewart Cink+13000
Chad Ramey+13000
Camilo Villegas+15000
Michael Thompson+15000
Hank Lebioda+15000
Cameron Young+15000
Russell Knox+15000
Austin Cook+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Taylor Pendrith+15000
Matthew NeSmith+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Stephan Jaeger+15000
Andrew Landry+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Davis Riley+15000
Nick Hardy+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Peter Uihlein+18000
Jim Herman+18000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+18000
Kyle Stanley+18000
Sahith Theegala+18000
John Huh+18000
Kramer Hickok+18000
Hudson Swafford+18000
Vaughn Taylor+20000
Roger Sloan+20000
Andrew Putnam+20000
Seth Reeves+20000
Graeme McDowell+20000
Sepp Straka+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Brice Garnett+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
David Lipsky+25000
Chesson Hadley+25000
Kurt Kitayama+25000
Kelly Kraft+25000
Andrew Novak+25000
Justin Lower+25000
Anirban Lahiri+25000
Sam Ryder+25000
Curtis Thompson+25000
Bronson Burgoon+25000
Max McGreevy+25000
Ben Kohles+25000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Dylan Wu+25000
Nate Lashley+25000
Brian Gay+30000
Richy Werenski+30000
Sunghoon Kang+30000
Brandon Hagy+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Jimmy Walker+30000
Dawie Van Der Walt+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
Doc Redman+30000
Paul Barjon+30000
Martin Trainer+30000
William McGirt+30000
Joseph Bramlett+30000
Bill Haas+30000
Scott Gutschewski+30000
Jonathan Byrd+30000
Chris Stroud+30000
Adam Svensson+30000
David Skinns+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Joshua Creel+30000
Callum Tarren+30000
Brandon Wu+30000
Tyler McCumber+40000
Ben Crane+40000
Davis Thompson+40000
Brett Drewitt+40000
Noh Seung-yul+40000
Michael Gligic+40000
Austin Smotherman+40000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Jared Wolfe+50000
Davis Love III+100000
J.P Griffin+100000

Denny McCarthy — Top 20 (+450)

Jason Sobel: Over the past few years, McCarthy has earned a reputation as one of the game’s best putters, especially on Bermuda surfaces. If this past Sunday was any indication, he’s ready to show off even more than usual with that short game. In the final round of the Houston Open, McCarthy gained 3.04 strokes around the greens and 2.89 strokes on the greens – a combination which can turn some mediocre ball-striking into an impressive overall score.

There are plenty of players about whom we often marvel at their iron play and wince at the short game. McCarthy is the exact opposite; if we get just something a little above field average from tee to green, he has a great chance to contend this week, but I’ll still take a cautious approach on a top-20 at a juicy price.

Denny McCarthy (+11000)

Chris Murphy: In a tournament that can become a putting contest, I will happily turn to one of the best Bermuda putters on TOUR in Denny McCarthy. He ranks in the top five in this field in putting on Bermuda grass greens no matter how far out you want to take it. He's simply one of the best in the game at rolling it on the greens he will see this week on Sea Island, and he comes in with some form in his game.

I was on McCarthy last week for a top-10 finish, which really hurt as he fell one stroke short and finished T-11. This wasn't your typical scenario of falling short though as McCarthy needed a field best final round to climb into that position. His 6-under 64 was one of the best scores of the entire week, and he did it with sharp play tee to green and a hot putter, which gained over two strokes in that final round.

I am looking for McCarthy to roll that form into this week in Georgia at a place he has played well historically, including a T-8 finish a couple of years ago. I will be betting McCarthy more heavily in the placing markets this week, but he's worth a sprinkle to win at this number, as well.

Bet Justin Rose at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Justin Rose (+6600)

Matt Vincenzi: Justin Rose may not be having his best few years on TOUR, but if there is one thing he can still do, it’s take advantage of a short Bermuda track. When analyzing his past 50, 36, and 24 rounds; he ranks second in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on par-70 layouts under 7,200 yards that feature Bermuda grass greens. Regardless of time frame, there is no denying that this type of course is the ideal fit for the 41-year-old.

Although he missed the cut in his only previous start at the course, Rose does have some success at similar courses. I am also willing to chalk up his poor performance last year due to the event being held the week after The Masters, where he finished 23rd.

The Englishman doesn’t play often on the PGA TOUR, but he always shows up to the events that he knows he will be able to compete in. Back in August, Rose played in the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club and finished 10th despite being in some very shaky form overall.

Rose arrives at Sea Island this week in similar form, but there is no doubt that this is a course where he can find himself in contention on Sunday.

Alex Smalley — Top 20 (+470)

Landon Silinsky: Smalley has very much looked the part during his brief stint on the PGA TOUR this season, having made four of five cuts including back-to-back top-15 finishes in Bermuda and Houston. Last week at Memorial Park was especially impressive, as he gained over 1.2 strokes on approach both Saturday and Sunday, which has shown to be a big-boy course.

Albeit over a small sample (14 rounds) Smalley has putted extremely well on Bermuda, gaining about 0.4 strokes per round on the field. The 25-year old appears to be the real deal and hardly anyone knows how good he is just yet.

Bet Alex Smalley at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Patton Kizzire — Top 40 (+210)

Rob Bolton: With wind all but certain to hurl a 1-iron into the middle of a rotation of two courses, my plan is simple. I want a guy who’s among the 78 looping Plantation on Thursday because scores in relation to par are projected rise on it potentially exponentially as compared to Seaside on Friday.

This has me limping into the props for a top 40. I’d like to at least double the kickback to pay off the approach, and I’d like to ride a veteran with success in the wind. If he’s considered connected to Sea Island in some way, that’s a bonus.

I couldn’t find an attractive selection at DraftKings longer than +170, which is Kizzire’s value on that board, but there’s a small handful that qualifiers at FanDuel.

The 10-year Sea Island resident checks every box on my list of priorities, and I already identified him as one of my five sleepers at PGATOUR.com.

Kizzire is in his eighth appearance at Sea Island, so nothing will surprise him this week. In fact, he should be emboldened because of his experience in all conditions in the home game. He also made the cut in each of the last four editions with a pair of top-15s contributing.

You know me, I looked at the parlays at BetMGM, but with the roof open to the elements, selecting one guy to finish inside top quarter of the field is smarter than leaning on three just to cash.

Russell Henley (+2800)

Josh Perry: Henley is the top player on the board for me this week. Bermuda is by far his best putting surface, and the irons have been in solid shape for about five months now. He's also one of many players with strong local ties, having been born in Georgia and attending UGA.

Russell Henley (+2800)

Bryan Berryman: Henley grades out as the second-best player in my model for this week, and for good reason. He ranks first in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 12 rounds and second over the last 24 rounds in this field.  Henley has also gained at least 4.6 strokes tee-to-green in eight of his last nine tracked events and has made 10 of his last 11 cuts.

The putter has been holding Henley back of late, but he did manage to gain 3.7 strokes putting last week on his way to a seventh-place finish. On top of it all, he has great history at this event with three top-10 finishes in his last six starts.

On a second shot golf course that requires accuracy off the tee, I can’t think of a better fit.

Bet Russell Henley at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

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