Updated 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds & 9 Picks for Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, More

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The Charles Schwab Challenge is an excellent follow-up to what was an excellent PGA Championship last week.

Three of the top-five players in the world and five of the top 10 are at Colonial Country Club for one of the PGA TOUR’s oldest stops in Fort Worth. That doesn’t even include Will Zalatoris, a Dallas native who came close to besting Justin Thomas last weekend in Tulsa.

Colonial, like Southern Hills Country Club, is a par-70, but it plays 400 yards longer than the PGA Championship host course. A certain type of player has generally won at Colonial, but last year Jason Kokrak broke that mold.

Our GolfBet staff is on it this week, laying out its favorite bets and picks for the Charles Schwab below.

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Picks

Maverick McNealy — Top 20 (+250)

Jason Sobel: While he didn’t show his typical high floor last week, McNealy has proven to be a dangerous commodity on short courses, playing well at places like Pebble Beach and Harbour Town so far in his young career.

McNealy also seems like he’s on the verge of figuring this one out, improving from 42nd in his first start to 32nd at the next one to 20th last year.

Justin Rose +6500

Chris Murphy: There are a lot of spots I could go here and I am still deciding what I want to do at the top of the board, but I am sticking with my Sunday night best bet of Justin Rose heading into this week.

Rose put together one of his best weeks of the year last week at the PGA Championship as he closed out the week at even par to finish T13. Rose gained 5.2 shots on that elite major field with his irons, gaining strokes on approach in every round and even picking it up a notch over the weekend.

Rose's finish was the best he has had since January and it comes at a great time. Now, he heads into a course where he has had great success in his career, including a 2018 victory. Rose has not missed a cut in his last four trips to this event and three of those resulted in top 20s with two being top 3s.

Rose is 40-1 or 50-1 at most books. The best number is at DraftKings at 65-1, on which I’ll be all over him in all markets.

Jordan Spieth +1200

Matt Vincenzi: Spieth was my headline bet at the Byron Nelson a couple weeks ago. Although he didn't get it done in the end, he did nothing to dissuade me from believing that a win in Texas for him is imminent.

Course history has proven to be extremely important at Colonial and there is none better at the course (or even close) than Spieth. In his past six trips to Fort Worth, he has six top-ten finishes including a win and three runners-up. His form overall in the state of Texas is nothing short of immaculate.

Spieth's performance at the PGA Championship wasn't his best showing, but statistically he continued his strong ball striking. He gained 8.6 strokes from tee to green including a solid 4.7 strokes on approach. He's still struggling on the greens, as he lost 3.2 strokes on the field with the putter.

In his past four starts at Colonial Country Club, Spieth has gained 7.1 (2021), 8.6 (2020), and 7.5 (2019). If there was ever a place where the 28-year-old can find his putting stroke, it's here.

Spieth opened the week everywhere around 15-1, but he was bet heavily on Tuesday and is now even the betting favorite at PointsBet. You can still get 12-1 at BetMGM, as of Tuesday night.

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Tony Finau +4000

Joshua Perry: Finau has not been his usual consistent self this season, but there have been signs of improvement overall.

Finau gained strokes across the board last week at the PGA. It was the first time he accomplished that since his win at the Northern Trust last year. He also showed glimpses of elite ball striking. He gained six strokes off the tee at the Wells Fargo a couple weeks ago and in Mexico, he gained eight strokes with his irons on his way to a second-place finish.

This has also been a spot where Finau has played well. He was runner-up to Kevin Na in 2019 and has made the cut in all six starts, with no result worse than 34th.

Chris Kirk — Outright (+5000) & Top 5 (+1000)

Derek Farnsworth: Even though Kirk has a lot of missed cuts on his resume this season, most of those have been by one or two strokes. The underlying statistics continue to look solid, as he has gained at least two strokes tee to green in 10 of his last 11 events. He put together a strong Sunday round at the PGA Championship to vault up into a tie for fifth and now returns to one of his favorite courses on tour.

Kirk has made nine straight cuts at Colonial Country Club and even won here back in 2015. He’s accurate off the tee, his irons have been on fire, and he’s underrated around the greens. He’ll need a good putting week to find himself in contention, but Kirk is one of those golfers that can have those spike weeks on the greens. He’s an average putter in total, but he’s gained or lost more than a stroke to the field in eight straight events.

Kirk started the week around 60-1 at most books. He’s down to 50-1 at DraftKings, and it’s even lower elsewhere.

Talor Gooch +4000

Landon Silinsky: It is likely many still have sour tastes in their mouths after rostering Gooch two weeks back at the Byron Nelson, as he shot a first-round 73 en route to an ugly missed cut. He righted the ship last week at the PGA Championship, finishing in a tie for 20th. His game was clicking on all cylinders as he gained over three strokes on approach and eight strokes tee-to-green.

Gooch has teed it up at Colonial four times in his career, making the cut three times and posting a career best finish of T14 last year. He's a way better player now than he's ever been in his career, and we're getting a nice price here on one of the most underrated golfers on the PGA TOUR.

Gooch is 35-1 at most books, but you can still get him at 40-1 at WynnBet.

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Scottie Scheffler (Top 5), Collin Morikawa (Top 10) AND Will Zalatoris (Top 20) – +2900 @ FanDuel

Rob Bolton: If we’re worried about PGA Championship hangovers, we’re not worried about it in the context of these guys.

Scheffler just goes out and plays the next shot, whether it’s right now, tomorrow, next week or in a month. See ball, hit ball, win. He’s No. 2 in my Power Rankings at PGATOUR.com.

Morikawa is No. 5. Despite his pair of wins in majors among already five PGA TOUR victories, it’s still tough to forget about his playoff loss in the Return to Golf at Colonial in 2020. He answered with a T14 last year. That he’s back again (when he doesn’t have to be) proves his affinity for the track, the test and the opportunity for redemption.

Seeing Zalatoris (No. 3) applaud Justin Thomas on Sunday at Southern Hills gave me life. What terrific spirit (again) in the face of defeat (again). So much positivity for the local resident, oh, and with talent to match. In his last five starts, he’s connected on four top-six finishes.

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Kevin Na +5000

Bryan Berryman: It’s no secret that Kevin Na loves playing at Colonial. The tight fairways, heavily bunkered approach shots, and Bentgrass greens fit perfectly into his game that is anchored by accuracy and putting.

In eight career Charles Schwab starts, he has four top-15 finishes that include a fourth in 2018 and a win in '19.

Na's superior accuracy both off the tee and into greens gives him a distinct advantage anytime he tees it up at Colonial. This accuracy has been on full display lately, hitting 65% of his fairways on the year and gaining 14.2 strokes on approach in just his last three starts.

As the 10th-ranked putter across all rounds in this field on Bentgrass, he is literally checking every box for me this week. We’re catching a player with exceptional course history, coming in with great form at a great number.

Fire up Na for your betting card this week, with PointsBet the only book still offering 50-1 as of Tuesday night.

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