PGA Picks: The 4 Best Bets To Win The 3M Open
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Jhonnatan Vegas.
- Finalizing your PGA picks for the 3M Open? Our crew is here to help.
- Find their four best outright bets to win the tournament outlined below.
- With all four at 35-1 odds or longer, there's value to be had this week.
This week’s PGA TOUR event will look a little different compared to what we’ve seen over the past six weeks.
With a WGC and the PGA Championship looming over the next two weeks, it shouldn’t be a surprise that some of the game’s biggest heavyweights are passing on this week’s 3M Open.
There’s still some big names participating, Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka for example, but a less-than-deep field should open things up for a potential off-the-radar winner.
With that in mind, here are our favorite outright bets for the 2020 3M Open:
Erik Van Rooyen +3500
Trust me: This won’t be the last time this week that you’ll hear about EVR’s local connection, as the South African went to college at the University of Minnesota, married a Minnesota girl and will be staying with his Minnesota in-laws during the event.
“This one will be special for me, because it is somewhat of a homecoming,” he told Brian Stensaas of the Star Tribune. ”It’s a track that I love, a track that I have so many fond memories of playing with my old teammates.”
The world’s 43rd-ranked player has been a bit all-or-nothing on the PGA TOUR this year in his first full campaign on the U.S. circuit. In seven starts during this calendar year, he’s missed the cut four times, but also has three finishes of 22nd or better, including at last week’s Memorial. I like everything about him this week and think he has what it takes to win this title.
Sam Burns +4500
Not much really catches my eye from an outright perspective this week, but Sam Burns has been playing well over the past month and finished seventh last year, so he’s at least interesting.
Burns may kind of slip under the radar compared to some of the other young guns on the PGA TOUR but he’s got the talent to win. And with many of the stars gearing up for some bigger events on the horizon, this is a good chance for him to take advantage.
Jhonattan Vegas +6600
The guy who intrigues me the most this week is Tommy Fleetwood, who hasn’t played since the COVID-19 shutdown, and last we saw him he had a tough tournament. But he sets up pretty perfectly for Twin Cities, which will really highlight the best drivers of the ball — both distance and accuracy. And Fleetwood is among the best in the world at that skill, though you’ll have to pay a steep price even after the layoff at 17/1.
Let’s go down the board a bit for another interesting guy in Jhonattan Vegas at 66/1 at DraftKings. Again, Total Driving will be the stat I lean on the most this week, and Vegas comes into this tournament top-10 this season in that regard. He’s sixth in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. This week may be a free for all given the jumbled field, but if Jhonny is able to play his usual game with his driver, he should be right there.
Bubba Watson +3500
As Matthew Wolff and Bryson DeChambeau showed in the inaugural year of this event, bombers should do well at the 3M Open. That should bode well for Bubba, who ranks eighth this season in driving distance and snapped out of his recent skid by finishing 32nd at Memorial
Watson skipped last year’s 3M Open, but TPC Twin Cities is comparable to Innisbrook, Plantation and TPC River Highlands, and considering that he has two victories and six other top-10 finishes at those ballparks, I think he’s a good shout this week.