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Adam Scott Is Undervalued in Betting, DFS Markets at PGA Championship

Credit:

Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Adam Scott

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Adam Scott PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-5, T-15, MC, T-18, T-61

Odds: +15,000 to win, +600 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -225 to make cut

Best Matchup Value (Sportsbook): Scott (-105) over Rafa Cabrera-Bello (-125)

Tee Times: 12:53 p.m. ET (Thursday); 7:27 a.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

I’ve gone back and forth on Scott this week. On one hand, he’s long, hits greens, and seems to be a great fit for the course overall. On the other hand, I think par-4 scoring could be important to contend, and he’s one of the worst in the field in that regard. Plus, his putting is always scary to bet on. Still, his talent gives him immense upside, and it seems those concerns are already priced into the markets. He’s +15,000 to win, which seems like a great value, and his $7,600 DraftKings price tag is too low given his win equity.


The Metrics

Here’s how Scott ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-33rd
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-32nd
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 16th
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: 20th
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 13th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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