BMW Championship: Can Patrick Cantlay finally break through

The question isn't if Patrick Cantlay will win on the PGA Tour, it's when.

Cantlay is without question the most talented player on tour without a win. During a limited schedule this season, he recorded a second and a third place finish.

The consistency he's played with may be the only surprising thing about his results this year. Cantlay hasn't missed a cut this year and his consecutive cuts made streak of 12 ranks sixth on tour. Given how erratic his schedule has been, that consistency has been the most impressive part of his season.

This week, it comes down to whether or not he's ready to win against the best players in the world. I think he's close. He's been in the top 15 the last two playoff events, so his game has been in pretty good shape and at 55/1, I'll be firing. I'll probably be backing him at anything over 50/1 in these full strength events and 30/1 in the fall series until he finally wins.

A couple other guys that caught my eye were Phil Mickelson and Zach Johnson. Phil looked focused last time out and was one poor bunker shot from cashing the top 5. He's worth a gamble at 65/1.

Meanwhile, Johnson won here in 2013, and at 75/1, it's worth the risk. I also like that he played well in a similar spot at the Bridgestone, taking 2nd in a no-cut event with about 70 of the best players in the world.

Later today I'll break down the longshot plays tabbed in Monday's column.

Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. He's one of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22

Photo: © Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

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