AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: How to Bet the Second Round
Feb 8, 2018; Pebble Beach, CA, USA; A detailed view of the 17th hole flag stick during the first round of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am golf tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Links. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
After the opening round of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, most of big names are still in contention.
Dustin Johnson shot a round of 5-under par 67 on one of the more difficult courses being used in this tournament, Spyglass Hill, and remains at the top of the betting board at +350. Rory McIlroy is next behind Johnson, coming in at +700 after a round of 68 on Spyglass.
Jon Rahm also remained near the top after a 4-under par 67, and he’s listed at +1200. Rahm played the easiest of the three courses, Monterrey Peninsula, so he now has longer odds compared to his opening number (which was +1000), while Johnson and McIlroy are now bigger favorites despite posting similar scores. (Johnson moved from +550 to +350, McIlroy from +1000 to +700.)
Looking back at the first round, Kevin Streelman and Beau Hossler shot rounds of 65 on Spyglass and Pebble Beach, respectively, and each moved to +1800. Those two threw a wrench into our first-round leader plays. The thought process was right in targeting the easier golf course. Monterrey played nearly a shot easier on average in relation to par, but no one produced that ultra-low round.
R1 scoring → @attproam
69.558 = MPCC (-1.442)
71.231 = Spy (-0.769)
71.308 = Pebble (-0.692)
— Rob Bolton (@RobBoltonGolf) February 9, 2018
As the tournament progresses, I’m going to keep an eye on Patrick Cantlay. He’s at +2000 after a 5-under round on Monterrey. I want to see how he plays Pebble Beach on Friday before deciding whether to jump in on him, though. If he can shoot a good score there then head to Spyglass on Saturday with some wind in the forecast, I think he’ll be worth a play. As mentioned in The Action Network’s tournament betting preview, Spyglass is usually the hardest of the Pro-Am’s three courses, but when the wind whips up, it becomes the easiest because the trees protect it from the elements.
We saw with Rahm’s number that the books are taking the courses into account, and if they perceive Spyglass or Pebble to be more difficult, then we could get a better number after the second round on Cantlay with him heading to a course that may be to his benefit.
Looking at the matchup odds, it’s pretty slim pickings on the books. I do like Hossler to beat Cameron Davis, but the -300 number on Hossler is far too high for me to bet it alone. It might be a good spot for a cross-sport parlay, though; consider pairing Hossler with a favorite in basketball or hockey that you like on the money line.
Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
All odds via Bovada as of Feb. 8.