The Masters Mega Guide: Analysis, Bets for All 87 Players

The Masters Mega Guide: Analysis, Bets for All 87 Players article feature image

The Masters Mega Guide

Betting, DFS Outlook on Every Player

by THE ACTION NETWORK STAFF

Select A Player Below

The Masters. Augusta National. It’s the most perfect week of the year for golf fans everywhere.

So, of course, we had to do things big. And that means putting out a comprehensive guide that hits everything you need to know before betting the Masters: current odds, DFS pricing, and handy analysis on all 87 players in the field. Yep, even those 250,000-to-1 longshots you’ve never heard of.

And should you want to put down a few wagers, we’ll tell you the best way to do so for each golfer, according to our metrics. This does not mean every player is a good bet; rather, if you want to bet on a player, we’ll simply show you the most efficient way to do so. Not all players have a positive ROI bet based on our data, and, conversely, some players’ odds to win and finish top 5/top 20 all have positive expected value. Again, the point is to provide analysis and data on each golfer, and when you find some you want to throw some darts on, we’ll help you analyze how to do so.

Which brings us to the model that powers this bad boy. Action Network golf guru Colin Davy built this sucker from the ground up, and it takes into account all the relevant metrics for a player: Overall strokes per round, adjusted for playing conditions and strength of field, plus player history at Augusta and weather conditions. The golfers here are ranked from best to worst here, meaning the numbers would favor the No. 1 player over the No. 2 player and so forth.

That’s enough preamble. Good luck!



39. Adam Hadwin

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel

Odds: +11,500 to win, +2200 top 5, +350 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2200 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:15 a.m. (Thurs), 2 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

It’s been 15 years since a diminutive Canadian slid his arms into a green jacket, but Hadwin would be a much bigger surprise winner than Mike Weir. Then again, he’s trending in the right direction, with no MCs in his past 14 starts and a handful of impressive results against some of the year’s better fields entering this week. — Jason Sobel


32. Adam Scott

DFS Pricing: $8,000 DraftKings, $10,400 FanDuel

Odds: +5500 to win, +1000 top 5, +200 top 20, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Adam Scott (-125) vs. Patrick Reed (+105)

Tee Times: 1:38 p.m. (Thurs), 10:42 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Scott is undoubtedly worth a look at his price on DraftKings. He’s played this tournament 16 times, missing the cut twice and hasn’t missed the cut since 2009. The 2013 Masters winner hasn’t missed a cut in his past four outing this PGA Tour season, but he also hasn’t finished better than 13th. However, his form is still respectable with a 68.6 Recent Adjusted Round Score, and his 68.1 Course Adjusted Round Score in his past six trips at The Masters ranks seventh among golfers who have played this course at least three times during this span. He’s on the lower end of the spectrum in Vegas odds among people in his price range, but he’s an overall safe play with upside for more. — Justin Bailey


20. Alex Noren

DFS Pricing: $8,100 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel

Odds: +4500 to win, +800 top 5, +135 top 20, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -350 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Alex Noren (+120) vs. Matt Kuchar (-140)

Tee Times: 1:49 p.m. (Thurs), 10:53 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

European Tour fans have known about Noren’s ball-striking prowess for years, but golf’s “best-kept secret” in the U.S. is now a familiar face. The Swede owns a second-place finish and two thirds already this year. Because of his professional success and elevated ranking, it’s surprising that Noren has only played one Masters previously – a missed cut last year. — Jason Sobel


71. Angel Cabrera

DFS Pricing: $6,400 DraftKings, $10,200 FanDuel

Odds: +30,000 to win, +6600 top 5, +1200 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1200 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:59 a.m. (Thurs), 9:03 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Cabrera has played two events in 2018 — a WD at Pebble Beach and a MC at a soft Corrales Puntacana tournament a week ago. The former Masters champion has a Long-Term Driving Distance 289.4 yards, and his Long-Term 61.4% GIR leaves much to be desired. To take down some large-field DFS tournaments, you’re going to need a lot of your team to compete and finish high. Cabrera is not that guy. — Justin Bailey


48. Austin Cook

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel

Odds: +25,000 to win, +5000 top 5, +600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +5000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Austin Cook (-120) vs. Billy Horschel (+100)

Tee Times: 8:30 a.m. (Thurs), 11:15 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Cook is a promising young player who probably doesn’t yet receive enough credit for his quick rise to prominence, but it’s difficult to see this week being anything more than a terrific learning experience for him to build on in future years. — Jason Sobel


61. Bernd Wiesberger

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel

Odds: +25,000 to win, +4000 top 5, +600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +4000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:14 a.m. (Thurs), 11:59 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I don’t really see a way to use Wiesberger and be profitable. It just looks like he’ll check in with a 45th place finish, which won’t help you in fantasy. There’s no bet on the table I’d really look at. He’s the epitome of mediocrity in this field. — Joshua Perry


78. Bernhard Langer

DFS Pricing: $6,300 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel

Odds: +45,000 to win, +9000 top 5, +1400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1400 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:43 p.m. (Thurs), 9:36 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Over the past couple years, Langer has crushed the Senior Tour, but it appears the 60-year old is finally starting to slow down a bit. He doesn’t have a win in 2018, and I can’t imagine him being too competitive here. If you can find a plus-money bet on him making the cut, I’d consider it, but I’d stay away from him in any low senior props and look elsewhere. — Joshua Perry


62. Billy Horschel

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel

Odds: +25,000 to win, +6000 top 5, +600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:26 a.m. (Thurs), 8:30 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Horschel won’t be in consideration for me this week. He’s in very poor form, hitting 58.4% of greens in regulation in his past three tournaments this season. Outside of his 54th-place finish at the Valspar, he hasn’t made a cut since the Phoenix Open, when he finished 43rd. — Justin Bailey


29. Branden Grace

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $10,200 FanDuel

Odds: +8000 to win, +1600 top 5, +275 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Branden Grace (-140) vs. Rafa Cabrera-Bello (+120)

Tee Times: 10:31 a.m. (Thurs), 1:16 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Looking for a consistent player who should make the cut and won’t give you much heartburn? Look no further than Grace, who hasn’t finished outside the top-40 in the past six months, but also hasn’t seriously contended in any of the several continents he’s played on so far this year. — Jason Sobel


26. Brendan Steele

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +2500 top 5, +450 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Brendan Steele (-135) vs. Kyle Stanley (+115)

Tee Times: 8:52 a.m. (Thurs), 11:37 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

His data within our PGA Models is being dragged down by an awful showing in his first appearance at Augusta in 2012: He posted a 74.4 Adjusted Round Score and hit only 50% of his greens. In his return last year, Steele posted a 68.3 Adj Rd Score and hit 67% of his greens — good for a 27th-place finish. In both years, he struggled to navigate the tricky Augusta greens. He’s more talented than his odds and DraftKings pricing, but I’m afraid his putter might get the better of him again. I could get interested in matchups props here but won’t be firing at his to-win odds. — Bryan Mears


31. Brian Harman

DFS Pricing: $7,500 DraftKings, $10,100 FanDuel

Odds: +8000 to win, +1300 top 5, +225 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -250 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:25 a.m. (Thurs), 12:10 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Harman doesn’t quite fit the mold of the player I am looking to target on the DFS side of things. He’s on the shorter side off the tee, sporting a Long-Term Driving Distance of 288.9 yards and he’s played this course once (in 2015) and missed the cut. While there are golfers with similar driving distances, who’ve had success here, the lack of course history concerns me. However, there is some reason for optimism as he has been playing well as of late with a 68.7 Recent Adjusted Round score thanks to his 69.9% GIR and -4.3 Average Adjusted Strokes on par-5s in his past four tournaments. — Justin Bailey


44. Bryson DeChambeau

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

Odds: +8000 to win, +1400 top 5, +250 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -250 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:14 a.m. (Thurs), 11:59 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

DeChambeau is probably my favorite sleeper in this field. I’ll have money on him somewhere, most likely in the top-10 market with a sprinkle on the outright win. His tee-to-green game and par-5 scoring have been lights out this season. If it wasn’t for Rory McIlroy having the greatest putting performance of his life, DeChambeau would have won the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He showed two years ago as an amateur that his game suits Augusta, and I expect a good result in his first pro start on the course. — Joshua Perry


33. Bubba Watson

DFS Pricing: $8,700 DraftKings, $10,300 FanDuel

Odds: +1535 to win, +325 top 5, -165 top 20, -700 to make cut, +425 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +425 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:04 a.m. (Thurs), 1:49 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The calendar tells us it’s an even-numbered year, which means there’s been a 50-50 chance of Bubba winning the Masters so far this decade. The schedule tells us he’s trending the right way, with two wins already this year. It’s hard to imagine Watson playing poorly this week, but it’s equally tough to imagine him joining the likes of Demaret, Snead, Player, Faldo and Mickelson with three career wins. — Jason Sobel


45. Cameron Smith

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel

Odds: +12,500 to win, +1800 top 5, +300 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -225 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:26 a.m. (Thurs), 8:30 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I’m generally high on the talent of the 24-year-old Australian, but I’ll probably wait another year to be high on him at Augusta. He’s been playing great golf outside of a poor showing at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and he’s especially been crushing par 5s, which is very important here. That said, it’s mostly been due to him draining putts; his 58.4% Recent GIR mark definitely drops him down in our PGA Models. The talent is there; will the short game be a positive or negative this week? — Bryan Mears


49. Charl Schwartzel

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel

Odds: +9000 to win, +1800 top 5, +275 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -200 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:54 p.m. (Thurs), 9:47 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Schwartzel is interesting at $7,400 on DraftKings, and by interesting, I mean like rostering him maybe once or twice if you are mass multi-entering lineups for tournaments. He won this tournament in 2011 and finished third in 2017, but his recent form is abysmal (70.8 Recent Adjusted Round Score; 57.4% of greens in regulation). He’s got the course history to possibly make the cut, and he has an outside chance of maybe contending for some decent placing bonuses at what’s likely to be very low ownership. But don’t count on much more than that: Outside of Schwartzel’s third- and first-place finishes, he finished 25th or worse every year. — Justin Bailey


27. Charley Hoffman

DFS Pricing: $7,100 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel

Odds: +9000 to win, +1600 top 5, +300 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Charley Hoffman (-120) vs. Brian Harman (+100)

Tee Times: 11:15 a.m. (Thurs), 2 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Hoff has a solid 68.0 Course Adjusted Round Score at Augusta over his past three visits, and he’s been striking the ball well of late, hitting 69.9% of his greens in regulation over his past four tournaments this year. His issue has been accuracy off the tee — he’s hit just 48% of his fairways over his past four — but that hasn’t shown to be very important at Augusta. Hoffman has struggled with his putter, but most people find difficulties on the Augusta greens, which might put him back on an even playing field. He’s an interesting contrarian play in DFS and Colin’s model suggests backing him at his betting numbers, too. — Bryan Mears


42. Chez Reavie

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel

Odds: +35,000 to win, +3300 top 5, +550 top 20

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:26 a.m. (Thurs), 8:30 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Chez is usually a favorite of ours at FantasyLabs, but it’s hard to justify buying him this week. He’s missed the cut in each of his past two appearances here in 2012 and 2009, and he’s coming into the week in poor form. He missed the cut at the Houston Open and Valspar Championship, and he’s been especially bad with his short irons around the green. That won’t play at Augusta. — Bryan Mears


17. Daniel Berger

DFS Pricing: $7,500 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel

Odds: +9000 to win, +1600 top 5, +300 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Daniel Berger (-130) vs. Charl Schwartzel (+110)

Tee Times: 9:36 a.m. (Thurs), 12:32 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Berger is interesting at his price on DraftKings if you’re looking for someone to fill out your roster. His recent form isn’t great, hitting 62.2% of GIR and his +3 Average Adjusted Strokes on par-4s leaves much to be desired — especially since these are two very important metrics at Augusta. That said, Berger’s 67.7 Course Adjusted Round Score is the third-best mark in the field among golfers who have at least two appearances at Augusta. There are more appealing values within his price range with more course history and better recent form, but some underweight exposure should suffice. — Justin Bailey


68. Danny Willett

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel

Odds: +30,000 to win, +5000 top 5, +600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +5000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:58 a.m. (Thurs), 12:54 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

What a long, strange trip it’s been for the 2016 Masters champion. On top of the golfing world just 24 months ago, Willett has suspiciously dropped a few hundred spots in the world rankings and erased his name from the list of contenders for a second career green jacket. — Jason Sobel


81. Doc Redman

DFS Pricing: $6,500 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel

Odds: +75,000 to win, +12,500 top 5, +2500 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:53 a.m. (Thurs), 1:38 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The 20-year-old amateur from Clemson is someone to definitely watch at Augusta in future years. I just read a long article about his work ethic and how he practiced 7,000 putts per week when he was a kid. That’s exactly the type of golfer I’d want at Augusta, although it’s a little early to bet on him now in his first trip in this loaded field. I am interested in him as the low amateur, though. — Bryan Mears


84. Doug Ghim

DFS Pricing: $6,400 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +100,000 to win, +15,000 top 5, +2800 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2800 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:37 a.m. (Thurs), 8:41 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Ghim is real threat to take down low amateur honors. A senior at Texas, he’s the No. 4 amateur in the world and qualified for the Masters after reaching the U.S. Amateur finals. He’s available at +330 on Bovada for the prop and may present the best value. Joaquin Niemann is the only non-pro in this field who’s ahead of him in the amateur rankings, but Niemann has nearly a third of the odds at +130. — Joshua Perry


2. Dustin Johnson

DFS Pricing: $11,400 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel

Odds: +1050 to win, +250 top 5, -275 top 20, -1000 to make cut, +550 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1050 to win

Best Matchup Value: Dustin Johnson (-105) vs. Jordan Spieth (-115)

Tee Times: 2:00 p.m. (Thurs), 11:04 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

It’s weird to say this about the No. 1 player in the world, but I think DJ is coming in a little under the radar this week. His odds are nearly double what they were a couple months ago when he was the favorite. But nearly every other superstar has won since Johnson’s triumph in Hawaii at the Tournament of Champions. Couple that with the Tiger Woods craze, and DJ has lost a lot of luster through no fault of his own. I imagine he’ll be under-owned in the daily fantasy market compared to the other stars. In the betting world, there’s nothing wrong with backing DJ in that +1200 range. — Joshua Perry


50. Dylan Frittelli

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +3500 top 5, +600 top 20, -185 to make cut, +145 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +3500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:03 a.m. (Thurs), 11:48 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Depending on how sleepy you like your sleepers, this one could be lying in wait for an impressive maiden voyage to this event. A teammate of Jordan Spieth at the University of Texas, Frittelli hasn’t missed a cut in six months, claiming a win and four other top-10s worldwide during that time. If he can overcome the gravity of being a Masters rookie, he could post some nice scores this week. — Jason Sobel


38. Francesco Molinari

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +3000 top 5, +350 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +3000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:47 a.m. (Thurs), 12:43 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

He was rightly overshadowed by winner Justin Thomas, but Chicco finished in a three-way share of runner-up at last year’s PGA Championship. He’ll quietly keep dotting the fairways and greens all week, which means that he could quietly become a weekend contender if the putter gets hot at the right time. — Jason Sobel


72. Fred Couples

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel

Odds: +30,000 to win, +6000 top 5, +1000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1000 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:10 p.m. (Thurs), 9:14 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

There aren’t many recent Masters stats as impressive as this one: Since turning 50, Couples has finished in the top-20 at the Masters in six of seven starts. You’d lose a lot of money fading him over the years, but consider: He’s only played one Champions Tour event this year and none in the past two-and-a-half months, the byproduct of his famously balky back. — Jason Sobel


34. Gary Woodland

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel

Odds: +11,500 to win, +2000 top 5, +350 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +350 top 20

Best Matchup Value: Gary Woodland (-115) vs. Adam Hadwin (-105)

Tee Times: 1:16 p.m. (Thurs), 10:09 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The most surprising thing about Woodland’s win in Phoenix this year is that it was “only” the third of his career. He ostensibly owns as much tee-to-green talent as more accomplished peers, but an oft-balky putter has held him back from showing off his best stuff at the biggest tournaments. — Jason Sobel


59. Hao-Tong Li

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel

Odds: +17,500 to win, +3300 top 5, +550 top 20

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:10 p.m. (Thurs), 9:14 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

On one hand, Li has finished 54th, 63rd and 53rd in his past three events — against much weaker fields. Further, this is his first visit to Augusta, which is an incredibly important data point. On the other hand, his 70.0% Long Term GIR mark is one of the best in the field, and he nailed 73.6% of his greens in his last tournament (Arnold Palmer Invitational). He has the distance and ball-striking to hang around here, and he’s only struggled lately because he’s been unlucky with the short stick. That could continue, especially since he doesn’t know the greens here, but he does somewhat fit the course well. — Bryan Mears


83. Harry Ellis

DFS Pricing: $6,300 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel

Odds: +100,000 to win, +15,000 top 5, +2800 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2800 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:25 a.m. (Thurs), 12:10 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Ellis won’t have any history in the FantasyLabs Models because he’s a 22-year-old who qualified by winning the Amateur British Championship last June. He ranks 31st in the World Amateur Golf Rankings but at +100,000 odds to win, he isn’t someone I’m really looking to bet or place on my DFS rosters. — Justin Bailey


19. Henrik Stenson

DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $10,700 FanDuel

Odds: +4000 to win, +725 top 5, +125 top 20, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -400 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:04 a.m. (Thurs), 1:49 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Stenson is another guy who might slide under the radar. His course history doesn’t match his talent level. He’s gone 12 straight appearances with no top 10s. We saw Sergio Garcia win last year when his best finish over a 12-year stretch was a tie for eighth. Course history matters at Augusta, but sometimes talent just takes over, and we know Stenson has the game to win a major. — Joshua Perry


14. Hideki Matsuyama

DFS Pricing: $8,400 DraftKings, $10,700 FanDuel

Odds: +3500 to win, +625 top 5, +120 top 20, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +3500 to win

Best Matchup Value: Hideki Matsuyama (-135) vs. Henrik Stenson (+115)

Tee Times: 10:09 a.m. (Thurs), 1:05 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Hideki is probably the most undervalued player in this tournament. His wrist injury has knocked him off of most people’s radar, but he made the cut at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and got through the WGC Match Play without a hitch. I have a couple Matsuyama parlays from earlier in the year, and at his current odds, he’d be a mid-tier play for me. There will be talk that he can’t get it done because of the putter, but look no further than Sergio Garcia and Adam Scott to find guys who struggle with the flat stick and took Augusta National apart with their ball-striking. — Joshua Perry


51. Ian Poulter

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

Odds: +5500 to win, +1100 top 5, +185 top 20, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:48 a.m. (Thurs), 8:52 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Poulter will be riding some great momentum into Augusta, after snagging the final spot in the field with his playoff victory in Houston on Sunday. He’s had some decent success here, but I don’t think his outright number is bettable. It’s hard to suggest someone back him at +5000 or even +6600 when he was just +8000 in Houston against a much weaker field. I’d keep Poulter strictly to fantasy teams and if you want to bet him, look for a top-20 play. He has finished inside the top 20 in six of his 12 Masters starts. — Joshua Perry


77. Ian Woosnam

DFS Pricing: $6,000 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +250,000 to win, +25,000 top 5, +10,000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +10,000 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:41 a.m. (Thurs), 11:26 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

It’s been 10 years since Woosie’s last made cut at Augusta — and his most recent before that 44th-place finish was eight years before that. Suffice it to say, you’re better off putting your money in Enron stock this week. — Jason Sobel


5. Jason Day

DFS Pricing: $9,800 DraftKings, $11,200 FanDuel

Odds: +1600 to win, +350 top 5, -150 top 20, -700 to make cut, +425 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -700 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Jason Day (-135) vs. Bubba Watson (+115)

Tee Times: 11:04 a.m. (Thurs), 1:49 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

He tends to play his best golf when we least expect it. Backers of this Aussie should listen intently for pre-tournament pessimism over fatigue or injury or even the sniffles. (Yes, he’s offered the latter in the past.) Like a villain throwing the superhero off his scent, Day’s lack of tourney reps this year should only enhance the notion that he’s dangerous when a bit off the radar. — Jason Sobel


46. Jason Dufner

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +3000 top 5, +450 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +3000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Jason Dufner (-115) vs. Ross Fisher (-105)

Tee Times: 9:58 a.m. (Thurs), 12:54 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Dufner’s price has tumbled all the way down to $6,800 in this loaded field. He’s played this course seven times, missing the cut twice, but he hasn’t finished better than 20th at Augusta. Dufman’s 8.7 recent birdies per tournament and +3 Average Adjusted Strokes on par-4s all rank near the bottom-third of this field. Pass. — Justin Bailey


57. Jhonattan Vegas

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel

Odds: +31,500 to win, +6600 top 5, +1000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Jhonattan Vegas (-170) vs. Danny Willett (+150)

Tee Times: 8:41 a.m. (Thurs), 11:26 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Vegas has two missed cuts in his only visits to Augusta, and he had a brutal MDF last week at the Houston, shooting a 78 on Saturday. He’s really struggled lately on par 5s, which is a very concerning indicator at Augusta: Par 5 scoring was one of the most important metrics we back-tested. His poor accuracy off the tee will be mitigated, but I’m not confident he can handle the greens here. He averaged 32.0 and 33.0 putts per round in his two prior visits. — Bryan Mears


56. Jimmy Walker

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $9,100 FanDuel

Odds: +14,000 to win, +2500 top 5, +450 top 20

Best Odds Value: +450 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:59 a.m. (Thurs), 9:03 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Walker has just one top-25 finish in eight tournaments in 2018, a stretch that includes three missed cuts. He’s one of the worst players in the field at hitting greens, evidenced by his 61.9% Long Term GIR and atrocious 57.4% Recent GIR. Given the importance of hitting greens and recent play coming into Augusta, I couldn’t pass harder. — Bryan Mears


85. Joaquin Niemann

DFS Pricing: $6,500 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel

Odds: +50,000 to win, +10,000 top 5, +1400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1400 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:10 p.m. (Thurs), 9:14 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Niemann is one of the hottest prospects in golf. The 19-year old from Chile is the No. 1 ranked amateur in the world and will be the favorite for the low am prop. If the number gets any higher than +300, then I’ll have to look hard at playing him there. Niemann is still a couple years away from the PGA Tour, but remember the name, because he could be a star. — Joshua Perry


8. Jon Rahm

DFS Pricing: $9,300 DraftKings, $11,300 FanDuel

Odds: +2235 to win, +450 top 5, -125 top 20, -450 to make cut, +300 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -450 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Jon Rahm (+100) vs. Rickie Fowler (-120)

Tee Times: 1:38 p.m. (Thurs), 10:42 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The talent level is apparent. Even before Rahm reached the PGA Tour, none other than Phil Mickelson called him one of the world’s best 10 players. He’s matured since then, but a lack of patience and a propensity for temper tantrums could leave Rahm frustrated on a course that requires plenty of nuance. — Jason Sobel


3. Jordan Spieth

DFS Pricing: $11,700 DraftKings, $12,300 FanDuel

Odds: +935 to win, +240 top 5, -275 top 20, -1200 to make cut, +650 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -1200 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Jordan Spieth (-120) vs. Rory McIlroy (+100)

Tee Times: 1:49 p.m. (Thurs), 10:53 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

During his young career, Spieth’s sublime ball-striking has often been overshadowed by his consistent putting. He’s struggled to roll it this year, but the iron play is as good as it’s ever been, making the former champion a sneaky pick to turn it all around on a course he seems to have figured out – to an extent. — Jason Sobel


87. Jose Maria Olazabal

DFS Pricing: $6,000 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel

Odds: +200,000 to win, +25,000 top 5, +3300 top 20

Best Odds Value: +25,000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:03 a.m. (Thurs), 11:48 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Thanks to a 1994 victory at The Masters, Olazabal has been able to play this tournament 28 times! But the 51-year-old has missed the cut in six of his past eight appearances. He has finished no higher than 31st in that span. — Justin Bailey


4. Justin Rose

DFS Pricing: $9,200 DraftKings, $11,400 FanDuel

Odds: +1350 to win, +265 top 5, -225 top 20, -1000 to make cut, +550 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -1000 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Justin Rose (-105) vs. Jordan Spieth (-115)

Tee Times: 2:00 p.m. (Thurs), 11:04 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Rose has never won at The Masters, but he’s come close with two second-place finishes in the past three years. He’s an excellent fit for this course with a Long-Term Driving Distance of 305.3 yards, and he excels at ball-striking, hitting 70.3% of greens in regulation in his past 32 tournaments. In Rose’s past three appearances at Augusta, he has hit at least 72% of greens. He’s my pick to win this week at the fifth-best odds. — Justin Bailey


1. Justin Thomas

DFS Pricing: $10,800 DraftKings, $11,800 FanDuel

Odds: +1165 to win, +225 top 5, -275 top 20, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1165 to win

Best Matchup Value: Justin Thomas (+100) vs. Jordan Spieth (-120)

Tee Times: 10:53 a.m. (Thurs), 1:38 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

JT would have been the World’s No. 1 player had he finished the job and won the WGC Match Play event two weeks ago. Still, he’s atop our rankings this week and would be our current bet to win on a neutral course. Augusta is anything but a neutral course, however, and JT’s middling history here should be taken into account. So, too, should the fact he leads the field with a 66.3 Recent Adjusted Round Score and ranks second with 27.1 putts per round over his past three events. JT won’t get the buzz like some of the other top names with excellent history, which makes him intriguing given his run the past six months. — Bryan Mears


12. Kevin Chappell

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel

Odds: +10,000 to win, +2000 top 5, +300 top 20, -250 to make cut, +175 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Kevin Chappell (-125) vs. Cameron Smith (+105)

Tee Times: 9:03 a.m. (Thurs), 11:48 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Chappell looked like the sleeper du jour heading into this tournament, but he pulled out of the WGC Match Play event with a back injury in the third round against Ian Poulter. That may cool some of the love he gets this week. But he’s a killer from tee to green and if he stays in the triple digits to win, a top-10 bet would be worth a look. — Joshua Perry


55. Kevin Kisner

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

Odds: +10,000 to win, +2000 top 5, +350 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +165 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Kevin Kisner (+125) vs. Charl Schwartzel (-145)

Tee Times: 1:05 p.m. (Thurs), 9:58 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Kisner was my first Masters bet back in July at +12500. His current number is slightly shorter than that, thought I was expecting it to move more, as I was really high on him. I’ll be rooting for him because of that play, but I haven’t seen a whole lot out of him outside of a hot week at the WGC Match Play to suggest that he’s capable of winning this tournament. — Joshua Perry


53. Kiradech Aphibarnrat

DFS Pricing: $7,100 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel

Odds: +10,000 to win, +2000 top 5, +300 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +200 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+120) vs. Ryan Moore (-140)

Tee Times: 9:47 a.m. (Thurs), 12:43 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Aphibarnrat has some of the higher Vegas odds for someone priced around the $7,000 range, and while his 70.2% Long-Term GIR looks appealing, he’s not that long off the tee, and Aphibarnrat has struggled on the PGA Tour. On the European Tour, Aphibarnrat has averaged 72.72 DraftKings points per tournament with a +14.87 Plus/Minus and 71.1% consistency. However, in his 17 PGA Tour events, those number fall to 48.00 DraftKings points with a +1.96 Plus/Minus and only 41.2% consistency. — Justin Bailey


30. Kyle Stanley

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel

Odds: +18,000 to win, +2500 top 5, +450 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:58 a.m. (Thurs), 12:54 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Stanley excels at hitting fairways off the tee, but unfortunately that just isn’t that important of a skill at Augusta. Still, he’s a fine ball-striker and putter, which gives him a chance to hang around for the weekend. The big issue is that he hasn’t played this course since 2012, during which he hit his fairways but then put the ball on the green just 53% of the time and couldn’t make up for it with his putting. While I’m expecting a similar result this year, $6,800 is a fine price for his talent. — Bryan Mears


73. Larry Mize

DFS Pricing: $6,000 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel

Odds: +250,000 to win, +35,000 top 5, +8000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +8000 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:32 p.m. (Thurs), 9:25 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The 59-year-old won the tournament back in 1987, but I wouldn’t really expect a whole lot from him. He has made the cut in three of his past four appearances, so he could be a sneaky play in the low senior prop. I’d expect Bernhard Langer, Vijay Singh and Fred Couples to all be well ahead of him in the odds, so that’s a number I’ll check when the prop is released. — Joshua Perry


40. Louis Oosthuizen

DFS Pricing: $7,900 DraftKings, $9,900 FanDuel

Odds: +5500 to win, +1000 top 5, +175 top 20, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:49 p.m. (Thurs), 10:53 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

When he’s playing well, Oosty has been lauded for owning one of the game’s prettiest moves through the ball. When he’s not, he can become invisible for long stretches at a time. Despite opponent Ian Poulter calling him a Masters champion after their Match Play battle, Oosthuizen’s albatross-aided week six years ago was undone by a perfectly curvy Bubba Watson wedge in their playoff. — Jason Sobel


24. Marc Leishman

DFS Pricing: $8,200 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel

Odds: +5000 to win, +1000 top 5, +175 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -275 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Marc Leishman (+105) vs. Adam Scott (-125)

Tee Times: 10:42 a.m. (Thurs), 1:27 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

At FantasyLabs we backtested all of our metrics to see how the top 20% of golfers have faired at Augusta: Recent and Course GIR graded out as the top two metrics that produced the highest Plus/Minus for golfers. Leishman has a mixed bag of course history here (see below). He boasts a 70.2% Recent GIR, but at Augusta, he’s failed to eclipse hitting 64% of the GIR in all five appearances, with three of them being 58% or worse — unsurprisingly missing the cut in those three. Leishman is an excellent golfer as evident by his 68.6 Long-Term Adjusted Round Score, but I wouldn’t back him at The Masters. — Justin Bailey


74. Mark O’Meara

DFS Pricing: $6,000 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +250,000 to win, +65,000 top 5, +6600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +65,000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:25 a.m. (Thurs), 12:10 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The 61-year-old has a permanent spot in the field thanks to the green jacket hanging in his closet from 1998. He’s played seven of eight years since 2010, during which times he’s missed all but one cut. The lone non-MC came in 2015, during which he navigated the greens with excellence and missed essentially no fairways. It’s hard to envision that happening again: He’s essentially playing golf once a year these days at Augusta. Not a bad gig. — Bryan Mears


60. Martin Kaymer

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel

Odds: +16,500 to win, +3300 top 5, +550 top 20

Best Odds Value: +550 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:31 a.m. (Thurs), 1:16 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Kaymer has made the cut here in five of his past six Masters appearances, but outside of his 16th-place finish in 2017, he’s finished 31st or worse every year during that span. His form is troubling: He withdrew from the Honda Classic with a wrist injury and missed cut at the Houston Open. I’d prefer just to take a pass on Kaymer. — Justin Bailey


22. Matt Kuchar

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel

Odds: +4500 to win, +850 top 5, +175 top 20, -450 to make cut, +300 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +175 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:27 p.m. (Thurs), 10:31 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Kuchar is one of the more consistent performers at Augusta, but I’m going to steer clear of him this week. He’s been losing strokes in every area but putting over the past five tournaments prior to the Houston Open. Fantasy players will look at that course history and plug him into their lineups without giving it a second thought. But I’m just not sure he’s the same player he was when he racked up those top 10s. If you want to bet him, I’d only look at that top 10 prop number. — Joshua Perry


80. Matt Parziale

DFS Pricing: $6,100 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +200,000 to win, +20,000 top 5, +3300 top 20

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:52 a.m. (Thurs), 11:37 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Parziale is the feel-good amateur story of the tournament. A 31-year old firefighter from Massachusetts, he gained entry by winning the U.S Mid-Amateur Championship. He’s a longshot even to finish as low amateur, coming in as a +1400 underdog. He’s not really bettable anywhere and definitely not worth a roster spot in fantasy, but just being in the field is a lifelong dream for this former mini-tour pro. — Joshua Perry


52. Matthew Fitzpatrick

DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel

Odds: +11,000 to win, +1800 top 5, +350 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -200 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Matthew Fitzpatrick (+120) vs. Pat Perez (-140)

Tee Times: 9:14 a.m. (Thurs), 11:59 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Fitzpatrick is an excellent putter and has a top-10 here already in his young career. Further, his putter is as hot as its been in his career lately: He averaged just 26.0 putts per round at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. Unfortunately, he’s hit just 52.8% and 50.0% of his greens in his past two tournaments, and Recent GIR is one of the most predictive metrics we have this week. For that reason, it’s hard to be bullish on Fitz this week. — Bryan Mears


75. Mike Weir

DFS Pricing: $6,000 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +250,000 to win, +35,000 top 5, +6600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6600 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:52 a.m. (Thurs), 11:37 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The 47-year-old Canadian has a top-10 finish in all four majors and won at Augusta back in 2003. He’s still playing on the PGA Tour, although his game has fallen off: He has Long Term GIR of 55.6%, and his LT Driving Distance of 271.3 is just too short to keep up on the Augusta Par 5s. He’ll definitely show his partners this week a thing or two about putting on these greens — he has a stellar 28.4 Long-Term Putts Per Round mark — but his all-around game just isn’t there at his age to hang around or make a cut. — Bryan Mears


41. Pat Perez

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +2500 top 5, +400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:47 a.m. (Thurs), 12:43 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Perez’s blunt personality and the demure vibe of Augusta National aren’t exactly compatible, but a title contention would certainly be fun to watch. A necessary shoulder surgery led to a late-career surge that has left Perez playing some of the best golf of his life in the past year-and-a-half. Worth a punt just for the potential champion’s dinner next year. — Jason Sobel


9. Patrick Cantlay

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

Odds: +8000 to win, +1200 top 5, +225 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +8000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Patrick Cantlay (-135) vs. Bryson DeChambeau (+115)

Tee Times: 11:48 a.m. (Thurs), 8:52 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I really like Cantlay as an overall talent and think he has some real value in the top-10 market here. I have him +10000 to win after he picked up his victory in the fall, but I’d really look at him to anchor a DraftKings lineup or in the prop markets. Finding him in the +600 to +800 range for a top-10 finish will be an auto play for me. — Joshua Perry


28. Patrick Reed

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel

Odds: +4500 to win, +850 top 5, +160 top 20, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -350 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:15 a.m. (Thurs), 2 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Reed is tough to analyze this week. He’s been red hot of late, finishing second at the Valspar and seventh at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before doing his usual shenanigans in WGC Match Play two weeks ago. The fiery Reed will be a popular flier in both the betting and DFS markets, but I’m wary. His recent play has been driven mostly by hot putting and not necessarily by spectacular, consistent iron play. His 58.7% Recent GIR mark is actually quite poor. Hot putters are nice, but I’m skeptical that will continue at Augusta, where he has poor history. I’m fading the Reed train and the public here. — Bryan Mears


54. Patton Kizzire

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel

Odds: +17,500 to win, +3300 top 5, +500 top 20

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Patton Kizzire (-115) vs. Martin Kaymer (-105)

Tee Times: 10:09 a.m. (Thurs), 1:05 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Kizzire was the first player to reach two wins in the 2017-18 season and I have a Masters ticket at +22500 after that win in January. That number was so big that I couldn’t resist throwing a dart. But success at Augusta is too reliant on the driver to expect much from him. When I’m looking at Kizzire, I cap the yardage at 7,200 yards. He just isn’t as long as you’d like a guy to be to make up for how inaccurate he is off the tee. With Augusta checking in at more than 7,400 yards, I’d advise a full fade. — Joshua Perry


6. Paul Casey

DFS Pricing: $8,800 DraftKings, $10,900 FanDuel

Odds: +2170 to win, +450 top 5, -125 top 20, -600 to make cut, +375 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2170 to win

Best Matchup Value: Paul Casey (-135) vs. Bubba Watson (+115)

Tee Times: 10:09 a.m. (Thurs), 1:05 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Casey is chronically underpriced in DFS and that trend continues this week, even though he owns the second-best Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (68.1), trailing only Dustin Johnson. Casey has excellent course history at Augusta, finishing sixth, fourth, and sixth in his past three appearances. I like Casey a lot as a DFS staple. He’s an excellent ball-striker, hitting 70% of greens in regulation over the past 75 weeks, which should help him take advantage of Augusta’s par 5s. — Justin Bailey


18. Phil Mickelson

DFS Pricing: $9,500 DraftKings, $11,200 FanDuel

Odds: +1665 to win, +350 top 5, -150 top 20, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +450 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Phil Mickelson (-125) vs. Rickie Fowler (+105)

Tee Times: 1:27 p.m. (Thurs), 10:31 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Mickelson has been on fire as of late with a Recent Adjusted Round Score 66.6, hitting 69.4% of greens in regulation in that span. He has missed the cut every other year at Augusta since 2014, but has an excellent overall history with 15 top-10 finishes, 11 top-fives, and three wins in 25 appearances. It’d be difficult not get some betting action and DFS exposure to Lefty during his hot streak (his -7 Recent Average Adjusted Strokes on par-4s is a field-best), especially when you factor in his long-term form of 15.6 birdies per tournament and -5.5 Average Adjusted Strokes on par-5s. — Justin Bailey


47. Rafa Cabrera Bello

DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel

Odds: +10,000 to win, +1600 top 5, +250 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -250 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 2:00 p.m. (Thurs), 11:04 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I don’t know what to make of Rafa this week. One on hand, two tournaments ago he finished third at the WGC Mexico Championship, and he’s generally been excellent this season. On the other hand, he missed the cut badly at last week’s Houston Open, shooting a Friday 77 behind a terrible putting performance (32.0 putts per round). His history at Augusta mimics that volatility: He owns a missed cut and a top-20 in back-to-back years. Given all of that information, I’d prefer to buy him as a low-owned contrarian play in DFS. — Bryan Mears


16. Rickie Fowler

DFS Pricing: $9,000 DraftKings, $10,800 FanDuel

Odds: +2335 to win, +400 top 5, -135 top 20, -500 to make cut, +325 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -500 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Rickie Fowler (-125) vs. Bubba Watson (+105)

Tee Times: 1:27 p.m. (Thurs), 10:31 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

There are some definite red flags here. His recent weekend performances have left a lot to be desired. He’s been missing tee shots to the left. But he still ranks among the best players without a major. Just like Phil Mickelson and Sergio Garcia before him, it won’t be long before Fowler scratches his name off that list. — Jason Sobel


10. Rory McIlroy

DFS Pricing: $9,900 DraftKings, $11,700 FanDuel

Odds: +975 to win, +225 top 5, -275 top 20, -900 to make cut, +500 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +500 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Rory McIlroy (-105) vs. Justin Rose (-115)

Tee Times: 1:38 p.m. (Thurs), 10:42 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Just two months ago, we were wondering what was wrong with Rory. He missed the cut at Pebble, finished 20th at the Genesis, finished 59th at the Honda, and then missed the cut at the Valspar. The week later at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory got back in the winner’s circle, and now he’s somehow the favorite in the field at +900. He does have four straight top-10s at Augusta, but his 58.8% Recent GIR mark is a bit scary at this course. I can’t justify buying him at that number, although his $9,900 DraftKings salary is way too cheap in the DFS realm. — Bryan Mears


58. Ross Fisher

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +3300 top 5, +400 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:59 a.m. (Thurs), 9:03 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

He’s not exactly in the best form, and without a top-10 at a major championship in nearly a decade (and that was his only one), it would be a big surprise to see Fisher suddenly contend at Augusta. — Jason Sobel


23. Russell Henley

DFS Pricing: $7,100 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel

Odds: +12,500 to win, +2500 top 5, +400 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Russell Henley (-135) vs. Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+115)

Tee Times: 12:32 p.m. (Thurs), 9:25 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Henley is not someone I am actively targeting in DFS. He’s had some success at The Masters, with three made cuts in his past four appearances, including an 11th-place finish in 2017. However, Henley’s recent form has been poor with a 70.6 Recent Adjusted Round Score. He’s hit just 61.8% of GIR while averaging +3 Adjusted Strokes on par-4s in his past four tournaments. With how loose salaries are, I also don’t think it’s necessary to be searching around in this price range. — Justin Bailey


37. Ryan Moore

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $9,100 FanDuel

Odds: +10,000 to win, +2000 top 5, +300 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:41 a.m. (Thurs), 11:26 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Moore managed a ninth-place finish last year and has seven made cuts in nine appearances. He’s very cheap on DraftKings and could be a value option if you need the salary. That said, he’ll need to improve upon his recent +0.3 Recent Average Adjusted Strokes on par-4s and -2.3 mark on par-5s if he wants to compete this year. — Justin Bailey


76. Sandy Lyle

DFS Pricing: $6,100 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +250,000 to win, +30,000 top 5, +6600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6600 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:37 a.m. (Thurs), 8:41 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

He’s 60 years old, hasn’t made a Masters cut in four years and has finished between 24th and 48th in three smaller-field Champions events this year. That said, if you want to go ahead and throw a few quid on a prop bet for Lyle to make the cut, that ingenuity could wind up paying off. — Jason Sobel


79. Satoshi Kodaira

DFS Pricing: $6,500 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel

Odds: +50,000 to win, +8000 top 5, +1300 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1300 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:36 a.m. (Thurs), 12:32 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

A 28-year-old golfer on the Japanese Tour, Kodaira will be his first trip to Augusta. His recent PGA Tour data this season isn’t encouraging for his outlook starting Thursday: In his three events in 2018, he’s hit just 47.2%, 56.9%, and 55.6% of his greens in regulation. That’s almost an immediate disqualification. — Bryan Mears


15. Sergio Garcia

DFS Pricing: $8,600 DraftKings, $11,300 FanDuel

Odds: +2735 to win, +500 top 5, +110 top 20, -600 to make cut, +375 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -600 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Sergio Garcia (-150) vs. Henrik Stenson (+130)

Tee Times: 10:53 a.m. (Thurs), 1:38 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Sergio came into Augusta last year with poor course history and won the whole thing. Now, his 68.1 Course Adjusted Round Score is one of the best marks among players with more than a single visit, and he comes to Augusta this year in good recent form, having banked two top-10s in consecutive weeks at the Mexico and Valspar Championships. Past GIR at Augusta back-tested as the most predictive metric of future success, and Sergio nailed 75% of his greens last year. It’s tough to bank on back-to-back green jackets, but I love his DFS price and am interested in his top-10 and top-25 odds this week. — Bryan Mears


63. Shubhankar Sharma

DFS Pricing: $7,100 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel

Odds: +15,000 to win, +2800 top 5, +400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +400 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:32 p.m. (Thurs), 9:25 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Sharma has been on European Tour betting radar for a couple years now, but he really made a statement in first PGA Tour start at WGC Mexico Championship, holding the 54-hole lead. Sharma is a first timer, so I’d avoid him this week, but he’s another guy to monitor the progress on for the future. — Joshua Perry


64. Si-Woo Kim

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel

Odds: +21,500 to win, +5000 top 5, +600 top 20

Best Odds Value: +5000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:37 a.m. (Thurs), 8:41 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The list of Players Championship winners over the years is an eclectic one, but it’s too soon to tell which end of the spectrum this 22-year-old will fall on. He’s struggled with back injuries and inconsistency since that victory, rendering him a longshot to play well this week. — Jason Sobel


69. Ted Potter

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel

Odds: +40,000 to win, +6600 top 5, +850 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:30 a.m. (Thurs), 11:15 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Oh, boy. Potter won at Pebble Beach in early February and has failed to make the cut in every single event since then. He hasn’t played The Masters since 2013 (MC) and shouldn’t be considered in DFS. I wouldn’t waste your money in the betting markets, either. — Justin Bailey


43. Thomas Pieters

DFS Pricing: $8,300 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel

Odds: +6600 to win, +1200 top 5, +200 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -250 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Thomas Pieters (+115) vs. Ian Poulter (-135)

Tee Times: 1:05 p.m. (Thurs), 9:58 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Pieters has played in The Masters once (2017) and managed a fourth-place finish. He’s got the distance (Long-Term Driving Distance of 303.2 yards) to capitalize on par-5s (-4.4 Average Adjusted Strokes). However, he’s struggled recently on par 4s with +3 Average Adjusted Strokes, while hitting just 60.4% GIR in his past four tournaments. — Justin Bailey


7. Tiger Woods

DFS Pricing: $10,000 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel

Odds: +1275 to win, +250 top 5, -250 top 20, -900 to make cut, +500 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +500 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Tiger Woods (+140) vs. Justin Rose (-160)

Tee Times: 10:42 a.m. (Thurs), 1:27 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

If you haven’t heard, Tiger’s back. I have my preseason prop on Tiger to win an event this season, so my money is in, but I don’t really see value anywhere with him this week. Anything around +1000 to +1200 in this caliber of field is unbettable in my mind. In the fantasy realm, he’s probably going to be among the highest-owned players, and with the fourth-highest DraftKings salary, you’re going to need a very high finish from him, or you’re losing ground. If you want to bet or play Tiger this week, I won’t tell you not to, but just realize it is probably more of a play with your heart than your head. — Joshua Perry


13. Tommy Fleetwood

DFS Pricing: $8,500 DraftKings, $10,600 FanDuel

Odds: +4000 to win, +750 top 5, +135 top 20, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -350 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Tommy Fleetwood (+110) vs. Matt Kuchar (-130)

Tee Times: 10:42 a.m. (Thurs), 1:27 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Fleetwood is a guy I love for this tournament, but I think he might be a year or two away. With that said, I have my Fleetwood +6600 ticket after his hot run on the European Tour. His ball striking is everything you could want at Augusta, but it’s tough to really expect a guy who hasn’t played the weekend here to win the tournament. He’s worth a fantasy roster spot and would be another guy I’d keep an eye on for a top-10 prop (+350 to +400 range is what I’d look for) or top-20 bet (+150 to +200 range). — Joshua Perry


11. Tony Finau

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $9,900 FanDuel

Odds: +9000 to win, +1600 top 5, +275 top 20, -225 to make cut, +165 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +9000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Tony Finau (-130) vs. Branden Grace (+110)

Tee Times: 12:43 p.m. (Thurs), 9:36 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I love Finau — he’s a behemoth off the tee with a Long-Term Driving Distance of 311.4 yards and has hit 68.6% of his greens in regulation over the past 75 weeks. But with low odds and zero course history at Augusta, I don’t love him for this tournament. — Justin Bailey


70. Trevor Immelman

DFS Pricing: $6,200 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +100,000 to win, +20,000 top 5, +3300 top 20

Best Odds Value: +3300 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 11:48 a.m. (Thurs), 8:52 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Immelman makes his PGA Tour cameo this week. The 2008 Masters champ had his career destroyed by injuries and he never really regained that form. He hasn’t made the cut here since 2013


36. Tyrrell Hatton

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel

Odds: +6600 to win, +1100 top 5, +200 top 20, -275 to make cut, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -275 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Tyrrell Hatton (+100) vs. Bryson DeChambeau (-120)

Tee Times: 1:16 p.m. (Thurs), 10:09 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Hatton has seen some of the biggest price movement in the past six months. In September, he hadn’t qualified yet and was available at +18000. But a couple wins in Europe sent him flying up the world rankings and now his odds are a third of where they once were. I wouldn’t bet him at in the +5000 to +6600 range, but he’s worth a fantasy roster spot at his price. Hatton is a guy I like on shorter tracks. While Augusta forces a few too many drivers for me to recommend him at his current odds, keep him in mind for the Players Championship next month. — Joshua Perry


65. Vijay Singh

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel

Odds: +50,000 to win, +10,000 top 5, +1200 top 20

Best Odds Value: +10,000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:36 a.m. (Thurs), 12:32 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Singh was once a great player back in the day. He’s now 66 years old and has finished 27th or worse in the past nine years with four missed cuts during that span. Next. — Justin Bailey


25. Webb Simpson

DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel

Odds: +12,500 to win, +2500 top 5, +400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +2500 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Webb Simpson (-105) vs. Francesco Molinari (-115)

Tee Times: 12:54 p.m. (Thurs), 9:47 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Simpson has a lot of experience at Augusta but can’t seem to put together an all-around weekend. In 2013 and 2014, he navigated the greens well but his iron play failed him. His irons were better in 2015-17, but his putting was poor. Simpson theoretically fits the course well: He’s one of the best putters on Tour with a 28.6 Long Term Putts Per Round mark over his past 75 weeks. He’s a sneaky play, particularly with a top-10 or top-25 prop. — Bryan Mears


66. Wesley Bryan

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel

Odds: +30,000 to win, +6600 top 5, +1000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +6600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:30 a.m. (Thurs), 11:15 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The former trick-shot artist has been largely unimpressive since his first career victory 51 weeks ago, but the South Carolina native should at least have some familiarity on this turf just across the state border. — Jason Sobel


21. Xander Schauffele

DFS Pricing: $7,500 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

Odds: +8000 to win, +1600 top 5, +265 top 20, -250 to make cut, +185 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1600 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Xander Schauffele (-110) vs. Brian Harman (-110)

Tee Times: 1:05 p.m. (Thurs), 9:58 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Schauffele is among a group of first-timers and historically, the first trip to Augusta hasn’t worked out for many guys. Xander is a guy I can see contending here in the future because his tee-to-green game is great. Let him get a year under his belt and monitor his progress for 2019. — Joshua Perry


86. Yusaku Miyazato

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel

Odds: +50,000 to win, +7500 top 5, +1200 top 20

Best Odds Value: +1200 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:16 p.m. (Thurs), 10:09 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Miyazato is the rare 37-year-old Augusta rookie. He qualified by sneaking into the World top 50 via a fourth-place finish at the Indonesian Masters last year. We have his Japanese Tour data in our FantasyLabs Models, and it looks like he’s quite erratic with his short irons and putter. That’s not a good combination on this course. — Bryan Mears


67. Yuta Ikeda

DFS Pricing: $6,600 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel

Odds: +50,000 to win, +10,000 top 5, +1400 top 20

Best Odds Value: +10,000 top 5

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:43 p.m. (Thurs), 9:36 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

The 32-year-old Japanese golfer has missed salary-based expectations in eight of his past 10 tournaments on DraftKings. He’s badly missed the cut in his two events entering the Masters (Houston Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational). He’s struggled on the longer par 5s during that time, which is not encouraging for Augusta. He has been fine hitting greens, and he can be long enough to hang around, but he looks absolutely lost with his putter of late. Getting right with the short stick at Augusta is not something I want to bet on. — Bryan Mears


82. Yuxin Lin

DFS Pricing: $6,200 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

Odds: +150,000 to win, +20,000 top 5, +4000 top 20

Best Odds Value: +4000 top 20

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:54 p.m. (Thurs), 9:47 a.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

I hadn’t heard of Lin before writing this, but apparently he’s a 17-year old amateur from China. Lin is No. 152 in the world amateur rankings. He’s also a lefty, and with the success of lefties like Bubba Watson, Phil Mickelson and Mike Weir at Augusta, maybe he’s worth a low amateur dart. I’d think he’d be far down on those odds behind Joaquin Niemann, Doug Ghim, Harry Ellis and Doc Redman. — Joshua Perry


35. Zach Johnson

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $9,800 FanDuel

Odds: +12,500 to win, +2200 top 5, +350 top 20, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +2200 top 5

Best Matchup Value: Zach Johnson (-125) vs. Cameron Smith (+105)

Tee Times: 10:31 a.m. (Thurs), 1:16 p.m. (Fri)

Masters Outlook

Johnson is a complete fade for me. He’ll get some backing because of his 2007 win here, but outside of that week, he’s been pretty bad at Augusta. He’ll be viewed as a guy to plug into lineups as the fifth- or sixth-best player, but he misses the cut here a lot given how easy it is to reach the weekend. I look at 2007 as a kind of fluky year with some bad weather and Johnson took advantage. But outside of that, he hasn’t really been a guy to back. — Joshua Perry

Photos via USA Today Sports. All odds as via 5dimes as of Tuesday afternoon.

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