Wyndham Championship: Weak field provides opportunity for value at the top of board
After a grueling PGA Championship and with the FedEx Cup playoffs beginning next week, many of the top players are absent from the Wyndham Championship.
Henrik Stenson is the only player ranked in top 20 in the field, and he enters the favorite at 12/1. Kevin Kisner is the only other player under 20/1 in the 14-18/1 range depending on the book.
Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, N.C. represents one of the easier tour stops of the year where the winner usually getting into the high teens or low 20s under par. It’s a short par 70, coming in at just under 7,200 yards.
This week, I’m targeting players who can gain strokes off the tee without necessarily bombing drivers out there. Sedgefield is a position golf course where short hitters don’t have much trouble contending.
Because the scores get so low, the winner is going to need 20-25 birdies to win this week, so I’m targeting putting a little more than I normally would.
I’ll be dropping down just below Stenson and Kisner to a couple of weak field warriors in Bill Haas at 25/1 and Ryan Moore at 30/1 on Sportsbook.
Haas has had a lot of success at Sedgefield, finishing in the top 30 seven of the last eight years including four top 10s.
Moore has a win on the course back in 2009 and he’s bounced back from an injury earlier in the summer to record back to back top 30s, so it appears he’s rounding into form again.
I’ll be staying away from Stenson just because of the number. He’s started playing better this summer, but hasn’t really been in contention.
Kisner is a tough fade, because he lines up perfectly for this course. He’s likely to be a little drained after four days in contention last week. But if he brings that same game from last week, he could lap this field.
Most of the other guys in that same range as Moore and Haas also have a lot of good things going for them. Jason Dufner, Kyle Stanley, Keegan Bradley, Webb Simpson and Lucas Glover all represent reasonable bets for decent odds in this field, but you can’t bet them all. The only negative on any of them is that their putters can run a little colder than Moore and Haas.
Later in the week, I’ll take a look at plays further down the board in the 40-80/1 range and try to find some longshots and props.
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Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. One of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22
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