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Why You Should Fade Daniel Berger at PGA Championship


Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Daniel Berger

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Daniel Berger PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, MC, T-73, MC

Odds: +10,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish, -165 to make cut, +120 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +500 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Berger (-115) over Kevin Na (-115)

Tee Times: 2:10 p.m. ET (Thursday); 9:04 a.m. ET (Friday)

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.

The Outlook

Outside of a random sixth-place finish at the U.S. Open, which mostly came because of unsustainable hot putting, there hasn’t been a lot to like about Berger this season. He’s been struggling to hit greens, he hasn’t been accurate off the tee, he isn’t particularly long, he’s a bad par-4 scorer … you get my drift. He’s a talented guy, but I’m not buying it this week or probably anytime for a while until he shows more consistent all-around play.

The Metrics

Here’s how Berger ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-70th
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 61st
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-62nd
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 42nd

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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