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Can You Trust Hideki Matsuyama at Shinnecock?

Can You Trust Hideki Matsuyama at Shinnecock? article feature image

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Hideki Matsuyama

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Hideki Matsuyama

DFS Pricing: $8,900 DraftKings, $10,300 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-10, T-35, T-18, MC, T-2

Odds: +2800 to win, +275 top-10 finish, +120 top-20 finish, -500 to make cut, +325 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +325 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Hideki Matsuyama (-105) over Jordan Spieth

Tee Times: 8:13 a.m. (Thursday); 1:58 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Much like Rickie Fowler, Matsuyama is in the discussion for the “best player without a major” label. He has seven top-10s in major championships, including a runner-up at last year’s U.S. Open. He is starting to regain form after taking some time off due to injury, finishing in the top 20 in three of his past five events. His total driving ranks 13th, which is near what you would expect for someone ready to contend at Shinnecock. I don’t think Matsuyama has returned to the form we grew accustomed to seeing in previous years, but even his B-game should be good enough for him to muster a top-25 at this year’s U.S. Open.

The Metrics

Here’s how Matsuyama ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-8th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-55th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 27th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 39th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 45th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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