Jason Dufner’s Current Form Is Worthy of a Fade at PGA Championship

Aug 07, 2018 11:00 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Jason Dufner PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): WON, WD, T-68, T-60, T-58

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1100 top-10 finish, +550 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +160 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 2:21 p.m. ET (Thursday); 8:56 a.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

Dufner has awesome history at the PGA Championship … if you’re looking several years ago. He was top five in three of four years between 2010 and 2013, winning that final year at Oak Hill.

He’s been boom-or-bust this season, with an emphasis on the bust: He got into the top five at the Players but hasn’t really been in contention in any other tournament in 2018. He’s been struggling with par 4s, which is not a great sign for Bellerive. The long-term talent is there, but I won’t end up with much Duf in DFS given his current form.


The Metrics

Here’s how Dufner ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-38th
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-43rd
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 70th
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-81st
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 64th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Jason Dufner

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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