Action Network Podcast: Jordan Spieth’s Stats, Kevin Streelman’s Value & DFS Plays for Pebble Beach
Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Spieth
The PGA Tour continues its west coast swing this week with the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
On the latest The Action Network Podcast, Jason Sobel and new co-host Justin Ray discuss whether or not Jordan Spieth is back, the value at Pebble Beach where irons become more important than drivers and an ultimate DFS lineup.
Before getting into this week’s lineup, the pair discussed the big story coming out of the Waste Management Phoenix Open: Jordan Spieth.
Spieth shared the 54-hole lead with Xander Schauffele thanks to a 61 on Saturday. The three-time major winner couldn’t close it out, but his play had bettors wondering if this performance is something to believe in going forward.
“The most promising number from Jordan Spieth throughout the week was his Strokes Gained: Approach,” Ray said. “I know that the narrative around his peak was this guy makes more 20-footers than anyone on the planet. The truth is he was a top-five iron player in the world from 2015-2018. He showed that on Saturday. ”
He didn’t finish, but as Sobel said, “it’s hard to chase a 61.”
What are Sobel and Ray looking for in a winner this week?
Ray mentions driving distance isn’t as important here as most courses on tour, citing the average distance rank for the winner is 40th. Driving accuracy averages 30, while the tour average is 26.
That makes green-in-regulation more important. Ray states the winner in this field averages sixth in GIR; the tour average is 13th.
That leads to Kevin Streelman as a value play.
“In the last five years (he’s) gaining more than three strokes per round at Pebble Beach,” Ray said.
Factor that with Streelman coming off four rounds in the 60s and a top-20 finish at Phoenix, and he’s in good form entering a tournament that suits his game.
Sobel runs through a few interesting names he’s considering this week, but the two agree on Harold Varner III and Andrew Putnam. They also give out two golfers to play for first-round leader.
Finally, below is the ultimate DFS lineup drafted by Sobel and Ray.
- Paul Casey ($10,400)
- Jason Day ($9,500)
- Andrew Putnam ($7,400)
- Harold Varner III ($7,700)
- Stewart Cink ($7,200)
- Peter Malnati ($7,800)
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