Can Kevin Na’s Accuracy Make Up for Lack of Distance at PGA Championship?

Aug 07, 2018 11:41 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Kevin Na PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): N/A, MC, MC, T-22, MC

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1100 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +20,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 2:43 p.m. ET (Thursday); 9:18 a.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

Na is a tough golfer to analyze this week. He’s not long off the tee (285.8-yard Long-Term Driving Distance), but he can hit fairways (64.6% Long-Term Driving Accuracy).

Even though he’s hit just 64% of Greens in Regulation over the past 75 weeks, he’s one of the best scramblers and putters on tour: His 62.7% long-term scrambling rate is the sixth-best mark in the field and his 28.6 putts per round in the same time frame ranks 13th.

Na could be worth a look in some head-to-head props depending on the odds, and I think he’s a serviceable play in DFS if you need the savings.


The Metrics

Here’s how Na ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-50th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-11th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 48th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-127th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 30th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32

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