Looking for a Safe U.S. Open Bet? Matt Kuchar Is Your Guy

Jun 11, 2018 7:33 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Matt Kuchar

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $10,800 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-28, T-12, T-12, T-46, T-16

Odds: +6600 to win, +450 top-10 finish, +225 top-20 finish, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Bubba Watson (+110) over Matt Kuchar

Tee Times: 8:13 a.m. (Thursday); 1:58 p.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Outside of being short off the tee, Kuchar has the balanced game that always makes for safe DFS investment. Kuchar boasts an excellent 68.8 Long-Term Adjusted Round Score, and he’s missed just 8% of cuts over the past 75 weeks — the fifth-best mark in the field. Further, Kuchar should be able to avoid trouble for the most part since he’s accurate off the tee (65.3% Long-Term Driving Accuracy). The greens at Shinnecock will be challenging, but it should help that Kuchar ranks 12th in proximity to the hole and ranks 18th in Strokes Gained: Putting this season. It also doesn’t hurt that Kuchar isn’t a stranger to harsh conditions since he hasn’t missed a cut at a U.S. Open since 2009.


The Metrics

Here’s how Kuchar ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-16th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-33rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 49th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 104th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 33rd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Matt Kuchar

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32

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