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Branden Grace’s Current Form Could Hurt Him at 2018 PGA Championship


Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Branden Grace

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Branden Grace PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): MC, T-46th, 3, T-4, MC

Odds: +10,000 to win, +650 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +10,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Grace (+110) over Ian Poulter (-140)

Tee Times: 9:45 a.m. ET (Thursday); 3:10 p.m. ET (Friday)

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.

The Outlook

Grace is guy who was on my radar at the start of the year for a solid major season, but the numbers never really hit the level I was looking for and the results didn’t ever reach the point where I felt the need to bet him. He hasn’t finished inside the top 20 in a major since the 2017 Open after a run in the majors where he recorded four top fives in eight starts in 2015 and 2016. Right now he just appears a bit off if you’re looking for an outright winner.

The Metrics

Here’s how Grace ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-100th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 54th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-89th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 52nd

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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