Why Phil Mickelson Isn’t Worth a Bet at PGA Championship

Aug 07, 2018 11:00 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Phil Mickelson PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,300 DraftKings, $10,400 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-72, 2, T-18, T-33, MC

Odds: +10,000 to win, +600 top-10 finish, +300 top-20 finish, -250 to make cut, +175 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +175 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:01 a.m. ET (Thursday); 2:26 p.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

It’s hard to get excited about Mickelson competing with the big boys anymore: He hasn’t finished in the top 20 of a major since dueling Henrik Stenson at the British Open back in 2016. He missed the cut at the PGA Championship last year, and he’s had just one top 10 in this event in the past decade. He’s typically a popular DFS pick and bet, which further inflates his value. Pass for me.


The Metrics

Here’s how Mickelson ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-20th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-77th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 49th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 65th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 11th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Phil Mickelson

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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