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Russell Henley Is a Safe Value Bet to Make the Cut at PGA Championship


Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Henley

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Russell Henley PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): MC, MC, T-12, T-22, T-71

Odds: +15,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +500 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:15 p.m. ET (Thursday); 7:50 a.m. ET (Friday)

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.

The Outlook

Henley possesses the balanced game that I’m looking for this week. He boasts a reasonable Long-Term Driving Distance (294.8 yards), and he’s hit 67% of Greens in Regulation and 67.3% of fairways over the past 75 weeks.

Additionally, over his past 24 rounds he ranks 45th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, ninth in Fairways Gained, and 17th in Strokes Gained: Putting. This seems like an appropriate time to ride Henley if you need the salary relief.

I wouldn’t bet on Henley to win, but a bet to make the cut seems promising — he’s made three straight cuts at PGA Championship events.

The Metrics

Here’s how Henley ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-43rd
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 62nd
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: 84th
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 27th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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