Sentry Tournament of Champions: Jason Sobel’s Favorite Round 1 Matchup Props

Jan 03, 2019 10:32 AM EST

Brad Penner, USA Today Sports. Pictured: John Rahm

New feature this year that I actually started during the Hero World Challenge last month: Every Wednesday through Saturday, I’ll be posting my favorite matchup bets for the following round.

Let’s kick things off with the opening round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions, where I’m fading some big names.

All odds courtesy of BetOnline as of 6 p.m. ET

Season record: 5-4-1, 1.29 units

Patrick Reed (+110) over Jon Rahm (-130)

I like Rahm this week. I like him so much, in fact, that he’s one of my favorites to win, on the heels of a victory at last month’s Hero World Challenge and a runner-up at this event a year ago.

And yet, I’m fading him to start. I’m banking that we learned a little something in the Bahamas. That week, Rahm won — beating Reed, who finished T-11, by 10 strokes. In the opening round, though, it was Reed who shot a field-best 65 and led Rahm by a half-dozen strokes after Thursday. I could see a similar pattern this week.