Sobel’s Sentry Tournament of Championship Matchup Bets: Expect a Bounce-Back from DJ in Round 3

Jan 05, 2019 06:10 AM EST

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: PGA golfer Dustin Johnson.

  • The Sentry Tournament of Champions continues on Saturday at Kapalua.
  • Jason Sobel has three more matchup picks for the third round.

I’ve got a good buddy who refers to anything triple-bogey or worse as “a incident.” (Yes, he’s a rocket scientist.)

Well, Andrew Landry had “an incident” en route to losing our matchup bet on him against Patton Kizzire in the second round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but Gary Woodland and Charles Howell III came through for a 2-1 day.

With most of the big names bunched near the top entering the weekend, I see more matchup value in the first half of the tee times. Let’s get to it.

Season Record: 7-7-1 (+0.44 units)
Dustin Johnson (-165) over Webb Simpson (+145)

Johnson’s streak of 32 consecutive rounds par-or-better came to an end Friday, due in part to a double-bogey on the fourth hole after he hit the wrong ball that was pointed out by a volunteer marshal.

I don’t see that happening again.

In fact, I think DJ goes low — something in the 64 or 65 range — to cash this ticket.