Why PGA Championship Course Doesn’t Set Up Well for Thomas Pieters

Aug 07, 2018 11:53 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Thomas Pieters PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, 86, MC

Odds: +15,000 to win, +700 top-10 finish, +330 top-20 finish, -200 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +160 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value (Sportsbook): Pieters (+115) over Aaron Wise (-145)

Tee Times: 2:59 p.m. ET (Thursday); 9:34 a.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

On a course where accuracy will be important, I’m skeptical on Pieters. He’s hit just 52.8% of fairways over the past 75 weeks, and his recent form isn’t much better, hitting just 50%.

Moreover, his +2.4 average adjusted strokes on par 4s is the worst mark in the field. I think you can take a pass on Pieters without feeling like you’re missing out.


The Metrics

Here’s how Pieters ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-89th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-38th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 36th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Thomas Pieters

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32

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