Bellerive Will Play to Tommy Fleetwood’s Strengths at PGA Championship

Bellerive Will Play to Tommy Fleetwood’s Strengths at PGA Championship article feature image

Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Tommy Fleetwood

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Tommy Fleetwood PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $9,300 DraftKings, $11,400 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): N/A, MC, MC, N/A, T-61

Odds: +2800 to win, +260 top-10 finish, +130 top-20 finish, -500 to make cut, +330 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -500 to make cut

Best Matchup Value (Sportsbook): Fleetwood (+115) over Rickie Fowler (-145)

Tee Times: 2:04 p.m. ET (Thursday); 9:04 a.m. ET (Friday)

>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.

The Outlook

On our Flex podcast this week, Sleeze mentioned that Bellerive could play as a miniature U.S. Open. If that’s the case, Fleetwood is definitely in play: He’s finished in the top five in each of the past two U.S. Open events.

Further, PGA Championships put a little more emphasis on driving, and Fleetwood ranks third this season in Total Driving. He absolutely has the game to win this event, and he’s way underpriced at $9,300 relative to his upside.

The Metrics

Here’s how Fleetwood ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-16th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-11th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 10th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 39th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 40th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.