2019 Preakness Stakes Betting Odds, Analysis: Power Ranking the Contenders and Live Longshots

May 18, 2019 05:25 PM EDT
Credit:

Patrick McDermott, USA Today Sports.

  • The 2019 Preakness Stakes begins on Saturday, May 17 at 6:48 p.m. ET at Pimlico Race Track in Baltimore, Maryland.
  • Sean Zerillo power ranks the horses based on their betting value, including contenders, longshots and fades.

With the first four horses to cross the finish line at the 2019 Kentucky Derby bypassing the 144th Preakness Stakes, the second leg of the Triple Crown is shaping up to be a great betting race.

There are nine new shooters in the field, and four Kentucky Derby returnees (Improbable, War of Will, Win Win Win, and Bodexpress). New shooters have only won the Preakness Stakes four times since the turn of the century, but at least one has finished in the trifecta at the same rate over the same period.

You need to focus on the new shooters if you’re playing single race exotics. But this is also a year where one of them has a legitimate shot at winning. If that happened, it would be the second occurrence in the past three years after Chad Brown’s Cloud Computing won the 2017 Preakness.

2019 Preakness Stakes Odds

No. 1: War of Will (4-1)
No. 2: Bourbon War (12-1)
No. 3: Warrior’s Charge (12-1)
No. 4: Improbable (5-2)
No. 5: Owendale (10-1)
No. 6: Market King (30-1)
No. 7: Alwaysmining (8-1)
No. 8: Signalman (30-1)
No. 9: Bodexpress (20-1)
No. 10: Everfast (50-1)
No. 11: Laughing Fox (20-1)
No. 12: Anothertwistafate (6-1)
No. 13: Win Win Win (15-1)

It also wouldn’t be that surprising, given the unflattering results to date of this current crop of three-year-old horses.

Odds shift dramatically from their morning line value. So which horses will provide the most betting value on Saturday?

My rankings are below:

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