FanDuel Promo Code Worth $1,000 Value for Celtics-Heat, All Tuesday Games

How to Use Bonus Bets

Bonus bets aren’t kept after using even if you win. Our betting guide for sports promotions states that longer odds is the beneficial move for bonus bets because you see more value.

There are several ways to approach this: create a parlay, choose a player prop with good value or take the underdog moneyline. The Celtics are +102 underdogs, which doesn’t offer enough value, as we think anything with +250 odds or longer are the best prices to wager on.

Brandon Anderson focused on a few series trends in chalking up his Game 4 betting card. Such factors include shot variance between both teams spelling a blowout, Jaylen Brown coughing up the basketball, and Marcus Smart’s aggressive play. He also identified the likelihood of the Celtics mounting a series victory, which has never happened before in NBA history.

Here’s the parlay we can craft based on Anderson’s picks:

• Heat -23.5 at +1800

The Heat made 19 3s in Game 3 — one short of their franchise playoff record — and their 55% more than doubled Boston’s 26%. Miami had a similar margin in Game 1, making 52% of its 31 3s, while the Celtics were again below 35%.

Boston is 0-5 this postseason when it shoots below 35% on 3s, and that includes all three games in this series. The Celtics are 35-2 when they hit at least 40%. Both of these teams are incredibly streaky shooting squads.

If shots are missed, it’s hard to lock in on defense, especially for Boston.

• Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Turnovers at -145

Since I’m expecting an unpredictable Game 4, I’ll play it mostly safe on props and stick to what’s been working.

That means starting with Jaylen Brown’s turnovers. He’s had at least two turnovers in all but two playoff games, and he’s gone over 2.5 in 11-of-16, a 69% hit rate with 3.3 turnovers a game.

He just can’t take care of the ball against this handsy Miami defense. We’re paying steep juice at -145 on Brown, but don’t let that throw you off. That implies 59% on Brown going over, and we’re well above that. Sometimes the juice is worth the squeeze.

• Marcus Smart Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists at -121

Smart’s energy is the one constant. He always plays hard at all times and brings his confidence to the biggest games, for better and for worse. We noted in our Game 3 card that Smart’s numbers all go up when Boston is trailing.

His scoring is down in that spot in this series and has mostly evened out that advantage, but check out the rebounding and assists:

• 5.9 RPG when trailing in a series, 4.1 RPG in all other games
• 7.0 RPG when trailing in a series, 5.5 APG in all other games

Smart is aggressive, pushes in transition and attacks the paint. His RA is up from 9.6 to 12.9 when Boston trails, and he’s the one guy I trust to play hard all the way no matter what.

When we plug all three of these props together, we have +5764 SGP odds, which is as long as we’ve ever used as a bonus betting example. If the SGP hits with $100 of bonus bets placed down, we score $5,764 in cash and the $100 we used goes away. A loss spells $0. But think of it this way, if we win, we profited $4,764 on a $1,000 deposit.