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Promoguy’s Free Bets: 2 MLB Plays for Friday Wild Card Round

Promoguy’s Free Bets: 2 MLB Plays for Friday Wild Card Round article feature image

Denis Poroy/Getty Images. Pictured: Juan Soto

We received $75 (or more depending on your promo, but I track to the minimum) in free bets to use on MLB from the World Series promo that FanDuel offered around the All-Star break.

The offer was this — bet at least $150 on a team to win the World Series and get $15 in free bets depending on how many games they won between July 21-31. L.A. won six games in that span, so we got $75.

I am going to break this up into six $15 free bet plays and play two on Friday.

Must bet promo on Fanduel:

Fanduel World Series bet/ get promo:

This account normally doesn’t risk too much more than $50 on a given bet so this $150 number may look hefty but given the expected free bets back the expected money at risk isn’t large.

Taking LAD +350 for $150

— The Promoguy (@ThePromoguy123) July 20, 2022

For more on why I use free bets on bets around +300 to +500, check out my complete guide to +EV betting.

Free Bet 1 ($15)

With the first one, we’re going with the Padres to beat the Mets and Cardinals to beat the Phillies in their respective series.

  • Padres to win the series
  • Cardinals to win the series
  • Payout: +384 odds.

Free bet expected conversion: 20.4% probability * 3.84 odds = 78.34% expected conversion.

Free Bet 2 ($15)

The second, I’m playing a three-leg parlay in three separate games for Friday.

  • Alex Manoah under 6.5 ks
  • Cardinals ML
  • NRFI (under 0.5 runs first inning) of Mets/ Padres
  • Payout: +420

Free bet expected conversion: 18.3% win probability * 4.2 odds = 76.86% expected conversion

We have four more free bets to use throughout the MLB playoffs I’ll continue posting here.

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