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Promoguy’s Tuesday Bets for Argentina-Croatia in World Cup Semifinals

Promoguy’s Tuesday Bets for Argentina-Croatia in World Cup Semifinals article feature image
Credit:

Chris Brunskill/Getty. Pictured: Lionel Messi.

PromoGuy covers +EV odds boosts, promos and more for Action. Follow him on Twitter and in the Action Network app.

There are four total plays I’m making for Argentina vs. Croatia in the World Cup semifinals — one Messi to score boost, same game parlay insurance, and DraftKings’ same game parlay boosts on the World Cup and college basketball.

FanDuel

1. FanDuel Insurance

FanDuel has been offering its $25 same game parlay insurance if one leg loses all World Cup long, and my plays have been pretty similar.

Here’s the play. Make sure it’s at +400 or greater, or else it’s not eligible for insurance.

  • Argentina to advance
  • Over 4.5 corners total in the match
  • Croatia under 2.5 corners

Pick: ARG advance, over 4.5 total corners, Croatia under 2.5 corners

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


I’m trying to both maximize the insurance (hence playing opposite sides of the corners props since only one leg can lose to trigger the insurance) but also give us a good shot at winning.

At FanDuel, you’re getting better prices on these parlays, which I get into in this tweet thread.

2. Messi Goal Boost

FanDuel has boosted Messi to score a goal from +145 to +200 — I have it at about 7% EV. He must scored in regulation (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Extra time and PKs don’t count.

I’m putting the full $50 since this is better than the DraftKings Messi boost (though I still have that around 5-6% EV).

Pick: Messi to Score Boosted to +200

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


DraftKings

1. CBB Mystery Boost

I’m playing the DK mystery boost (where you can get a different percentage boost).

  • Marshall -140
  • UMass-Lowell -120
  • UIC -170

College basketball 3+ leg parlay mystery boost on dk:

Clear play at 25% or better. A 10% boost would be closer to fair pic.twitter.com/9QjOTaDRfC

— The Promoguy (@ThePromoguy123) December 13, 2022

2. 33% SGP Boost

For DK’s 33% same game parlay boost, I’m taking the following three-leg parlay. It’s all based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not extra time:

  • Both teams to score: No
  • Under 2.5
  • Croatia under 1.5 goals

This all comes out to +110.

Draftkings 33% sgp boost: pic.twitter.com/urIADOvwq1

— The Promoguy (@ThePromoguy123) December 13, 2022

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