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ATL @ PHI

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Kyle Gibson logoK. GibsonPhiladelphia Phillies logo5.0510-8
Charlie Morton logoC. MortonAtlanta Braves logo4.349-6

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
1-3
-1.5
-1.5+115
o9-102
-147
Phillies
11-6
u8.5
+1.5-139
u9-114
+125
location pinWednesday 4:35 p.m.
July 27, 2022
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Braves vs. Phillies Game Analysis

Braves vs. Phillies Notes

Today's Starting Pitchers

Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (244/427) this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- sixth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (670/1,430) with two-strikes since the start of last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 95th Percentile.
81% of Kyle Gibson's non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 42% (20/48) against Charlie Morton on elevated fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

Matchup Contrasts

Dansby Swanson is batting .451 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 12th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.
Kyle Schwarber is batting just .178 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Spencer Strider has an average fastball velocity of 98.2 MPH this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Keys to the Game

The Phillies are just 1-10 (.091) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 40-5 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Braves are 25-3 (.893) when scoring in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Phillies are 9-35 (.205) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

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Braves vs. Phillies Expert Picks

ATL
PHI
ATL ML
0
PHI ML
1
Over
2
Under
2
ATL Spread
1
PHI Spread
0

Popular Props

No props found

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 26thATLL 3-6+1.5 LO 7.5ATL +104
Jul 25thATLW 6-4+1.5 WO 8.5PHI +150
Jul 24thCHCL 3-4+0.5 LU 10CHC -122
Jul 23rdCHCL 2-6-1.5 LU 8CHC -177
Jul 22ndCHCL 2-15-1.5 LO 9CHC -136

Braves vs. Phillies Public Betting

69%

Bets%

31%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
81-8141-4040-4148-5633-25
Braves
81-8140-4141-4066-6215-18

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
81-76-539-37-542-3953-47-428-29-1
Braves
79-76-737-42-242-34-561-61-618-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
11-647-3440-4161-4326-32
Braves
1-355-2646-3589-3912-21

Phillies vs. Braves Injury Updates

Phillies Injuries

  • Mark Appel

    P

    Appel is out with elbow

    Out

Braves Injuries

  • Manny Piña

    C

    Manny Pina (wrist) placed on 10-day IL

    Out Indefinitely

  • Ozzie Albies

    IF

    Albies is out with finger

    Out

  • Huascar Ynoa

    P

    Ynoa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nick Anderson

    P

    Anderson is out with foot

    Out

  • Brooks Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with undisclosed

    Out

Braves vs. Phillies Box Score

Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Morton, P
84554
LT. Matzek, P
171.102
RJ. Chavez, P
251.230
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1M. Harris II, CF
0-4000
2D. Swanson, SS
1-2100
3M. Olson, 1B
1-3112
4A. Riley, 3B
0-4000
5E. Rosario, RF
2-4000
6W. Contreras, C
0-4000
7M. Ozuna, LF
1-4000
8R. Canó, 2B
0-4000
9M. Ford, DH
0-3000
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RK. Gibson, P
96642
RC. Brogdon, P
14120
LB. Hand, P
16100
RA. Bellatti, P
19110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Schwarber, LF
0-3001
2R. Hoskins, 1B
1-3100
3J. Realmuto, C
2-4002
4D. Hall, DH
2-4000
5N. Castellanos, RF
1-4100
6B. Stott, 2B
1-3100
7A. Bohm, 3B
2-4202
8D. Gregorius, SS
0-3101
9O. Herrera, CF
1-3101

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Braves vs. Phillies Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
1-3
o4.5-120
u4.5-110
Phillies
11-6
o4-110
u4-120

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