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MIL @ ATL

11:20 pm • BSSE

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Max Fried logoM. FriedAtlanta Braves logo2.668-2
Corbin Burnes logoC. BurnesMilwaukee Brewers logo2.367-4

Brewers vs. Braves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
45-34
-1.5
-1.5+154
o7-102
-109
Braves
45-33
u6.5
+1.5-191
u7-118
-110
location pinSaturday 11:20 p.m.
May 07, 2022
SunTrust ParkCumberland

Brewers vs. Braves Notes

Keys to the Game

The Brewers are 34-7 (.829) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Brewers are 9-83 (.098) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .081.

Matchup Contrasts

56% of Ozzie Albies fastball strikeouts were located away last season -- 12th highest in MLB -- 89th Percentile. 59% of Eric Lauer fastball strikeouts were located away last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 90th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Freddy Peralta has allowed an OBP of just .175 (401 PA's) with two-strikes since the start of last season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .237 -- 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (292/548) against Max Fried since the start of last season -- 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (427/1,265) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season -- tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed a .690 SLG vs left-handed batters this season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP -- third Percentile. Charlie Morton allowed a SLG of just .295 vs left-handed batters last season -- ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 93rd Percentile.

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Brewers vs. Braves Expert Picks

MIL
ATL
MIL ML
2
ATL ML
3
Over
3
Under
0

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

16 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

1 prop
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 6thMILL 3-6+1.5 LO 8.5MIL -108
May 4th@NYMW 9-2+1.5 WO 7ATL +118
May 3rd@NYML 0-3-1.5 LU 7NYM -108
May 3rd@NYML 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5NYM -113
May 2nd@NYMW 5-2-1.5 WO 6.5ATL -109

Brewers vs. Braves Public Betting

62%

Bets%

38%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
38-4016-2522-1528-2910-10
Brewers
37-4217-1720-2527-3510-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Braves
40-35-322-17-218-18-131-23-39-11
Brewers
40-35-418-15-122-20-332-28-28-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
45-3324-1721-1638-197-13
Brewers
45-3419-1526-1936-269-8

Brewers vs. Braves Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Jandel Gustave

    P

    Gustave is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Luis Perdomo

    P

    Perdomo is out with elbow

    Out

  • Pedro Severino

    C

    Severino is out with suspension

    Out

  • Hunter Renfroe

    OF

    Hunter Renfroe (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Alex Jackson

    C

    Alex Jackson (finger) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Freddy Peralta

    P

    Peralta is out with shoulder

    Out

  • J.C. Mejía

    P

    Mejia is suspended with suspension

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Braves Injuries

  • Kirby Yates

    P

    Yates is out with elbow

    Out

  • Eddie Rosario

    OF

    Rosario is out with eye

    Out

  • Luke Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with arm

    Out

  • Kenley Jansen

    P

    Jansen is out with chest

    Out

  • Tyler Matzek

    P

    Matzek is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Manny Piña

    C

    Manny Pina (wrist) placed on 10-day IL

    Out Indefinitely

  • Mike Soroka

    P

    Soroka is out with achilles

    Out

  • Ozzie Albies

    IF

    Albies is out with foot

    Out

  • Jay Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Brooks Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with undisclosed

    Out

Brewers vs. Braves Box Score

Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Burnes, P
98671
RL. Perdomo, P
37211
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1L. Urías, 3B
2-4000
2W. Adames, SS
1-4000
3C. Yelich, DH
1-4100
4H. Renfroe, RF
1-3111
5T. Taylor, LF
1-4001
6R. Tellez, 1B
0-4000
7L. Cain, CF
0-3000
8V. Caratini, C
0-3000
9K. Wong, 2B
1-3000
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LM. Fried, P
95781
LA. Minter, P
17110
RK. Jansen, P
19121
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1R. Acuña Jr., RF
2-3111
2M. Olson, 1B
0-3000
3A. Riley, 3B
0-3100
4M. Ozuna, DH
1-4100
5O. Albies, 2B
2-4001
6T. d'Arnaud, C
2-4001
7A. Duvall, CF
1-4000
8T. Demeritte, LF
0-4000
8G. Heredia, LF
0-0000
9D. Swanson, SS
0-3000

Line Move Data

TimeMIL lineATL line
05/07/2022, 11:25 PM -1.5 +154+1.5 -191
05/07/2022, 11:24 PM -1.5 +154+1.5 -193
05/07/2022, 11:23 PM -1.5 +154+1.5 -191
05/07/2022, 11:22 PM -1.5 +154+1.5 -193
05/07/2022, 11:21 PM -1.5 +154+1.5 -191
05/07/2022, 11:20 PM -1.5 +159+1.5 -193
05/07/2022, 11:06 PM -1.5 +156+1.5 -193
05/07/2022, 8:42 PM -1.5 +156+1.5 -187
05/07/2022, 8:17 PM -1.5 +156+1.5 -182
05/07/2022, 8:16 PM -1.5 +157+1.5 -182

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
MIL
ATL
Open
-115-105
Consensus
-109
-110
Best Line

Brewers vs. Braves Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
45-34
o3-120
u3-110
Braves
45-33
o3-120
u3-110

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