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MIL @ ATL

5:35 pm • BSSE

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Charlie Morton logoC. MortonAtlanta Braves logo4.354-3
Aaron Ashby logoA. AshbyMilwaukee Brewers logo4.601-6

Brewers vs. Braves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
47-37
+1.5
+1.5-177
o7.5-109
+123
Braves
49-34
u8.5
-1.5+147
u7.5-109
-144
location pinSunday 5:35 p.m.
May 08, 2022
SunTrust ParkCumberland

Brewers vs. Braves Notes

Keys to the Game

The Brewers are 34-7 (.829) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Brewers are 9-83 (.098) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .081.

Matchup Contrasts

Ozzie Albies is slugging just .173 on non-fastballs this season -- fifth worst in MLB -- fifth Percentile. Aaron Ashby has thrown off-speed pitches 60% of the time this season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 11 total NonFB -- 93rd Percentile.
Rowdy Tellez is slugging .596 this season -- 10th best in MLB -- 95th Percentile. Charlie Morton has allowed a SLG of .690 vs left-handed batters this season -- second worst among qualified SPs -- third Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents batted just .149 (52-for-349) against Charlie Morton's non-fastballs last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .221 -- 99th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .238 (112 Total Bases / 471 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of 2020 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .387 -- 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (85 Total Bases / 349 ABs) on non-fastballs last season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .367 -- 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .164 (44-for-269) against Freddy Peralta's fastball last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .264 -- 99th Percentile.

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Brewers vs. Braves Expert Picks

MIL
ATL
MIL ML
3
ATL ML
2
Over
1
Under
0

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 7thMILW 3-2+1.5 WU 7ATL -110
May 6thMILL 3-6+1.5 LO 8.5MIL -108
May 4th@NYMW 9-2+1.5 WO 7ATL +118
May 3rd@NYML 0-3-1.5 LU 7NYM -108
May 3rd@NYML 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5NYM -113

Brewers vs. Braves Public Betting

61%

Bets%

39%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
42-4119-2523-1632-3010-10
Brewers
39-4518-1921-2629-3810-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Braves
40-40-322-20-218-20-131-28-39-11
Brewers
42-38-419-17-123-21-334-31-28-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
49-3427-1722-1742-207-13
Brewers
47-3720-1727-2038-299-8

Brewers vs. Braves Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Adrian Houser

    P

    Houser is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Perdomo

    P

    Perdomo is out with elbow

    Out

  • Hunter Renfroe

    OF

    Hunter Renfroe (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Alex Jackson

    C

    Alex Jackson (finger) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Freddy Peralta

    P

    Peralta is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tyrone Taylor

    OF

    Tyrone Taylor (concussion) placed on 7-day injured list

    Out

  • J.C. Mejía

    P

    Mejia is suspended with suspension

  • Miguel Sánchez

    P

    Sánchez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Braves Injuries

  • Kirby Yates

    P

    Yates is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luke Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with arm

    Out

  • Adam Duvall

    OF

    Duvall is day-to-day with hand

    Day-to-Day

  • Kenley Jansen

    P

    Jansen is out with chest

    Out

  • Manny Piña

    C

    Manny Pina (wrist) placed on 10-day IL

    Out Indefinitely

  • Mike Soroka

    P

    Soroka is out with achilles

    Out

  • Ozzie Albies

    IF

    Albies is out with foot

    Out

  • Brooks Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with undisclosed

    Out

Brewers vs. Braves Box Score

Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LA. Ashby, P
82436
RJ. Gustave, P
21123
LB. Suter, P
37230
LH. Milner, P
9110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Wong, 2B
1-3100
2W. Adames, SS
0-3000
2M. Brosseau, PH
1-1001
2M. Brosseau, SS
1-1001
3C. Yelich, LF
0-3000
4R. Tellez, 1B
0-4000
5H. Renfroe, DH
0-3000
6T. Taylor, RF
1-3000
7O. Narváez, C
0-3000
8L. Cain, CF
0-3000
9J. Peterson, 3B
1-3100
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Morton, P
92550
RC. McHugh, P
10110
RD. O'Day, P
9110
LT. Matzek, P
20102
LW. Smith, P
11100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1R. Acuña Jr., DH
2-4101
2M. Olson, 1B
1-5002
3A. Riley, 3B
0-5000
4M. Ozuna, LF
0-3000
5O. Albies, 2B
1-4100
6A. Duvall, CF
1-3211
7T. Demeritte, RF
1-4100
8D. Swanson, SS
2-3300
9W. Contreras, C
1-2114

Line Move Data

TimeMIL lineATL line
05/08/2022, 5:41 PM +1.5 -177-1.5 +147
05/08/2022, 5:39 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +145
05/08/2022, 5:36 PM +1.5 -171-1.5 +147
05/08/2022, 5:35 PM +1.5 -173-1.5 +146
05/08/2022, 5:34 PM +1.5 -168-1.5 +146
05/08/2022, 5:21 PM +1.5 -176-1.5 +149
05/08/2022, 5:12 PM +1.5 -176-1.5 +147
05/08/2022, 5:09 PM +1.5 -176-1.5 +149
05/08/2022, 5:06 PM +1.5 -176-1.5 +150
05/08/2022, 5:02 PM +1.5 -176-1.5 +149

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
MIL
ATL
Open
-105-115
Consensus
+123
-144
Best Line

Brewers vs. Braves Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
47-37
o3.5-110
u3.5-120
Braves
49-34
o3.5-125
u3.5-105

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