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MIL @ MIA

10:10 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Trevor Rogers logoT. RogersMiami Marlins logo5.202-5
Eric Lauer logoE. LauerMilwaukee Brewers logo2.164-1

Brewers vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
27-16
-1.5
-1.5+145
o7-118
-121
Marlins
18-23
u7
+1.5-180
u7-108
+100
location pinSaturday 10:10 p.m.
May 14, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Analysis

Brewers vs. Marlins Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Jesus Sanchez has an OPS of just .378 with two strikes this season -- 10th worst in MLB -- 10th Percentile. Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of just .306 (71.0 PAs) with two strikes this season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP -- 95th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (31/101) against Brandon Woodruff on low breaking pitches this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 55% (94/170) when ahead in the count this season -- 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (12/66) against Trevor Rogers on changeups this season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- fifth Percentile.
Eric Lauer has a strikeout rate of 73% (16 SO in 22 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Best MLB Betting Sites

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Brewers vs. Marlins Expert Picks

MIL
MIA
MIL ML
0
MIA ML
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

17 props
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HR

17 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 13thMILL 1-2+1.5 WU 6.5MIL +125
May 11th@ARIW 11-3-1.5 WO 8MIA -113
May 11th@ARIL 3-9-1.5 LO 8ARI -131
May 10th@ARIL 3-4-1.5 LU 8.5ARI -110
May 8th@SDL 2-3+1.5 WU 7SD +135

Brewers vs. Marlins Public Betting

72%

Bets%

28%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
22-1912-1010-910-1112-7
Brewers
20-2312-88-1518-202-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
19-2213-96-1311-108-11
Brewers
19-22-29-1110-11-218-19-11-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
18-2310-128-1112-96-13
Brewers
27-1614-613-1025-132-3

Marlins vs. Brewers Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Joey Wendle

    IF

    Joey Wendle (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Richard Bleier

    P

    Bleier is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jon Berti

    IF

    Jon Berti (undisclosed) placed on IL

    Out

  • Jesús Luzardo

    P

    Jesús Luzardo (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Brewers Injuries

  • Pedro Severino

    C

    Severino is out with suspension

    Out

  • Willy Adames

    IF

    Willy Adames (ankle) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Freddy Peralta

    P

    Peralta is out with shoulder

    Out

  • J.C. Mejía

    P

    Mejia is suspended with suspension

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers vs. Marlins Box Score

Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LE. Lauer, P
87574
RT. Gott, P
21002
RJ. Gustave, P
23110
LH. Milner, P
12100
RJ. Mejía, P
27111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1L. Urías, 2B
1-4100
2W. Adames, SS
1-4111
3C. Yelich, DH
1-4000
4H. Renfroe, RF
2-4112
5T. Taylor, LF
1-4000
6R. Tellez, 1B
1-4000
7L. Cain, CF
0-4000
8M. Brosseau, 3B
0-2000
8J. Peterson, PH
1-2000
8J. Peterson, 3B
1-2000
9V. Caratini, C
0-2000
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LT. Rogers, P
1035.181
LS. Okert, P
70.210
RA. Bender, P
14100
RD. Floro, P
17102
RT. Nance, P
9120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Chisholm Jr., 2B
2-5000
2J. Aguilar, DH
2-5112
3J. Soler, LF
1-2111
4G. Cooper, 1B
0-4001
4E. González, SS
0-1000
5A. García, RF
2-5100
6J. Sánchez, CF
1-3200
7B. Anderson, 3B
1-4212
8M. Rojas, SS
1-4102
8M. Rojas, 1B
1-4102
9J. Stallings, C
1-3100

Line Move Data

TimeMIL lineMIA line
05/14/2022, 10:14 PM -1.5 +145+1.5 -180
05/14/2022, 10:12 PM -1.5 +145+1.5 -174
05/14/2022, 10:11 PM -1.5 +145+1.5 -176
05/14/2022, 9:42 PM -1.5 +148+1.5 -176
05/14/2022, 9:32 PM -1.5 +145+1.5 -176
05/14/2022, 9:31 PM -1.5 +148+1.5 -176
05/14/2022, 9:30 PM -1.5 +150+1.5 -176
05/14/2022, 9:21 PM -1.5 +150+1.5 -179
05/14/2022, 9:20 PM -1.5 +149+1.5 -172
05/14/2022, 9:20 PM -1.5 +147+1.5 -172

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
MIL
MIA
Consensus
-121
+100
Open
-140
+120
Best Line

Brewers vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
27-16
o3.5-115
u3.5-115
Marlins
18-23
o3-125
u3-105