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CIN @ MIA

10:40 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Sandy Alcantara logoS. AlcantaraMiami Marlins logo2.0110-5
Mike Minor logoM. MinorCincinnati Reds logo6.241-9

Reds vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
44-67
+1.5
+1.5-125
o6.5-120
+180
Marlins
50-61
u7
-1.5+104
u6.5+102
-230
location pinWednesday 10:40 p.m.
August 03, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Reds vs. Marlins Notes

Keys to the Game

The Marlins are just 22-28 (.440) at home this season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Reds are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Reds are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Matchup Contrasts

30% of Kyle Farmer strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 36% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (119 Total Bases / 208 ABs) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 -- first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (24/158) against Sandy Alcantara this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.
Mike Minor has walked 7 of 47 batters (15%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (83/140) against Sandy Alcantara in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 98th Percentile.

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Reds vs. Marlins Expert Picks

CIN
MIA
Over
1
Under
0
CIN Spread
0
MIA Spread
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

17 props
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RBI

16 props
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HR

17 props
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Singles

17 props
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Doubles

17 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 2ndCINL 1-2-1.5 LU 7.5CIN -149
Aug 1stCINL 1-3-1 LU 7.5CIN -120
Jul 31stNYML 3-9+1.5 LO 7NYM +117
Jul 30thNYML 0-4+1.5 LU 8NYM +166
Jul 29thNYML 4-6+1.5 LO 6NYM +104

Reds vs. Marlins Public Betting

21%

Bets%

79%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
50-6119-3231-2919-3131-29
Reds
52-5925-3227-278-1744-42

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
50-58-326-24-124-34-223-2727-30-3
Reds
55-54-229-27-126-27-112-1343-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
50-6123-2827-3330-2020-40
Reds
44-6724-3320-3410-1534-52

Reds vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Moustakas

    IF

    Mike Moustakas (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jeff Hoffman

    P

    Hoffman is out with arm

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Vladimir Gutierrez

    P

    Vladimir Gutierrez (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Tony Santillan

    P

    Santillan is out with back

    Out

  • Aramis Garcia

    C

    Garcia is out with illness

    Out

  • Hunter Greene

    P

    Greene is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Dugger

    P

    Robert Dugger (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Art Warren

    P

    Warren is out with arm

    Out

  • Tyler Stephenson

    C

    Stephenson is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Connor Overton

    P

    Overton is out with back

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Avisaíl García

    OF

    Avisaíl García (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Brian Anderson

    IF

    Brian Anderson (shoulder) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jon Berti

    IF

    Jon Berti (groin) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers

    P

    Trevor Rogers (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Daniel Castano

    P

    Daniel Castano placed on 7-day concussion IL

    Out

  • Cole Sulser

    P

    Sulser is out with back

    Out

  • Jordan Holloway

    P

    Holloway is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tommy Nance

    P

    Nance is out with groin

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Max Meyer

    P

    Max Meyer (elbow) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Reds vs. Marlins Box Score

Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LM. Minor, P
825.163
RJ. Kuhnel, P
70.210
RL. Cessa, P
10100
RH. Strickland, P
13100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. India, 2B
1-4000
2J. Fraley, LF
1-4000
3M. Moustakas, 1B
0-3000
4J. Votto, DH
2-4000
5D. Solano, 3B
1-3000
6A. Aquino, RF
1-3000
7A. Almora Jr., CF
0-3000
8J. Barrero, SS
0-3000
9M. Papierski, C
0-3000
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RS. Alcantara, P
105930
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1M. Rojas, SS
0-4000
2G. Cooper, 1B
1-4002
2L. Díaz, 1B
0-0000
3J. Aguilar, DH
1-3111
4B. De La Cruz, RF
0-4000
5J. Bleday, LF
2-4000
6C. Leblanc, 3B
0-3000
7J. Stallings, C
0-3000
8L. Williams, 2B
3-3100
9B. Hamilton, CF
0-2100

Line Move Data

TimeCIN lineMIA line
08/03/2022, 10:56 PM +1.5 -125-1.5 +104
08/03/2022, 10:55 PM +1.5 -121-1.5 +102
08/03/2022, 10:43 PM +1.5 -125-1.5 +104
08/03/2022, 10:43 PM +1.5 -121-1.5 +102
08/03/2022, 10:42 PM +1.5 -118-1.5 -101
08/03/2022, 10:42 PM +1.5 -117-1.5 -101
08/03/2022, 10:41 PM +1.5 -125-1.5 +105
08/03/2022, 10:40 PM +1.5 -125-1.5 +104
08/03/2022, 10:33 PM +1.5 -125-1.5 +105
08/03/2022, 10:10 PM +1.5 -130-1.5 +110

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
CIN
MIA
Open
+176-210
Consensus
+180
-230
Best Line

Reds vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
44-67
o2.5-115
u2.5-115
Marlins
50-61
o4-100
u4-130

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