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CLE @ BOS

11:10 pm • NESN

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Josh Winckowski logoJ. WinckowskiBoston Red Sox logo5.895-7
Bryan Shaw logoB. ShawCleveland Guardians logo5.406-2

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
4-3
+1
+1.5-157
o10-106
+120
Red Sox
0-0
u10
-1.5+133
u10-110
-145
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
July 26, 2022
Fenway ParkBoston

Guardians vs. Red Sox Game Analysis

Guardians vs. Red Sox Notes

Keys to the Game

The Guardians are 30-4 (.882) when totaling 10 or more hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Red Sox are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

Matchup Contrasts

J.D. Martinez is batting .402 on inside fastballs this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Cal Quantrill has located his fastball inside 51% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.
Alex Verdugo has a miss rate of only 18% on breaking pitches this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 37% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Josh Winckowski has walked 4 of 28 left-handed batters (14%) this month (3 games) -- tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- ninth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (67 SO in 221 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (75/479) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

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Guardians vs. Red Sox Expert Picks

CLE
BOS
CLE ML
4
BOS ML
0
Over
0
Under
2

Popular Props

No props found

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 25thCLEW 3-1+1 WU 9.5BOS -110
Jul 24thTORL 4-8+1.5 LO 10.5TOR +136
Jul 23rdTORL 1-4+1.5 LU 9.5TOR +145
Jul 22ndTORL 5-28+1.5 LO 9TOR +104
Jul 17th@NYYL 2-13+1.5 LO 7.5NYY +156

Guardians vs. Red Sox Public Betting

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
84-77-143-37-141-4037-40-146-35
Guardians
86-75-140-4146-34-142-4344-31-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
76-78-839-40-237-38-638-35-536-42-3
Guardians
76-79-740-39-236-40-537-46-238-33-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
N/A43-3835-4647-3130-51
Guardians
4-346-3546-3556-2936-40

Red Sox vs. Guardians Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Rob Refsnyder

    OF

    Rob Refsnyder (back) placed on 10-day IL.

    Out

  • Chris Sale

    P

    Sale is out with finger

    Out

  • James Paxton

    P

    Paxton is out with elbow

    Out

  • Trevor Story

    IF

    Trevor Story (heel) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Josh Taylor

    P

    Taylor is out with back

    Out

  • Tanner Houck

    P

    Houck is out with back

    Out

  • Garrett Whitlock

    P

    Whitlock is out with back

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford

    P

    Crawford is out with shoulder

    Out

Guardians Injuries

    Guardians vs. Red Sox Box Score

    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    RB. Shaw, P
    502.122
    RN. Sandlin, P
    110.200
    LK. McCarty, P
    67440
    RE. Morgan, P
    25111
    RE. Clase, P
    10110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    1S. Kwan, LF
    3-5100
    2A. Rosario, SS
    2-5101
    3J. Ramírez, 3B
    1-3100
    4J. Naylor, DH
    2-5101
    5O. Miller, 1B
    1-5001
    6A. Giménez, 2B
    0-3100
    7N. Jones, RF
    1-5113
    7A. Call, RF
    0-0000
    8A. Hedges, C
    1-3111
    9M. Straw, CF
    1-4100
    Red Sox Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    RJ. Winckowski, P
    73315
    LA. Davis, P
    29121
    RH. Sawamura, P
    28210
    LJ. Diekman, P
    14110
    RT. Houck, P
    21111
    RK. Ort, P
    11120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    1R. Refsnyder, RF
    1-4000
    2A. Verdugo, LF
    0-4100
    3X. Bogaerts, SS
    3-4101
    4J. Martinez, DH
    0-3000
    5C. Vázquez, 1B
    1-3001
    6K. Plawecki, C
    1-4001
    7Y. Sánchez, 2B
    0-4000
    8B. Dalbec, 3B
    0-4000
    9J. Davis, CF
    1-3100

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    Guardians vs. Red Sox Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Guardians
    4-3
    o4.5-105
    u4.5-125
    Red Sox
    0-0
    o5-115
    u5-115

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