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CLE @ BOS

11:10 pm • NESN

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Nathan Eovaldi logoN. EovaldiBoston Red Sox logo3.876-3
Cal Quantrill logoC. QuantrillCleveland Guardians logo3.3815-5

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
4-3
+1.5
+1.5-182
o8.5-114
+115
Red Sox
0-0
u9
-1.5+148
u8.5-105
-134
location pinWednesday 11:10 p.m.
July 27, 2022
Fenway ParkBoston

Guardians vs. Red Sox Game Analysis

Guardians vs. Red Sox Notes

Keys to the Game

The Red Sox are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Matchup Contrasts

Alex Verdugo has a miss rate of only 1% on inside fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Cal Quantrill has located his fastball inside 51% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (54 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on breaking pitches this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .364 -- first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 69% (2,852/4,131) since the start of last season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 99th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (tied for 10th lowest)-- 16th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for third highest among qualified SPs)-- 96th Percentile.

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Guardians vs. Red Sox Expert Picks

CLE
BOS
CLE ML
4
BOS ML
2
Over
2
Under
1
CLE Spread
0
BOS Spread
1

Popular Props

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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 26thCLEL 3-8-1.5 LO 10CLE -145
Jul 25thCLEW 3-1+1 WU 9.5BOS -110
Jul 24thTORL 4-8+1.5 LO 10.5TOR +136
Jul 23rdTORL 1-4+1.5 LU 9.5TOR +145
Jul 22ndTORL 5-28+1.5 LO 9TOR +104

Guardians vs. Red Sox Public Betting

58%

Bets%

42%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
84-77-143-37-141-4037-40-146-35
Guardians
86-75-140-4146-34-142-4344-31-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
76-78-839-40-237-38-638-35-536-42-3
Guardians
76-79-740-39-236-40-537-46-238-33-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
N/A43-3835-4647-3130-51
Guardians
4-346-3546-3556-2936-40

Red Sox vs. Guardians Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Rob Refsnyder

    OF

    Rob Refsnyder (back) placed on 10-day IL.

    Out

  • Chris Sale

    P

    Sale is out with finger

    Out

  • James Paxton

    P

    Paxton is out with elbow

    Out

  • Trevor Story

    IF

    Trevor Story (heel) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Josh Taylor

    P

    Taylor is out with back

    Out

  • Tanner Houck

    P

    Houck is out with back

    Out

  • Garrett Whitlock

    P

    Whitlock is out with back

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford

    P

    Crawford is out with shoulder

    Out

Guardians Injuries

    Guardians vs. Red Sox Box Score

    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    RC. Quantrill, P
    955.145
    LS. Hentges, P
    111.100
    RE. De Los Santos, P
    161.110
    RE. Clase, P
    15110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    1S. Kwan, LF
    1-5001
    2A. Rosario, SS
    2-5001
    3J. Ramírez, 3B
    0-5000
    4J. Naylor, 1B
    1-5111
    5F. Reyes, DH
    2-4100
    6O. Miller, 2B
    1-5100
    7N. Jones, RF
    3-4301
    8A. Hedges, C
    0-2101
    8A. Giménez, PH
    0-1000
    8L. Maile, C
    0-0000
    9M. Straw, CF
    2-4002
    Red Sox Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    RN. Eovaldi, P
    95613
    RJ. Schreiber, P
    36211
    RT. Houck, P
    12101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    1J. Duran, CF
    0-3000
    1R. Refsnyder, PH
    0-2000
    1R. Refsnyder, RF
    0-2000
    2A. Verdugo, LF
    2-4000
    3X. Bogaerts, SS
    1-3000
    4J. Martinez, DH
    0-4000
    5C. Vázquez, C
    2-4100
    6F. Cordero, 1B
    1-3300
    7B. Dalbec, 3B
    2-3225
    8J. Bradley Jr., RF
    1-4000
    8J. Bradley Jr., CF
    1-4000
    9Y. Sánchez, 2B
    0-4000

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    Guardians vs. Red Sox Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Guardians
    4-3
    o4-100
    u4-130
    Red Sox
    0-0
    o4.5-105
    u4.5-125

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