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HOU @ BOS

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Garrett Whitlock logoG. WhitlockBoston Red Sox logo2.431-1
Jake Odorizzi logoJ. OdorizziHouston Astros logo3.133-2

Astros vs. Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
23-13
+1.5
+1.5-181
o9.5+100
+108
Red Sox
14-21
u8.5
-1.5+152
u9.5-120
-127
location pinMonday 11:10 p.m.
May 16, 2022
Fenway ParkBoston

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Analysis

Astros vs. Red Sox Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Alex Bregman has a miss rate of only 10% on fastballs this season -- seventh best among hitters with at least 48 total PA's -- 95th Percentile. Garrett Whitlock has thrown fastballs 60% of the time this season -- tied for 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP -- 92nd Percentile.
Trevor Story has a miss rate of 40% on elevated fastballs this season -- eighth worst in MLB -- eighth Percentile. Jake Odorizzi has located his fastball up 65% of the time this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP -- 98th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents are hitless in 20 AB's against Garrett Whitlock's changeup this season -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .225 -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (10/17) against Nick Pivetta against right-handed batters in his last two starts -- 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% -- eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Jake Odorizzi with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (593/1,222) against right-handed batters since the start of last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 99th Percentile.

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Astros vs. Red Sox Expert Picks

HOU
BOS
HOU ML
0
BOS ML
5

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 15th@TEXL 1-7-1.5 LU 8.5TEX -105
May 14th@TEXW 11-3-1.5 WO 8.5BOS -105
May 14th@TEXW 7-1+1.5 WU 8.5BOS +102
May 11th@ATLL 3-5-1.5 LU 8ATL -101
May 10th@ATLW 9-4+1.5 WO 7.5BOS +125

Astros vs. Red Sox Public Betting

62%

Bets%

38%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
18-175-913-86-912-8
Astros
19-176-713-1013-146-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
10-23-24-106-13-25-105-13-2
Astros
10-264-96-178-192-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
14-215-99-127-87-13
Astros
23-139-414-920-73-6

Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Jake Odorizzi

    P

    Jake Odorizzi (leg) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Lance McCullers Jr.

    P

    McCullers is out with elbow

    Out

  • Aledmys Díaz

    IF

    Diaz is day-to-day with undisclosed

    Day-to-Day

  • Franklin Barreto

    IF

    Franklin Barreto to undergo Tommy John surgery.

    Out for Season

  • Taylor Jones

    IF

    Jones is out with back

    Out

  • Jake Meyers

    OF

    Meyers is out with shoulder

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Chris Sale

    P

    Sale is out with ribs

    Out

  • James Paxton

    P

    Paxton is out with elbow

    Out

  • Michael Wacha

    P

    Michael Wacha (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Josh Taylor

    P

    Taylor is out with back

    Out

Astros vs. Red Sox Box Score

Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Odorizzi, P
62541
RP. Maton, P
30211
RH. Neris, P
29113
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Altuve, 2B
1-4001
2M. Brantley, LF
2-4100
3A. Bregman, 3B
0-3000
4Y. Alvarez, DH
0-3000
5Y. Gurriel, 1B
0-3001
6K. Tucker, RF
0-4000
7C. McCormick, CF
2-3111
8J. Castro, C
1-4100
9M. Dubón, SS
1-3000
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RG. Whitlock, P
80532
LJ. Diekman, P
100.200
RJ. Schreiber, P
80.110
RM. Barnes, P
50.101
LM. Strahm, P
301.230
RH. Robles, P
10100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Hernández, CF
2-4200
2R. Devers, 3B
1-4000
3J. Martinez, DH
2-4101
4X. Bogaerts, SS
1-2112
5A. Verdugo, LF
0-4001
6T. Story, 2B
1-3111
7F. Cordero, 1B
1-4100
7B. Dalbec, 1B
0-0000
8C. Vázquez, C
0-3000
9J. Bradley Jr., RF
0-3000

Line Move Data

TimeHOU lineBOS line
05/16/2022, 11:10 PM +1.5 -181-1.5 +152
05/16/2022, 11:00 PM +1.5 -182-1.5 +152
05/16/2022, 10:59 PM +1.5 -183-1.5 +152
05/16/2022, 10:57 PM +1.5 -182-1.5 +152
05/16/2022, 10:56 PM +1.5 -179-1.5 +155
05/16/2022, 10:47 PM +1.5 -154-1.5 +133
05/16/2022, 10:46 PM +1.5 -179-1.5 +155
05/16/2022, 10:44 PM +1.5 -182-1.5 +152
05/16/2022, 10:28 PM +1.5 -182-1.5 +150
05/16/2022, 10:21 PM +1.5 -181-1.5 +148

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
HOU
BOS
Consensus
+108
-127
Open
+100
-120
Best Line

Astros vs. Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Astros
23-13
o4-125
u4-105
Red Sox
14-21
o4.5-125
u4.5-105