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MIA @ CHC

6:20 pm • Fox Sports 1

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Drew Smyly logoD. SmylyChicago Cubs logo3.695-6
Pablo López logoP. LópezMiami Marlins logo3.557-7

Marlins vs. Cubs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
50-64
-1
-1.5+146
o8.5-118
-118
Cubs
47-65
u8
+1.5-167
u8.5-105
-104
location pinSaturday 6:20 p.m.
August 06, 2022
Wrigley FieldChicago

Marlins vs. Cubs Notes

Keys to the Game

The Marlins are just 23-28 (.451) at home this season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Cubs are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Matchup Contrasts

Avisail Garcia is slugging just .107 on breaking pitches from LHP on breaking pitches against LHP this season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 52 total CB-- 99th Percentile.
Patrick Wisdom has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters this season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,333/3,164) since the start of last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total CB; League Avg: 16% -- 99th Percentile.
13 of Drew Smyly's 38 breaking pitch strikeouts (34%) have been backdoor this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 12% -- 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (79/193) against Pablo Lopez when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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Marlins vs. Cubs Expert Picks

MIA
CHC
MIA ML
2
CHC ML
1
Over
1
Under
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

21 props
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RBI

21 props
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HR

20 props
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Singles

21 props
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Doubles

21 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 5thMIAW 2-1-1.5 LU 7.5CHC -146
Aug 4th@STLL 2-7+1.5 LO 8.5STL +150
Aug 4th@STLL 3-4+1.5 WU 7.5STL +135
Aug 2nd@STLL 0-6+1.5 LU 8.5STL +142
Jul 31st@SFL 0-4+1.5 LU 7.5SF +152

Marlins vs. Cubs Public Betting

62%

Bets%

38%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
57-5527-3130-2411-2346-32
Marlins
51-6320-3431-2919-3132-31

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Cubs
46-58-824-28-622-30-215-17-231-41-6
Marlins
50-59-526-25-324-34-223-2727-31-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
47-6524-3423-3115-1932-46
Marlins
50-6423-3127-3330-2020-43

Cubs vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Cubs Injuries

  • Alec Mills

    P

    Alec Mills (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Wade Miley

    P

    Wade Miley (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Jason Heyward

    OF

    Heyward is out with knee

    Out

  • Kyle Hendricks

    P

    Hendricks is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Steven Brault

    P

    Brault is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Michael Hermosillo

    OF

    Michael Hermosillo (quad) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Brad Wieck

    P

    Wieck is out with elbow

    Out

  • Adbert Alzolay

    P

    Alzolay is out with back

    Out

  • Codi Heuer

    P

    Heuer is out with elbow

    Out

  • Ethan Roberts

    P

    Roberts is out with shoulder

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Avisaíl García

    OF

    Avisaíl García (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers

    P

    Trevor Rogers (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Garrett Cooper

    IF

    Cooper is day-to-day with calf

    Day-to-Day

  • Daniel Castano

    P

    Daniel Castano placed on 7-day concussion IL

    Out

  • Cole Sulser

    P

    Sulser is out with back

    Out

  • Jordan Holloway

    P

    Holloway is out with elbow

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Max Meyer

    P

    Max Meyer (elbow) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Marlins vs. Cubs Box Score

Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RP. López, P
91564
RJ. Brigham, P
26230
LR. Bleier, P
14100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1M. Rojas, SS
0-3000
2J. Wendle, 2B
0-4000
3J. Aguilar, DH
1-4000
4B. De La Cruz, RF
2-4000
5J. Bleday, CF
0-4000
6N. Fortes, C
0-3000
7C. Leblanc, 3B
1-3000
8L. Díaz, 1B
0-2000
8G. Cooper, PH
0-1000
8G. Cooper, 1B
0-1000
9P. Burdick, LF
1-3000
Cubs Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LD. Smyly, P
1066.240
RM. Leiter Jr., P
242.110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1R. Ortega, CF
1-4100
2W. Contreras, DH
1-4001
3S. Suzuki, RF
0-4000
4I. Happ, LF
2-3100
5N. Hoerner, SS
3-4001
6F. Schwindel, 1B
0-3000
7P. Higgins, C
2-3111
8Z. McKinstry, 3B
0-3000
8P. Wisdom, PH
0-1000
8P. Wisdom, 3B
0-1000
9C. Morel, 2B
1-2100
9N. Madrigal, PH
0-2000
9N. Madrigal, 2B
0-2000

Line Move Data

TimeMIA lineCHC line
08/06/2022, 6:24 PM -1.5 +146+1.5 -167
08/06/2022, 6:21 PM -1.5 +143+1.5 -171
08/06/2022, 6:21 PM -1.5 +146+1.5 -167
08/06/2022, 6:18 PM -1.5 +140+1.5 -166
08/06/2022, 6:17 PM -1.5 +146+1.5 -167
08/06/2022, 6:13 PM -1.5 +146+1.5 -175
08/06/2022, 5:37 PM -1.5 +145+1.5 -172
08/06/2022, 5:18 PM -1.5 +143+1.5 -172
08/06/2022, 5:18 PM -1.5 +148+1.5 -172
08/06/2022, 5:05 PM -1.5 +148+1.5 -166

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
MIA
CHC
Open
+110-130
Consensus
-118
-104
Best Line

Marlins vs. Cubs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Marlins
50-64
o4-120
u4-110
Cubs
47-65
o4-125
u4-105

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