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NYM @ MIA

10:10 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Nick Neidert logoN. NeidertMiami Marlins logo3.600-1
Carlos Carrasco logoC. CarrascoNew York Mets logo3.9515-7

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets
98-58
-1.5
-1.5-120
o8-110
-215
Marlins
65-91
u8
+1.5+102
u8-112
+166
location pinSaturday 10:10 p.m.
July 30, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Mets vs. Marlins Notes

Keys to the Game

The Mets are 44-4 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Mets are 27-7 (.794) when scoring in the first inning this season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

Matchup Contrasts

Bryan De La Cruz is batting just .214 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 148 total PA's-- fifth Percentile. Carlos Carrasco has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.
Miguel Rojas has a miss rate of only 6% on outside fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Carlos Carrasco has located his fastball away 52% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents are hitting .518 (29-for-56) against Carlos Carrasco when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 -- first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .360 (54-for-150) against Carlos Carrasco versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 -- first Percentile.

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Mets vs. Marlins Expert Picks

NYM
MIA
NYM ML
0
MIA ML
1
NYM Spread
1
MIA Spread
0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 29thNYML 4-6+1.5 LO 6NYM +104
Jul 28th@CINW 7-6+1.5 WO 9MIA +116
Jul 27th@CINL 3-5+1.5 LU 8.5CIN +127
Jul 26th@CINW 2-1-1.5 LU 8.5MIA -115
Jul 25th@CINL 2-11+1.5 LO 9CIN +112

Mets vs. Marlins Public Betting

80%

Bets%

20%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
74-8232-4642-3626-3848-43
Mets
84-7239-3945-3363-5620-16

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
69-80-737-37-432-43-327-35-242-44-5
Mets
82-68-640-35-342-33-360-55-422-12-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
65-9132-4633-4536-2829-62
Mets
98-5851-2747-3179-4018-18

Marlins vs. Mets Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Avisaíl García

    OF

    Avisaíl García (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Joey Wendle

    IF

    Joey Wendle (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers

    P

    Trevor Rogers (back) has been placed on the 15-day IL

    Out

  • Daniel Castano

    P

    Daniel Castano placed on 7-day concussion IL

    Out

  • Jordan Holloway

    P

    Holloway is out with elbow

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Max Meyer

    P

    Max Meyer (elbow) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Anthony Bender

    P

    Bender is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Mets Injuries

  • Tommy Hunter

    P

    Hunter is out with back

    Out

  • Starling Marte

    OF

    Marte is out with finger

    Out

  • Sean Reid-Foley

    P

    Reid-Foley is out with arm

    Out

  • Bryce Montes de Oca

    P

    Montes de Oca is out with hamstring

    Out

  • John Curtiss

    P

    Curtiss is out with elbow

    Out

  • Joey Lucchesi

    P

    Lucchesi is out with elbow

    Out

  • Brett Baty

    IF

    Baty is out with thumb

    Out

Mets vs. Marlins Box Score

Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Carrasco, P
937.270
RS. Lugo, P
141.100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1B. Nimmo, CF
1-5000
2S. Marte, RF
0-4000
3F. Lindor, SS
3-4112
4P. Alonso, 1B
0-4000
5D. Vogelbach, DH
0-2000
5J. Davis, PH
1-1111
5J. Davis, DH
1-1111
6T. Naquin, LF
0-4000
7E. Escobar, 3B
1-4000
8J. McNeil, 2B
2-4111
9T. Nido, C
1-3100
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RN. Neidert, P
82532
RH. Brazoban, P
312.221
LR. Bleier, P
201.101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Wendle, 2B
0-4000
2M. Rojas, SS
1-4000
3L. Díaz, 1B
1-4000
4J. Aguilar, DH
0-2000
5J. Bleday, CF
0-2000
6B. De La Cruz, RF
0-3000
7J. Sánchez, LF
0-3000
8N. Fortes, C
1-3000
9C. Leblanc, 3B
1-3000

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Mets vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mets
98-58
o4.5-115
u4.5-115
Marlins
65-91
o3.5-105
u3.5-125

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