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MIL @ CIN

4:35 pm • YouTube

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Vladimir Gutierrez logoV. GutierrezCincinnati Reds logo8.650-5
Adrian Houser logoA. HouserMilwaukee Brewers logo3.863-3

Brewers vs. Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
21-13
-1.5
-1.5-130
o9.5-105
-200
Reds
9-25
u9
+1.5+109
u9.5-115
+170
location pinWednesday 4:35 p.m.
May 11, 2022
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Brewers vs. Reds Game Analysis

Brewers vs. Reds Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Kyle Farmer is slugging just .294 on fastballs this season -- ninth worst in MLB -- ninth Percentile. Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 65% of the time this season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP -- 95th Percentile.
Willy Adames is slugging .667 on non-fastballs down this season -- second best in MLB -- 98th Percentile. Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed a SLG of .586 on low non-fastballs this season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP -- first Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents are hitting just .274 (82-for-299) against Adrian Houser in non-two strike counts since the start of last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .333 -- 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has an average spin rate of 2368.6 RPM on fastballs this season -- 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 2200.2 -- 87th Percentile.
Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed an OBP of .431 (225 PA's) versus the top of the order since the start of last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .329 -- second Percentile.
Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (17 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .286 -- first Percentile.

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Brewers vs. Reds Expert Picks

MIL
CIN

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

1 prop
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 10thMILL 4-5+1.5 WO 8.5MIL +175
May 9thMILW 10-5+1.5 WO 7.5CIN +157
May 8thPITW 7-3-1.5 WO 8CIN -138
May 7thPITL 5-8+1.5 LO 8.5PIT +111
May 7thPITW 9-2+1.5 WO 8.5CIN +105

Brewers vs. Reds Public Betting

90%

Bets%

10%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
13-216-87-131-512-16
Brewers
16-1810-46-1414-152-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds
22-11-111-311-8-14-218-9-1
Brewers
16-16-27-79-9-215-13-11-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
9-255-94-161-58-20
Brewers
21-1310-411-919-102-3

Reds vs. Brewers Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Minor

    P

    Minor is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Joey Votto

    IF

    Joey Votto placed on COVID-19 IL

    Out

  • Nick Senzel

    OF

    Senzel is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Justin Dunn

    P

    Dunn is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Nick Lodolo

    P

    Lodolo is out with back

    Out

  • Max Schrock

    OF

    Schrock is out with calf

    Out

  • Donovan Solano

    IF

    Solano is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Jake Fraley

    OF

    Fraley is out with knee

    Out

  • Jose Barrero

    IF

    Barrero is out with hand

    Out

  • Jonathan India

    IF

    Jonathan India (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers Injuries

  • Andrew McCutchen

    OF

    Andrew McCutchen placed on COVID IL

    Out

  • Pedro Severino

    C

    Severino is out with suspension

    Out

  • Trevor Gott

    P

    Gott is day-to-day with quad

    Day-to-Day

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers vs. Reds Box Score

Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RA. Houser, P
90433
LH. Milner, P
12101
LB. Suter, P
5100
RJ. Mejía, P
321.105
RL. Perdomo, P
90.201
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Wong, 2B
2-4100
2W. Adames, SS
0-4000
2M. Brosseau, PH
1-1112
3C. Yelich, DH
4-5213
4R. Tellez, 1B
1-4101
5L. Urías, 3B
1-5101
6H. Renfroe, RF
2-5222
7O. Narváez, C
2-4001
8L. Cain, CF
1-5100
9J. Peterson, LF
1-4211
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RV. Gutierrez, P
874.264
RA. Díaz, P
161.120
RJ. Hoffman, P
28211
RD. Moreta, P
17005
RJ. Kuhnel, P
14111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1T. Friedl, CF
3-4300
2B. Drury, 2B
0-2200
3T. Pham, LF
3-4202
4M. Moustakas, 3B
1-5101
5T. Stephenson, DH
3-5204
6C. Moran, 1B
2-4313
7T. Naquin, RF
2-4003
8K. Farmer, SS
0-3101
9A. Garcia, C
0-4000

Line Move Data

TimeMIL lineCIN line
05/11/2022, 4:41 PM -1.5 -130+1.5 +109
05/11/2022, 4:36 PM -1.5 -130+1.5 +107
05/11/2022, 4:23 PM -1.5 -130+1.5 +106
05/11/2022, 4:22 PM -1.5 -130+1.5 +108
05/11/2022, 4:16 PM -1.5 -128+1.5 +106
05/11/2022, 4:14 PM -1.5 -128+1.5 +107
05/11/2022, 4:14 PM -1.5 -127+1.5 +106
05/11/2022, 4:13 PM -1.5 -127+1.5 +107
05/11/2022, 4:11 PM -1.5 -127+1.5 +106
05/11/2022, 4:03 PM -1.5 -127+1.5 +107

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
MIL
CIN
Consensus
-200
+170
Open
-165
+145
Best Line

Brewers vs. Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
21-13
o5.5-105
u5.5-125
Reds
9-25
o4-110
u4-120