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MIL @ MIA

10:40 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Pablo López logoP. LópezMiami Marlins logo1.574-1
Corbin Burnes logoC. BurnesMilwaukee Brewers logo2.271-2

Brewers vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
26-16
-1.5
-1.5+129
o6.5-102
-144
Marlins
18-22
u6.5
+1.5-158
u6.5-119
+125
location pinFriday 10:40 p.m.
May 13, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Analysis

Brewers vs. Marlins Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Jorge Soler is batting just .184 against RHP this season -- 10th worst in MLB -- 11th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .130 (10-for-77) against Corbin Burnes this season -- third best among qualified SPs -- 97th Percentile.
Willy Adames has a miss rate of 46% on changeups this season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB -- ninth Percentile. Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 37% of the time this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 14 total CH -- 98th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .524 (803 PA's) since the start of last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .714 -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .733 (11-for-15) against Freddy Peralta when he's behind in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .325 -- 0 Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .280 (28 Total Bases / 100 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .447 -- 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 34% (372/1,091) against Pablo Lopez since the start of last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 98th Percentile.

Best MLB Betting Sites

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Brewers vs. Marlins Expert Picks

MIL
MIA
MIL ML
0
MIA ML
3
Over
1
Under
2

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 11th@ARIW 11-3-1.5 WO 8MIA -113
May 11th@ARIL 3-9-1.5 LO 8ARI -131
May 10th@ARIL 3-4-1.5 LU 8.5ARI -110
May 8th@SDL 2-3+1.5 WU 7SD +135
May 8th@SDW 8-0-1.5 WO 6.5MIA +100

Brewers vs. Marlins Public Betting

60%

Bets%

40%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
22-1812-1010-810-1112-6
Brewers
19-2312-87-1517-202-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
19-2113-96-1211-108-10
Brewers
19-21-29-1110-10-218-18-11-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
18-2210-128-1012-96-12
Brewers
26-1614-612-1024-132-3

Marlins vs. Brewers Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Joey Wendle

    IF

    Joey Wendle (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Richard Bleier

    P

    Bleier is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jon Berti

    IF

    Jon Berti (undisclosed) placed on IL

    Out

  • Jesús Luzardo

    P

    Jesús Luzardo (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Brewers Injuries

  • Pedro Severino

    C

    Severino is out with suspension

    Out

  • Willy Adames

    IF

    Willy Adames (ankle) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Freddy Peralta

    P

    Peralta is out with shoulder

    Out

  • J.C. Mejía

    P

    Mejia is suspended with suspension

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers vs. Marlins Box Score

Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Burnes, P
95771
RD. Williams, P
12120
LJ. Hader, P
7100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Wong, 2B
1-4111
2W. Adames, SS
0-4000
3C. Yelich, LF
1-4100
4L. Urías, 3B
0-3000
5R. Tellez, DH
0-3000
5T. Taylor, PH
1-1000
5T. Taylor, DH
1-1000
6H. Renfroe, RF
1-4000
7J. Peterson, 1B
0-3001
8L. Cain, CF
1-4000
9V. Caratini, C
1-4000
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RP. López, P
997111
LS. Okert, P
23110
LT. Scott, P
10001
RA. Bender, P
15120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Chisholm Jr., 2B
0-4000
2J. Aguilar, 1B
1-4111
3J. Soler, LF
1-4000
4G. Cooper, DH
1-3000
5A. García, RF
0-2000
5B. De La Cruz, RF
0-1000
6J. Sánchez, CF
0-3000
7B. Anderson, 3B
1-3000
8M. Rojas, SS
0-3000
9J. Stallings, C
1-3000

Line Move Data

TimeMIL lineMIA line
05/13/2022, 10:47 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -158
05/13/2022, 10:46 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -148
05/13/2022, 10:45 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -158
05/13/2022, 10:45 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -148
05/13/2022, 10:44 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -158
05/13/2022, 10:42 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -148
05/13/2022, 10:42 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -158
05/13/2022, 10:41 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -148
05/13/2022, 10:23 PM -1.5 +130+1.5 -149
05/13/2022, 10:21 PM -1.5 +129+1.5 -148

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
MIL
MIA
Consensus
-144
+125
Open
-165
+145
Best Line

Brewers vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
26-16
o3-125
u3-105
Marlins
18-22
o2.5-120
u2.5-110