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SD @ CHC

6:20 pm • MARQ

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Matt Swarmer logoM. SwarmerChicago Cubs logo5.032-3
Joe Musgrove logoJ. MusgroveSan Diego Padres logo3.0310-7

Padres vs. Cubs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres
86-70
-1.5
-1.5-132
o11-111
-195
Cubs
69-86
u9.5
+1.5+112
u11-108
+160
location pinThursday 6:20 p.m.
June 16, 2022
Wrigley FieldChicago

Padres vs. Cubs Notes

Keys to the Game

The Cubs are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Cubs are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

Matchup Contrasts

Rafael Ortega is batting just .133 with RISP this season -- tied for seventh worst among hitters with at least 87 total PA's-- third Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .125 (6-for-48) against Joe Musgrove with RISP this season -- tied for seventh best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.
Willson Contreras has a miss rate of 26% on inside fastballs this season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Joe Musgrove has located his fastball inside 43% of the time this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .323 -- 100th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .214 (126 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 -- 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (17/33) against Matt Swarmer -- 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% -- ninth Percentile.
Matt Swarmer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 30th -- the longest active streak is 6.

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Padres vs. Cubs Expert Picks

SD
CHC
SD ML
0
CHC ML
1
Over
0
Under
2
SD Spread
1
CHC Spread
0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 16thSDL 5-19-1.5 LO 12SD -143
Jun 15thSDL 5-12+1.5 LO 10.5SD +115
Jun 14thSDL 1-4+1.5 LU 9SD +109
Jun 12th@NYYL 4-18+1.5 LO 8.5NYY +186
Jun 11th@NYYL 0-8+1.5 LU 8.5NYY +195

Padres vs. Cubs Public Betting

87%

Bets%

13%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
77-7836-4141-3713-3464-44
Padres
69-85-127-46-142-3942-64-127-21

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Cubs
63-80-1229-40-834-40-420-24-343-56-9
Padres
73-79-332-41-141-38-250-55-223-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
69-8633-4436-4219-2850-58
Padres
86-7041-3345-3662-4524-24

Cubs vs. Padres Injury Updates

Cubs Injuries

  • Alec Mills

    P

    Alec Mills (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Rafael Ortega

    OF

    Ortega is out with finger

    Out

  • Jason Heyward

    OF

    Heyward is out with knee

    Out

  • Kyle Hendricks

    P

    Hendricks is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Justin Steele

    P

    Steele is out with back

    Out

  • Brad Wieck

    P

    Wieck is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nick Madrigal

    IF

    Nick Madrigal (groin) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Codi Heuer

    P

    Heuer is out with elbow

    Out

  • Ethan Roberts

    P

    Roberts is out with shoulder

    Out

Padres Injuries

  • Pierce Johnson

    P

    Johnson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Drew Pomeranz

    P

    Pomeranz is out with elbow

    Out

  • Fernando Tatis Jr.

    IF

    Tatis Jr. is out for season with suspension

    Out for Season

  • Austin Adams

    P

    Adams is out with arm

    Out

Padres vs. Cubs Box Score

Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Musgrove, P
106792
RL. García, P
15120
LT. Rogers, P
15101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Profar, LF
1-4211
2J. Cronenworth, 2B
1-3001
3M. Machado, 3B
3-5001
4L. Voit, DH
0-5000
5E. Hosmer, 1B
2-4200
6N. Mazara, RF
2-3112
6J. Azocar, PH
0-1000
6J. Azocar, RF
0-1000
7A. Nola, C
1-4001
8T. Grisham, CF
0-3100
9S. Alcántara, SS
1-4000
Cubs Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RM. Swarmer, P
863.244
RS. Effross, P
90.110
LB. Hughes, P
161.211
RM. Givens, P
171.110
RD. Robertson, P
17111
LD. Norris, P
19110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1C. Morel, CF
2-4111
2W. Contreras, C
1-4100
3I. Happ, DH
1-4001
4P. Wisdom, 1B
1-4000
5R. Ortega, LF
0-4000
6N. Hoerner, SS
0-3100
7J. Villar, 3B
1-4100
8J. Heyward, RF
0-3000
8F. Schwindel, PH
0-1001
9A. Simmons, 2B
1-3001
9Y. Gomes, PH
0-1000

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Padres vs. Cubs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Padres
86-70
o6-125
u6-105
Cubs
69-86
o4.5-115
u4.5-115

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