PIT @ CIN
5:40 pm • BSOHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.41 | 1-1 | |
 |  | 5.18 | 3-10 |
Pirates vs. Reds Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates 11-8 | +1.5-173 | o8+100 | +119 | |
Reds 9-9 | -1.5+155 | u8-118 | -138 | |
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Pirates vs. Reds Notes
Keys to the Game
The Reds are just 22-64 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Matchup Contrasts
Bryan Reynolds has a miss rate of 41% on elevated fastballs this season -- eighth worst in MLB -- eighth Percentile. Tyler Mahle has located his fastball up 59% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs -- 90th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (267/724) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches since the start of last season -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- fifth Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .400 (467 PA's) last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .307 -- 0 Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of 1.317 (142 PA's) when he's behind in the count since the start of last season -- 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 1.065 -- fourth Percentile.
Pirates vs. Reds Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Reds are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Reds' 9 last games at home
Pirates vs. Reds Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
Yasmani Grandal
CGrandal is out with foot
Out
Marco Gonzales
PGonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IFHayes is day-to-day
Day-to-Day
Johan Oviedo
POviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Joey Bart
CBart is out
Out
Jason Delay
CDelay is out with knee
Out
Endy Rodriguez
CRodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Reds Injuries
Jeimer Candelario
IFCandelario is day-to-day with illness
Day-to-Day
TJ Friedl
OFFriedl is out with wrist
Out
Matt McLain
IFMcLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
PWilliamson is out with shoulder
Out
Pirates vs. Reds Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RZ. Thompson, P | 79 | 5 | 6 | 0 | |
| LD. Peters, P | 19 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| RH. Hembree, P | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| RC. De Jong, P | 47 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1B. Gamel, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2B.Reynolds, CF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3M. Chavis, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4D.Vogelbach, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5Y. Tsutsugo, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6D. Castillo, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6J. VanMeter, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J.Suwinski, RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8M. Pérez, C | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9C. Tucker, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RT.Mahle, P | 106 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
| RA. Warren, P | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| RD.Moreta, P | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| RH.Strickland, P | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1T.Friedl, LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1T.Friedl, RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2B. Drury, 3B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3M. Moustakas, DH | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4T.Stephenson, C | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5T. Naquin, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5T. Pham, PH | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5T. Pham, LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6K.Farmer, SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7C. Moran, 1B | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 8A. Almora, CF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9M. Reynolds, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Pirates vs. Reds Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Pirates 11-8 | N/A | N/A |
Reds 9-9 | N/A | N/A |