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PIT @ CIN

5:40 pm • BSOH

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Tyler Mahle logoT. MahleCincinnati Reds logo4.572-6
Zach Thompson logoZ. ThompsonPittsburgh Pirates logo4.473-5

Pirates vs. Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
29-40
+1.5
+1.5-173
o8+100
+119
Reds
23-46
u7.5
-1.5+155
u8-118
-138
location pinSunday 5:40 p.m.
May 08, 2022
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Pirates vs. Reds Notes

Keys to the Game

The Reds are just 22-64 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Matchup Contrasts

Bryan Reynolds has a miss rate of 41% on elevated fastballs this season -- eighth worst in MLB -- eighth Percentile. Tyler Mahle has located his fastball up 59% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs -- 90th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .400 (467 PA's) last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .307 -- 0 Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of 1.317 (142 PA's) when he's behind in the count since the start of last season -- 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 1.065 -- fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (267/724) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches since the start of last season -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- fifth Percentile.

Best MLB Betting Sites

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Pirates vs. Reds Expert Picks

PIT
CIN
PIT ML
0
CIN ML
1
Over
1
Under
0

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

16 props
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RBI

16 props
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HR

16 props
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Singles

16 props
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Doubles

16 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 7thPITL 5-8+1.5 LO 8.5PIT +111
May 7thPITW 9-2+1.5 WO 8.5CIN +105
May 5th@MILL 5-10+1.5 LO 8MIL +200
May 4th@MILL 4-18+1.5 LO 7.5MIL +260
May 3rd@MILL 3-6+1.5 LO 7MIL +197

Pirates vs. Reds Public Betting

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
30-3913-2217-174-1326-26
Pirates
33-3619-1814-187-826-28

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds
38-30-122-1316-17-19-829-22-1
Pirates
28-35-615-19-313-16-37-7-121-28-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
23-4612-2311-235-1218-34
Pirates
29-4017-19-112-209-620-33-1

Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Ben Gamel

    OF

    Ben Gamel (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Roberto Pérez

    C

    Roberto Pérez (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jake Marisnick

    OF

    Jake Marisnick (thumb) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Duane Underwood Jr.

    P

    Underwood is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Zach Thompson

    P

    Thompson is out with arm

    Out

  • Josh VanMeter

    IF

    Josh VanMeter (finger) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Greg Allen

    OF

    Allen is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Dillon Peters

    P

    Peters is out with back

    Out

  • Kevin Newman

    IF

    Newman is out with groin

    Out

  • Canaan Smith-Njigba

    OF

    Smith-Njigba is out with wrist

    Out

  • Yoshi Tsutsugo

    IF

    Tsutsugo is out with back

    Out

  • Blake Cederlind

    P

    Cederlind is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nick Mears

    P

    Mears is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tucupita Marcano

    IF

    Marcano is out with covid protocols

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Tyler Naquin

    OF

    Tyler Naquin (quad) placed on IL

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Dunn

    P

    Dunn is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Nick Lodolo

    P

    Lodolo is out with back

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Aristides Aquino

    OF

    Aristides Aquino (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Vladimir Gutierrez

    P

    Vladimir Gutierrez (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Jake Fraley

    OF

    Fraley is out with knee

    Out

  • Tyler Stephenson

    C

    Stephenson is out with finger

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Connor Overton

    P

    Overton is out with back

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

  • Alexis Díaz

    P

    Diaz is out with biceps

    Out

Pirates vs. Reds Box Score

Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RZ. Thompson, P
79560
LD. Peters, P
19004
RH. Hembree, P
15111
RC. De Jong, P
47222
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1B. Gamel, LF
0-4000
2B. Reynolds, CF
1-3111
3M. Chavis, 3B
0-4000
4D. Vogelbach, DH
0-4000
5Y. Tsutsugo, 1B
0-3000
6D. Castillo, SS
0-3000
6J. VanMeter, PH
0-1000
7J. Suwinski, RF
1-3100
8M. Perez, C
1-2112
9C. Tucker, 2B
0-3000
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RT. Mahle, P
106562
RA. Warren, P
26230
RD. Moreta, P
13121
RH. Strickland, P
10100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1T. Friedl, LF
1-5000
1T. Friedl, RF
1-5000
2B. Drury, 3B
1-3100
3M. Moustakas, DH
0-2100
4T. Stephenson, C
0-3100
5T. Naquin, RF
0-2000
5T. Pham, PH
0-1101
5T. Pham, LF
0-1101
6K. Farmer, SS
0-3100
7C. Moran, 1B
2-4226
8A. Almora Jr., CF
2-4000
9M. Reynolds, 2B
0-4000

Line Move Data

TimePIT lineCIN line
05/08/2022, 5:48 PM +1.5 -173-1.5 +155
05/08/2022, 5:47 PM +1.5 -179-1.5 +152
05/08/2022, 5:45 PM +1.5 -173-1.5 +155
05/08/2022, 5:43 PM +1.5 -179-1.5 +152
05/08/2022, 5:41 PM +1.5 -173-1.5 +155
05/08/2022, 5:39 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +152
05/08/2022, 5:25 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +150
05/08/2022, 5:24 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +157
05/08/2022, 5:24 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +152
05/08/2022, 5:12 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +150

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
PIT
CIN
Open
+135-155
Consensus
+119
-138
Best Line

Pirates vs. Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
29-40
o3.5-105
u3.5-125
Reds
23-46
o4-110
u4-120