Red Sox vs Cubs Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 3, 2022

BOS @ CHC

6:20 pm • MARQ

Boston Red Sox

14-11

4 - 2

Chicago Cubs

15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 14-11	-1.5+161	o8.5-115	-101
Cubs 15-9	+1.5-196	u8.5-105	-115

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

July 03, 2022

Wrigley FieldChicago

Sunday's 5 Biggest MLB Betting Model Edges
PJ Walsh•
Jul 3, 2022 UTC

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The Cubs are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 38-4 (.905) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .922.

The Red Sox are 23-19 (.548) on the road this season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Cubs are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

56% of fastball strikeouts for Christian Vazquez are located out of the zone this season -- tied for 12th highest among hitters with at least 112 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 52% of Keegan Thompson fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (7/34) against Keegan Thompson -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Keegan Thompson allowed a batting average of .360 vs right-handed batters (tied for fourth worst)-- sixth Percentile and just .125 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (10th best among qualified SPs)-- 83rd Percentile.

BOS

CHC

BOS ML

CHC ML

Over

Under

BOS Spread

CHC Spread

No props found

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	BOS	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CHC +131
Jul 1st	BOS	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +125
Jul 1st	CIN	W 15-7	-1.5 W	O 10.5	CHC -128
Jun 30th	CIN	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8	CHC -139
Jun 29th	CIN	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -124

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 9-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Cubs' 12 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	17-7	8-4	9-3	5-3	12-4
Red Sox	14-11	3-7	11-4	4-7	10-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	11-13	6-6	5-7	4-4	7-9
Red Sox	10-13-2	4-5-1	6-8-1	6-5	4-8-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	15-9	9-3	6-6	6-2	9-7
Red Sox	14-11	3-7	11-4	7-4	7-7

Trevor Story
IF
Story is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nick Pivetta
P
Pivetta is out with elbow
Out
Vladimir Gutierrez
P
Gutierrez is out with elbow
Out
Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is day-to-day with knee
Day-to-Day
Triston Casas
IF
Casas is out with ribs
Out
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with back
Out
Vaughn Grissom
IF
Grissom is out with groin
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with wrist
Out

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out with hamstring
Out
Cody Bellinger
OF
Bellinger is out with ribs
Out
Seiya Suzuki
OF
Suzuki is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Seabold, P	74	4	4	1
RH. Sawamura, P	27	2	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	22	1	2	0
LM.Strahm, P	12	1	1	1
RT.Houck, P	15	1	1	0
LJ.Diekman, P	29	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	1
2R.Devers, 3B	2-6	0	0
3X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0
3T.Story, 2B	0-2	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	1-5	1	0
5C.Vazquez, C	2-5	1	0
6R.Refsnyder, RF	0-4	0	0
6J. Bradley, RF	0-0	0	0
7F. Cordero, DH	2-5	0	1
8B.Dalbec, 1B	1-5	1	0
9C. Arroyo, 2B	2-3	1	0
9C. Arroyo, SS	2-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Thompson, P	86	4	3	2
RM. Swarmer, P	33	1.1	2	0
LB. Hughes, P	19	1	1	0
RS.Effross, P	19	1.2	3	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RR. Wick, P	40	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Ortega, CF	1-3	1	0	0
1N. Crook, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0	1
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4P.Wisdom, 3B	1-5	1	1	1
5N.Hoerner, SS	1-5	0	0	0
6P. Higgins, C	1-5	0	0	0
7A.Rivas, 1B	2-2	0	0	0
7Y.Gomes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7D. Bote, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Velazquez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Morel, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

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MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox 14-11	N/A	N/A
Cubs 15-9	N/A	N/A

BOS @ CHC

Boston Red Sox

Chicago Cubs

Red Sox vs. Cubs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Keys to the Game

Matchup Contrasts

Today's Starting Pitchers

Red Sox

Public

Cubs

Bets%

Money%

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Red Sox Injuries

Trevor Story

Lucas Giolito

Nick Pivetta

Vladimir Gutierrez

Rafael Devers

Triston Casas

Garrett Whitlock

Brayan Bello

Vaughn Grissom

Romy Gonzalez

Cubs Injuries

Justin Steele

Cody Bellinger

Seiya Suzuki

Red Sox vs. Cubs Team Totals