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CIN @ MIL

11:40 pm • BSWI

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Brandon Woodruff logoB. WoodruffMilwaukee Brewers logo3.529-3
Tyler Mahle logoT. MahleCincinnati Reds logo6.000-0

Reds vs. Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
44-66
+1.5
+1.5-114
o7-113
+197
Brewers
60-50
u7.5
-1.5-106
u7-112
-242
location pinTuesday 11:40 p.m.
May 03, 2022
Miller ParkMilwaukee

Reds vs. Brewers Notes

Keys to the Game

The Reds are just 21-90 (.189) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Reds are just 61-58 (.513) at home since the 2020 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.

Matchup Contrasts

Joey Votto is batting just .133 on fastballs this season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 31 total PA's -- fifth Percentile. Brandon Woodruff has thrown fastballs 60% of the time this season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP -- 90th Percentile.
Willy Adames has an OPS of .727 with two strikes this season -- 10th best in MLB -- 90th Percentile. Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of .639 (58.0 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth worst among qualified SPs -- 14th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Brandon Woodruff has struck out 36% (14/39) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 21% -- 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Tyler Mahle's breaking pitches (447/1,094) since the start of last season -- 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- fifth Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has a strike rate of 67% (123/183) vs left-handed batters this season -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- 90th Percentile.
67% of Tyler Mahle's non-fastball strikeouts are located away since the start of last season -- 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 92nd Percentile.

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Reds vs. Brewers Expert Picks

CIN
MIL
CIN ML
4
MIL ML
1
CIN Spread
0
MIL Spread
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

18 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

1 prop
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 1stCHCL 0-2-1.5 LU 6.5CHC -235
Apr 30thCHCW 9-1-1.5 WO 8MIL -165
Apr 30thCHCW 11-1-1.5 WO 8MIL -147
Apr 28th@PITW 3-2-1.5 LU 7MIL -162
Apr 27th@PITW 3-1-1.5 WU 7MIL -180

Reds vs. Brewers Public Betting

16%

Bets%

84%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
48-6223-2825-3436-5312-9
Reds
52-5825-3127-278-1644-42

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
55-50-526-23-229-27-346-40-39-10-2
Reds
55-53-229-26-126-27-112-1243-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
60-5029-2231-2850-3910-11
Reds
44-6624-3220-3410-1434-52

Reds vs. Brewers Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Moustakas

    IF

    Mike Moustakas (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jeff Hoffman

    P

    Hoffman is out with arm

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Vladimir Gutierrez

    P

    Vladimir Gutierrez (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Tony Santillan

    P

    Santillan is out with back

    Out

  • Aramis Garcia

    C

    Garcia is out with illness

    Out

  • Hunter Greene

    P

    Greene is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Dugger

    P

    Robert Dugger (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Art Warren

    P

    Warren is out with arm

    Out

  • Tyler Stephenson

    C

    Stephenson is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Connor Overton

    P

    Overton is out with back

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers Injuries

  • Jandel Gustave

    P

    Gustave is out with arm

    Out

  • Trevor Rosenthal

    P

    Rosenthal is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Adrian Houser

    P

    Houser is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jace Peterson

    IF

    Jace Peterson (elbow) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Omar Narváez

    C

    Omar Narváez (quad) placed on 10-day IL.

    Out

  • J.C. Mejía

    P

    Mejia is suspended with suspension

  • Miguel Sánchez

    P

    Sánchez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Reds vs. Brewers Box Score

Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RT. Mahle, P
923.124
RA. Díaz, P
161.220
RJ. Hoffman, P
341.230
LP. Diehl, P
251.101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1T. Naquin, DH
0-4000
2B. Drury, 2B
0-4000
2B. Drury, 3B
0-4000
3T. Pham, LF
3-4211
4M. Moustakas, 3B
2-4112
4M. Moustakas, 1B
2-4112
5T. Stephenson, C
0-4000
6N. Senzel, CF
0-4000
7C. Moran, 1B
0-2000
7M. Reynolds, PH
1-1000
7M. Reynolds, RF
1-1000
8K. Farmer, SS
0-3000
9T. Friedl, RF
0-2000
9A. Lopez, PH
0-1000
9A. Lopez, 2B
0-1000
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RB. Woodruff, P
955.2123
LA. Ashby, P
362.130
RD. Williams, P
13110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1K. Wong, 2B
2-2101
2W. Adames, SS
1-4113
3C. Yelich, LF
0-2000
4A. McCutchen, DH
0-4000
5R. Tellez, 1B
1-4111
6H. Renfroe, RF
0-4000
7O. Narváez, C
0-3100
8L. Cain, CF
1-4100
9L. Urías, 3B
1-2101

Line Move Data

TimeCIN lineMIL line
05/04/2022, 2:53 AM +1.5 -114-1.5 -106
05/03/2022, 11:53 PM +1.5 -114-1.5 -108
05/03/2022, 11:12 PM +1.5 -115-1.5 -106
05/03/2022, 9:30 PM +1.5 -118-1.5 +100
05/03/2022, 9:27 PM +1.5 -122-1.5 +104
05/03/2022, 9:18 PM +1.5 -120-1.5 +100
05/03/2022, 9:09 PM +1.5 -112-1.5 -110
05/03/2022, 8:51 PM +1.5 -111-1.5 -110
05/03/2022, 8:47 PM +1.5 -110-1.5 -110
05/03/2022, 8:44 PM +1.5 -121-1.5 +103

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
CIN
MIL
Open
+175-210
Consensus
+197
-242
Best Line

Reds vs. Brewers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
44-66
o3-110
u3-120
Brewers
60-50
o4-110
u4-120

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