MLB World Series Odds, Win Totals, Futures: Expert Picks for the 2023 Season
Photo Illustration by Matt Roembke. Pictured: Austin Riley, Bryce Harper, Tim Anderson
- Opening Day is on Thursday, and Sean Zerillo's preseason betting card is full.
- Zerillo has bets on win totals, the World Series, divisions and much more.
- Check out Zerillo's massive MLB breakdown below.
Playing MLB win totals — tying up your money with a book for several months at a relatively small edge in expected value — is naturally unappealing to many bettors.
By placing these wagers, you're diminishing your accessible bankroll in the short term and providing the house with an interest-free loan for at least half a year.
From a personal perspective, however, win total over/unders are my favorite preseason markets to try to beat in any league and also serve as a guide for teams that may be underrated in the divisional and World Series odds markets.
But there are a few things you should always keep in mind when surveying the odds in these markets:
- Books over-inflate their total win markets, which means that the total number of wins among the 30 teams adds up to more wins than are available during an MLB season (2,430).
- Similarly, books over-inflate their divisional odds markets, meaning the combined probability, as indicated by the implied odds, of all teams in a division winning that division will exceed 100%.
- Finally, books also over-inflate their pennant and World Series markets, meaning the combined probability, as indicated by the implied odds, of all 30 MLB to potentially win the World Series will exceed 100%.
Moreover, we have a new set of rules, potential injuries in the upcoming World Baseball Classic — and potential roster moves to navigate during spring training.
As a result, I will update this post before opening day with any additional bets or significant projection alterations.
Before I update this article, I will post any new bets to the Action Network App: action.onelink.me/qhpb/zerillo
Below are my 2023 win total projections, alongside projections from Clay Davenport, FanGraphs' ZIPS, and Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA.
First, I want to define two terms you might see below: "Market" refers to the average of the three projections. In contrast, "Composite" refers to an average of the "Market" projection and my projection.
For the next section only, however – regarding prediction accuracy – note that I used the market projection AS the composite projection in both 2018 and 2019.
Prediction Accuracy
Before we jump into the division-by-division breakdowns, I thought you might be interested in seeing how these projections have performed against win totals over a multi-year sample.
I analyzed all four projection systems – and their final preseason projected win total – compared to the market total for each team and the actual wins for those teams.
I skipped 2020 due to the limited 60-game regional schedule and only analyzed projections and results from 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022.
And to reiterate, note that I didn't provide my win total projections until 2021 and utilized the average market projection as my composite projection until then.
While my win total projection showed encouraging results last season, I'll wait for two more full years to make any accurate assessment.
The real takeaway is the composite projection. While some of these systems have outlier opinions, taking an average of their assessment — relative to the win totals — is far more accurate than relying on any one prediction individually.
Individually, all three public projection systems would have struggled to defeat -110 odds in the betting market.
Taking the market average in 2019 and 2018; and splitting that average with my own projection for the past two seasons has produced a 59.8% win rate — across 120 different bets — that any professional would envy.
I'll take additional time to research how these systems would have performed on actually recommended plays (i.e., win totals greater or less than a specific parameter relative to the projection; I use three wins as my boundary).
Still, it is encouraging to see that their combined predictive power is far greater than the sum of their parts. That was the intention from the outset.
AL East
UPDATE (3/29): Despite injuries to the Yankees' rotation, I would maintain the same betting strategy in the AL East.
New YorkYankees: The Yankees underachieved by seven wins last season while ranking as the top defensive team in baseball. Just 13% of their defensive value was tied to the infield shift, so their defensive excellence should carry over into 2023, and adding an impact-free agent in Carlos Rodon raises their ceiling.
My projected win gaps between the Yankees and Blue Jays (5.8 wins) and Yankees and Rays (7.2 wins) split the difference between the aggressive projection on the Bombers from PECOTA (7.9 and 10.7 wins from Toronto and Tampa Bay) and the tighter AL East projection from ZIPS (3 and 3.3 wins differentials).
As a result, my projection would come in right around the PECOTA/ZIPS composites lines I provide for quick reference.
-150 seems a fairer price on the Yankees' divisional odds than the market average, and I would set their World Series line closer to +650 rather than the best available price (+800 at FanDuel)
However, I prefer their AL Pennant Odds (+350 at BetMGM and Caesars) to a World Series ticket at this stage.
Bet their divisional odds to -122 (55% implied) and their AL Pennant Odds down to +350.
Toronto Blue Jays: The Blue Jays finished eighth in Defensive Runs Saved last season, but they were -6 in the outfield. They could have the best defensive outfield in baseball now after adding Kevin Kiermaier and Daulton Varsho. Toronto moved in its fences to benefit Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. offensively.
Were we a year too early betting on their 2022 futures? Nate Pearson and Ricky Tiedemann are throwing gas in spring training.
I still like the makeup of their team, and I don't want to be overleveraged against the Jays after missing on them last season, but the math can't justify any preseason wagers on Toronto. Pass
Tampa Bay Rays: The Rays feature a typically deep roster built to grind out a long regular season, although they typically lack star power come playoff time.
That could change with a Wander Franco breakout, the return of healthy Brandon Lowe and the potential emergence of their prospects in the high minors.
While I don't see value in their win total, I am two wins higher on the Rays than the market average; and I view them as a reasonably safe bet to make the playoffs (Yes is -165 at DraftKings).
ZIPS sets that line at 68% (-214 implied odds), while PECOTA has it at 58.7% (-142 implied odds); the average odds would be around -172 between those forecasts.
However, if you're going that route, you might as well fire on their World Series (+2500 at Caesars or pennant (+1200) odds. I would set those lines closer to +2000 and +1000, respectively.
Boston Red Sox:Boston's Over (78.5 or better) is the only win total triggered from any projection system in the division. However, that is purely based upon the public projections — I'm right in line with the betting market, and the consensus projection would recommend a pass.
Baltimore Orioles: The Orioles surpassed their win total by 20.5 games last season, though they overachieved by four wins relative to their Pythagorean mark. Baltimore's win total increased by an astounding 14.5 games year over year — but the composite projection only improved by 11.9 wins.
The projections liked them Over last season. This year, they are aligned with the betting market. This Orioles system has exponential upside, but I'll pass on their 2023 preseason futures.
Zerillo's AL East Futures
Played
- New York Yankees win the AL East (+120, 0.75u at PointsBet)
- New York Yankees win the AL Pennant (+350, 0.5u at Caesars)
- Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series (+2500, 0.1u at Caesars)
Watching
- Tampa Bay Rays win the AL Pennant (+1200 at BetMGM)
AL Central
UPDATE (3/29): Chicago's Under remains my favorite win total bet, while Detroit's Under has moved out of range below 70. The divisional race between Cleveland and Minnesota has tightened in the projection market since the Triston McKenzie injury. Still, I would maintain the same betting approach in the AL Central.
Cleveland Guardians:The Guardians are likely helped by the new rules as much as any organization. The Guardians were the third-best team in defensive runs saved last season but the second least reliant on the shift (11.3%) in generating defensive value. They also ranked third in steals and fourth in baserunning value.
Compared to the market projections, I'm a couple of wins high on Cleveland this season and below market on their primary contenders, Minnesota and Chicago.
As a result, I like Cleveland's divisional odds down to around +150 (40% implied), their World Series odds down to +3300, and their pennant odds to about +1750.
Minnesota Twins: Were we a year early here, too? Our Twins futures (+525 and +600 division) were in pole position last season until August 19th — at 62-55 before stumbling to a 16-29 finish down the stretch.
Even the less optimistic outlook from ZIPS (+195 implied odds) views the Twins' divisional odds (+300 at PointsBet) as a value wager. And the projection market would lean Over on their win total at 83.5
Still, I see nearly a six-win gap between the Guardians and Twins, while the other projections have that divisional race within one game. As a result, Cleveland is the value side in my AL Central projection.
Chicago White Sox:The White Sox overachieved by three wins last season and still finished nine wins below their win total. Every projection system likes them to go Under again in 2023, and I am the low man in the market — seeing nearly a seven-win gap between my projection and Chicago's listed total; while the projection market is closer to a four-win delta.
The White Sox were miserable defensively in 2022 (-35 Defensive Runs Saved, 26th) and should be worse without the shift (12 Defensive Runs Saved via the shift). They also ranked as a bottom-10 baserunning team.
While this 26-man roster offers high-end talent, their 40-man roster (and beyond) lacks competent replacements.
The White Sox will need extraordinary injury luck to make a playoff push in 2023.
Bet their win total Under down to 80.
Kansas City Royals: Market projection would play Under 70 or better, but this is an example of why we average the projections. ZIPS leans Over, while PECOTA and Davenport would recommend a bet on the Under.
No projected value. Pass.
Detroit Tigers:A second consensus Under bet — between my projection and the market projection — at 70 wins or higher. However, ZIPS (70.3 wins) would recommend betting the Over or passing at the current number.
Detroit won 66 games in 2022 but overachieved by three wins, and the Tigers still finished 8.5 wins below their listed total.
While they ranked as an above-average defensive team (25 Defensive Runs Saved, 13th), the Tigers relied heavily upon the shift (+25 DRS); and like the White Sox, they struggled on the base paths (22nd).
And their two best young pitchers — Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize — are slated to miss most of the 2023 season. Skubal (2.9 WAR in 21 starts) was the Tigers' most valuable player by a fairly significant margin in 2022.
Zerillo's AL Central Futures
Played
- Cleveland Guardians win the AL Central (+160, 0.75u at Superbook)
- Cleveland Guardians win the AL Pennant (+2000, 0.1u at Superbook)
- Cleveland Guardians win the World Series (+4000, 0.1u at Superbook)
- Chicago White Sox, Under 83.5 Wins (-110, 1.5u at Superbook)
- Detroit Tigers, Under 70.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
Watching
- Minnesota Twins win AL Central (+300 at PointsBet)
AL West
UPDATE (3/29): I'd keep the same price targets on the win totals for Seattle and Oakland, and I'd continue to bet the Angels to win the division; at +750 or better. I was more inclined to bet the Under on Houston's win total after several spring injuries dropped their projection; however, I'd pass unless you find an Under 96 since their win totals have dropped too.
Houston Astros:The market projection likes their Under at 95 or higher, while the consensus projection would wait for an Under 96. My projection wouldn't recommend a wager unless the total moved to 97.
Lean under, but pass.
Still, there is no preseason value in their divisional or World Series bets.
Seattle Mariners: The Fun Differential darlings are back again. Both my projection and the projection market were way off on the Mariners last season.
Seattle tied for ninth in Defensive Runs Saved (+35) but relied heavily on shift value (+25), and like the White Sox and Tigers, ranked as a bottom-10 baserunning team (24th).
While my cutoff for their 2023 Under is 88.5 wins, the composite projection likes the bet down to 87.5, and the market projection would go as low as 86.5.
I would compromise with the composite projection and play the Under down to 88.
Los Angeles Angels: Their listed win total has decreased by three wins relative to last season — while the Rangers (+7), Mariners (+3), and Astros (+4) each saw their totals increase.
The Angels offer the most comprehensive potential range of outcomes of any team in MLB. Both my projection and the market projection lean to the Over on their win total; however, Over 80.5 is the minimum any of the three would recommend using as a price target.
I prefer their divisional odds (+1200 at Caesars), which are double what they should be (+627 consensus) based on projections alone, and triple their AL West odds from last season (+400).
You will only win this bet around 13-14% of the time at best. However, the betting market is giving you odds closer to 8%, and you always have to bet that type of edge, even for pennies.
Texas Rangers: Every projection sees them around .500, and only PECOTA is near recommending a wager — at Under 82 or higher.
The Rangers were a bottom-10 defensive team last season and would have ranked even worse without the shift. However, they run the bases well (third in baserunning value), have a ton of speed on their roster, and should be able to exploit some of the new ruleset.
Their speed was highly disruptive towards the end of last season and should be even more noticeable this year.
In the past two offseasons, they have also spent three-quarters of a billion dollars on free agents. One of those signings — Corey Seager — stands to benefit as much as anyone without the shift in place.
And the additions to the starting rotation will help to bridge the gap until their high-end pitching prospects (Jack Leiter, Cole Winn, Kumar Rocker) are ready for the big leagues.
I like where the Rangers are trending, and I expect to bet on them a bunch in 2023. Still, I can't recommend a preseason future.
Oakland Athletics: A consensus Over wager at 59.5, but that is my cutoff price target. The composite projection would go as high as 60.5, while the market projection likes the bet up to 61.5
Again, I'll compromise with the composite projection and set the boundary at Over 60.
Oakland won 60 games last season and only overachieved by one win, although it fell eight wins short of its projected total. However, the Athletics' listed total dropped by nine wins, even though they would never be competitive last season!
I like their 2023 roster much more than their 2022 group.
Oakland added unspectacular but major league caliber players to its offense — including Jesus Aguilar, Jace Peterson, JJ Bleday, Esteury Ruiz, Manny Pina and Aledmys Diaz; a lot of guys who will provide more than replacement level value they found from major league minimum signings last season.
And they could get full seasons from Ramon Laureano (suspended to start 2022) and prospects Shea Langaliers and Nick Allen (who started 2022 in the minors).
The rotation should also be better with overseas additions Shintaro Fujinami and Drew Rucinski and a sophomore year for intriguing prospect Ken Waldichuk.
They have some exciting bullpen pieces and position player prospects on the horizon, including Tyler Soderstrom and Zack Gelof.
While their division is now more difficult, Oakland's roster likely bottomed out from a talent perspective last season. It may take a few years to rebuild, but the arrow is pointed up.
Zerillo's AL West Futures
Played
- Los Angeles Angels win the AL West (+1200, 0.1u at Caesars)
- Oakland Athletics, Over 57.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
- Seattle Mariners, Under 88.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
Watching
- Houston Astros, Under 97.5 Wins (BetRivers)
NL East
UPDATE (3/29): Maintain the same betting approach in the NL East after key spring injuries for the Mets and Phillies, which stands to benefit our Braves and Marlins bets. The new price target for the Phillies Under is 87.5. The Mets Under is actionable at 95.5, but my preferred way to fade the Mets is to bet the Braves' divisional odds at plus money.
Atlanta Braves: I have been consistent with my "Braves are the best team in baseball" take for the past nine months, and the projections still view them as the top team in 2023 (FanGraphs' ZIPS agrees, by the way).
PECOTA likes their win total Under — and the market would recommend a bet at 96 or higher. However, I'm above-market on the Braves and below-market on the Mets and the Phillies.
And I show double the gap between the Braves and the second-place NL East team (6.2 wins), as any other projection (3.1 from ZIPS).
As a result, I again see value in the Braves' divisional, pennant and World Series odds — my same take since the midpoint of last season.
You can place those bets down to +100, +440, and +900, respectively.
New York Mets: My projection likes their win total Under 93.5 or higher, and with some 94.5s out there — and juiced 95s — there is justification to place a bet.
However, there's another team in the division I'd prefer to fade. I'm fading the Mets by betting on the Braves' futures again — no need to double down directly.
PECOTA has the Mets ahead of the Braves coming into 2023 (1.3 wins behind at the start of last season).
Still, the composite projection would place a bet at 95 or higher. I'll wait until closer to Opening Day to see if these totals float up a bit more. I may have to jump in if I can grab a flat 95.
Philadelphia Phillies: At 89.5 (+100), this was my favorite win total bet in the National League. At 88 (-110), I would probably only bet it for a half unit.
Technically, my projection likes the Phillies Under down to 87.5. Still, the projection market is much more closely aligned with their total — Davenport and PECOTA leaning Over 88.5.
Compared to their chief divisional rivals, the Phillies are worse on defense (25th in Defensive Runs Saved) and have far less organizational depth.
If everyone stays healthy — and Bryce Harper returns earlier than anticipated — they can surpass this number and threaten the division.
Average injury luck puts them Under, however. Their win total improved by three wins, but their composite projection declined by 1.3 wins.
The Phillies were my favorite longshot last season — their roster was always live if they found a way to make it to October. In terms of depth, they are not built as well to win in the regular season as they are laden with a star talent for the playoffs.
Miami Marlins: We bet the Marlins Over 74.5 wins last season and will try it again — although I wouldn't bet the number past 75. The composite projection gives you an extra half-win bump to 75.5, while the market projections (namely PECOTA) create actionability to Over 76.
Miami leaned into the ruleset with high-contact offensive additions (Luis Arraez and Jean Segura). However, they could be a mess defensively without the shift.
That said, they can get a quality start every time out with their young, high-upside rotation pieces, including likely returnee Sixto Sanchez and the potential arrival of No. 2 overall prospect Eury Perez.
WashingtonNationals: Davenport and ZIPS love the Over here — putting the Nationals nearly six wins over their total. The market projection sees the Over as a potential bet up to 61.5; however, the composite system would wait for at least Over 59.5 to pop up; since I'm essentially aligned with the total.
Zerillo's NL East Futures
Played
- Atlanta Braves win the NL East (+145, 0.75u at Caesars)
- Atlanta Braves win the NL Pennant (+500, 1u at Caesars)
- Atlanta Braves win the World Series (+1000, 0.5u at Caesars)
- Miami Marlins, Over 74.5 Wins (-114, 0.5u at Bet Rivers)
- Philadelphia Phillies, Under 89.5 Wins (+100, 1u at bet365)
Watching
- New York Mets, Under 95.5 Wins (BetRivers)
NL Central
UPDATE (3/29): The Pirates and Reds commanded a ton of "Over" action this preseason, perhaps because the public projections recommend those bets; but I align much more closely with the win total market on those teams; so it's an easy pass on the dregs of the NL Central. Otherwise, I would continue to bet the Cardinals at the same price targets.
St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis underachieved by two wins in 2022 but still surpassed its win total by 8.5 wins and its composite projection by 12.7 wins.
We have lost Cardinals win total Unders the past two seasons and are now betting on them to win the division. That's never fun.
Still, I see a more prominent gap between the Cardinals and Brewers (5.1 wins) than ZIPS (2.1 wins), while Davenport and PECOTA have Milwaukee re-taking the division.
The projection market has been particularly low on this iteration of the Cardinals. In 2022, their projection range was 74 to 82.4 (I was at 79.9) wins. They were expected to lose the division by 11 games. They ultimately won the Central by seven games, but the Pythagorean margin was 10.
Their lineup stacks up — offensively and defensively — with any team in baseball one through nine. And they have the impactful depth to replace injured players — or potentially overtake lessor members; Jordan Walker is my favorite NL MVP bet for 2023.
The primary concern is a low ceiling / low floor starting rotation, led by the inevitably not-ageless Adam Wainwright and injury-ward All-Stars Jack Flaherty and Steven Matz.
The starting pitching could completely implode their season. However, I don't mind their bullpen depth, and they will be as willing as any team to add pieces to that pitching staff amid an obvious championship window.
Bet their divisional odds to -115, and we'll potentially look to add more in-season if/when they acquire pitching depth.
And also play their pennant odds at +1200 and their World Series odds at +2500 for small stakes. I'm already betting on the Braves and Yankees — my two least favorite teams — so I might as well make it a trio and prove once and for all that I'm not a Mets homer when it comes to betting on baseball.
Milwaukee Brewers: The case for St. Louis is the case against Milwaukee. I won't rehash it, but I align with the Brewers' listed total, while the market projection prefers the Brewers to the Cardinals; however, nowhere near the same degree as last season.
The most significant mark against Milwaukee? While the Brewers and Cardinals rated as top seven defensive teams in the past two seasons (and the Cardinals are going on four years at this point), the Brewers relied much more upon the shift than the Cardinals.
St. Louis is up 148 Defensive Runs Saved since the start of the 2021 season. Milwaukee has netted 114 DRS. However, 20% of the Cardinals' net positivity is tied to shift value, whereas 40% of the Brewers' positive defensive value resulted from the infield shift.
I'm passing on the Brewers for 2023. Still, I expect them to be sellers at the deadline and to move Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff or both to teams in need.
Chicago Cubs: I love the offseason signings; strengthening up the middle is critical – and both Cody Bellinger and, notably, Dansby Swanson are excellent island defenders for the shift ban.
Bellinger has a high floor because of his defense but may revert closer to his MVP ways at the plate with a change of scenery and renewed confidence hitting line drives into right field — instead of changing his swing to beat the shift.
Jameson Taillon adds depth to a rotation with multiple underrated arms we bet on frequently (Keegan Thompson, Justin Steele, Adrian Sampson) throughout 2022.
The Cubs are also doing some (as of yet) relatively unquantifiable things with their pitching staff. I rate their major league player development very highly.
Still, I don't love their bullpen on paper — and Seiza Suzuki's lingering injury concerns limit their overall upside as a squad.
No projected value. Pass.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Market projections like the Over, and that is among the most popular selection in 2023 win total market. Take it from someone who LOVES betting on the Buccos — they overachieved by four wins last season and still fell 2.5 wins short of their listed total.
Their win total increased by three wins this season (from 64.5 to 67.5), but their composite projection only improved by 1.9 wins.
I would have needed to see Over 66 (at most) to place this Over. The market (namely ZIPS at 73.4) would still bet the Over up to 67.5.
The composite projection would compromise at Over 66.5 or 67. Otherwise, you can pass — we'll be betting on the Pirates plenty enough this season.
Cincinnati Reds: Collapsed out of the gate in 2022 and never fully recovered. No projected value; gut says they finish fourth, ahead of Pittsburgh.
Zerillo's NL Central Futures
Played
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the NL Central (-115, 0.75u at Superbook)
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the NL Pennant (+1200, 0.1u at Superbook)
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the World Series (+2500, 0.1u at Superbook)
Watching
- Pittsburgh Pirates (Search for Over 66)
NL West
UPDATE (3/29): The divisional race between the Dodgers and Padres has tightened further after the Gavin Lux injury. I would lower the Padres' NL West price target to +120.
Los Angeles Dodgers: The Dodgers underachieved by five wins in 2022; with some luck, the 2022 Dodgers could have threatened the single-season wins record. And yet, they always felt flawed.
I was on the Dodgers' win total Over and divisional bets last season; however, their composite projection is 5.5 wins lower than last season, while their win total only decreased by two games.
ZIPS has a clear recommendation on Dodgers Under, down to 91.5; there are five wins of cushion to place that bet before you even hit my three-win cutoff.
The market consensus wouldn't go below 96, which seems more agreeable.
And while I do lean to the Under here, my projection is 95.7; and I still set the Dodgers as the second-best team in the National League. While I can't pull the trigger on the Under, there are better ways to fade the Dodgers, in my opinion.
San Diego Padres: While PECOTA and Davenport still see the Dodgers as roughly three wins better than the Padres, I have the rivals finishing within one game of each other. ZIPS has the Padres winning the West by nearly five games.
I wouldn't bet on the Padres' win total; however, I would bet on the Padres — and against the Dodgers — by playing their NL West, NL Pennant, and potentially World Series odds.
I essentially set the divisional race as a pick'em (would have Padres around +115 and would bet San Diego in the divisional market down to +135).
Assuming San Diego wins the West, it likely get the No. 2 seed, so the bye, and its correlated pennant odds to +500 (projected +440) are also worth betting on.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (suspension) and Joe Musgrove (fractured toe) will each miss time at the season's start. If the Padres struggle out of the gate at all, I'll probably look to grab more divisional prices at better numbers.
San Francisco Giants: Regression was inevitable after the miraculous 2021 campaign. The biggest hit potentially came on the defensive end — they fell from 11th (+32) to 30th (-53) in Defensive Runs Saved, year over year — and that doesn't bode well for this season.
The Giants were at the forefront of the shift movement 10 years ago and have generated more than 50 DRS via shifts in the past two seasons.
Without the shift, their pitchers could be in for another long year of extended innings — with even more bleeders getting through the infield.
ZIPS (84.1) recommends a bet on their win total Over, but every other projection system would pass. The woeful defense could tank their season.
ArizonaDiamondbacks: The Snakes underachieved by three wins last season and still went Over their total by 7.5 games.
Pitching coach Brent Strom will get the most out of this staff. They have a ton of athletes who can wreak havoc on the base paths with the new rules, and I expect them to remain a top-10 defensive club after finishing sixth in DRS last season.
Still, they are likely one year away (or more) from being legitimately dangerous.
Once prospects like Drey Jameson and Brandon Pfaadt are fully ready to replace the likes of Madison Bumgarner and Zach Davies in the rotation — and when Jordan Lawlar starts knocking on the door of the big leagues — the Snakes will start to close the gap on the top teams in the division.
Spending money next offseason wouldn't hurt, but Bumgarner doesn't come off the books for two more seasons.
Lean Over, but firm pass.
ColoradoRockies: Colorado overchieved by three wins last season and still went Under. The win total dropped by four wins, and the composite projection dropped by 4.5. No projected value from any system.
Zerillo's NL West Futures
Played
- San Diego Padres win the NL West (+140, 0.75u at BetRivers)
- San Diego Padres win the NL Pennant (+550, 0.5u at Caesars)
Watching
- San Diego Padres win the World Series (+1100 at HardRock)
Zerillo's Current MLB Futures Card
MLB Win Totals
- Chicago White Sox, Under 83.5 Wins (-110, 1.5u at Superbook)
- Detroit Tigers, Under 70.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
- Miami Marlins, Over 74.5 Wins (-114, 0.5u at BetRivers)
- Oakland Athletics, Over 57.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
- Philadelphia Phillies, Under 89.5 Wins (+100, 1u at bet365)
- Seattle Mariners, Under 88.5 Wins (-110, 0.5u at Superbook)
Divisional Futures
- Atlanta Braves win the NL East (+145, 0.75u at Caesars)
- Cleveland Guardians win the AL Central (+160, 0.75u at Superbook)
- Los Angeles Angels win the AL West (+1200, 0.1u at Caesars)
- New York Yankees win the AL East (+120, 0.75u at PointsBet)
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the NL Central (-115, 0.75u at Superbook)
- San Diego Padres win the NL West (+140, 0.75u at BetRivers)
Pennant Futures
- Atlanta Braves win the NL Pennant (+500, 1u at Caesars)
- Cleveland Guardians win the AL Pennant (+2000, 0.1u at Superbook)
- New York Yankees win the AL Pennant (+350, 0.5u at Caesars)
- San Diego Padres win the NL Pennant (+550, 0.5u at Caesars)
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the NL Pennant (+1200, 0.1u at Superbook)
World Series Futures
- Atlanta Braves win the World Series (+1000, 0.5u at Caesars)
- Cleveland Guardians win the World Series (+4000, 0.1u at Superbook)
- Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series (+2500, 0.1u at Caesars)
- St. Louis Cardinals wins the World Series (+2500, 0.1u at Superbook)
Bets I'm Watching
- Houston Astros, Under 97.5 Wins (BetRivers)
- New York Mets, Under 95.5 Wins (BetRivers)
- Minnesota Twins win AL Central (+300 at PointsBet)
- Pittsburgh Pirates (Search for Over 66)
- San Diego Padres win the World Series (+1100 at Hard Rock)
- Tampa Bay Rays win the AL Pennant (+1200 at BetMGM)
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