Bryce Harper’s Absence Moving Nats-Padres Line and Total


Geoff Burke – USA TODAY Sports

The Highlights

  • After news broke of Bryce Harper’s night off, the Nationals moved from -144 to -135.
  • Eighty-two percent of the betting tickets were on the Nats before the news.
  • The total also went down across the market, dipping from 7.5 to 7 in some spots.

The Washington Nationals are the most popular bet of the night vs. the Padres (9:10 p.m. ET), but the public bettors who have already loaded up on them just caught a bad break.

Given Harper’s recent struggles against lefties, the Nats opted to rest the star slugger for the first time this season.

Within a couple minutes of the news, the Nationals moved from -144 to -135, which corresponds with a 1.57% drop in implied probability (59.02% to 57.45%). About five minutes afterward, it had fallen to -133. Before the news broke, a whopping 82% of bettors were on Gio Gonzalez and the Nationals so it will be interesting to see where that settles in by gametime. (Check out live bet percentages on our public money page.)


This news also impacted the total, as the number dropped from 7.5 to 7 or moved the juice across the market.

The Nats lineup will be facing Joey Lucchesi, who has been holding opponents to a low exit velocity as of late. His DFS stock likely just bumped up a bit with this news, as well.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories